Nobody is picking Michael Norman to medal

Newname wrote:

Good luck with that wrote:

"Yellow fever"

Your 2nd question isn't really relevant (but to answer: never - although Louis Hinchliffe is mixed Asian and white and did so this year, I seem to recall a fully Japanese 200m medalist from 2003 as well. And of course we have Su Bingtian). You're using confirmation bias, there are plenty of people with 2 black parents without the genetics required to be Michael Norman, and plenty of people with 2 Japanese parents with better sprinting genetics than several demographics of fully black people. Simply having a parent of a certain race guarantees nothing.

Less than a handful of non black people who are solid sprinters (no medal winners shown) vs, score (hundreds?) of black sprinters who have run faster.

John Wesley Harding wrote:

Newname wrote:

Less than a handful of non black people who are solid sprinters (no medal winners shown) vs, score (hundreds?) of black sprinters who have run faster.

Ok but assuming that substituting half of Michael Norman’s genetics with “generic black woman” would result in someone faster than 43.45/400m is stupid.

I put Norman 5th behind Hudson-Smith, Hall, Doom and Gardiner. He’s underperformed in past championships and hasn’t looked like a 43.xx guy to me so far this year. You can’t rule out a guy who’s run well under 44 multiple times before, though.

Newname wrote:

John Wesley Harding wrote:

Ok but assuming that substituting half of Michael Norman’s genetics with “generic black woman” would result in someone faster than 43.45/400m is stupid.

I put Norman 5th behind Hudson-Smith, Hall, Doom and Gardiner. He’s underperformed in past championships and hasn’t looked like a 43.xx guy to me so far this year. You can’t rule out a guy who’s run well under 44 multiple times before, though.

Didn't he win the WC's two years ago?