Great analysis. I will be surprised if he runs faster than 19.45. He will be drained, like what we saw at Worlds last year.
Indeed, the fatigue is his (Lyles) biggest hurdle on the Olympic record. I'm kind of assuming that the hype and thrill, and even his prep before the games, are going to allow his to run high to mid 19.2, butttt, that's so much easier said than done. He may well have to survive the final low 19.5 or high/19.4.
Precedent for him is that he ran the 19.31 when his 100 was still such a wreck that he couldn't even qualify to Worlds in it. He had fresher legs on that one, for sure. Again, at Worlds last year in the double (and even at this USAs) he was kinda running for the win, not for wow-factor times. That may well be the case here, too. But, if he's GONNA ever pull off that kind of championships record time, it's here and now. I don't see him getting the World's/WR record with rounds like this.
The fatigue is a valid point, but it’s worth noting that Bolt’s 19.19 and 19.30 came after rounds of the 100, and Michael Johnson’s 19.32 came after rounds of the 400.
Bolt is the most fundamentally pure sprinter off all time. He will never be surpassed as the GOAT. Back to back to back Olympic gold in the 100 and 200 will never again be done.
Your first statement has a pretty good chance of remaining true in our lifetimes. The second? I wouldn't really bet on it.
Indeed, the fatigue is his (Lyles) biggest hurdle on the Olympic record. I'm kind of assuming that the hype and thrill, and even his prep before the games, are going to allow his to run high to mid 19.2, butttt, that's so much easier said than done. He may well have to survive the final low 19.5 or high/19.4.
Precedent for him is that he ran the 19.31 when his 100 was still such a wreck that he couldn't even qualify to Worlds in it. He had fresher legs on that one, for sure. Again, at Worlds last year in the double (and even at this USAs) he was kinda running for the win, not for wow-factor times. That may well be the case here, too. But, if he's GONNA ever pull off that kind of championships record time, it's here and now. I don't see him getting the World's/WR record with rounds like this.
The fatigue is a valid point, but it’s worth noting that Bolt’s 19.19 and 19.30 came after rounds of the 100, and Michael Johnson’s 19.32 came after rounds of the 400.
Totally true. Lyles just seems labor so much through his 100s, though, that it seems to take a legit chunk out of him. BUT, the reason I still think he's got a chance for the 19.30 is he's more experienced with this ordeal now, and maybe they built him up more for it in prep. But we won't know till we know.
Bolt ran a faster 60m than the 60m WR en route to his 100m WR.
Jamin\'sHSClassmate wrote: matt_london_413 wrote: Track and field is a sport between point A and point B. Just like my 200 thread where I talked about how Yohan Blake owns the record based on his reaction time which would have made it a 19.13. This is the same situation. The fastest 60 meter dash ever run from point A to point B is 6.29 by Usain Bolt during his 9.58 run. Bottomline is until Coleman can beat that then he doesn't own the record. 6.29 is measured by using cameras from the level of the press box and going frame by frame to judge as accurately as possible. It was not doing with FAT, it's not even close to the rigor of an official time. Also, the IAAF rules clearly state that 60m is only an indoor event for record purposes. If you feel better about it, say CC has the 60m indoor WR and that no outdoor 60m wr exists. Even if FAT had been set up on the track to measure his 60m split in the 100m, it would be as valid to call it the record as if he ran a 19.19 on and indoor 400m track and calling that the indoor 200m WR. These records have rules to be called a WR, and the 60m WR has the rule it must be set indoors.
One of the more coherent rants from Mr backyard WR.
Bolt is the most fundamentally pure sprinter off all time. He will never be surpassed as the GOAT. Back to back to back Olympic gold in the 100 and 200 will never again be done.
Exactly. Bolt was an excellent starter by any objective measure.
Bolt is the most fundamentally pure sprinter off all time. He will never be surpassed as the GOAT. Back to back to back Olympic gold in the 100 and 200 will never again be done.
Exactly. Bolt was an excellent starter by any objective measure.
Bolt only appeared to be a bad starter because his main rivals were all excellent starters. Gatlin probably the best starter in history, and Gay and Blake quite good as well. Bolt's 100 is considerably better than his 200, further reinforcing his good start.
Lyles is genuinely a poor starter and his top-end speed is getting very close to prime Bolt. A favorable wind and the 200 record could go, but I would expect somewhere closer to Blake's 19.26 in Paris.
