800m and up not a single medal going to a US runner. You can take this prediction to the bank.
Hard to argue.
Bronze medal chances: Fisher (5/10K), Akins (800), ESP/Hiltz (1500), Hoppel (800), Hocker/Nuguse (1500), Constien (ST). And I wouldn’t put any of those over 40% likely (men’s or women’s 1500 best odds).
Anything else feels like somewhat of a long shot (<5%) chance.
even if its only 20% for each of those its still a huge favorite
You have to be pretty bad at math to make this prediction. We have so many runners with a 10-15% chance of medaling that there has to be a 90+% chance of at least one athlete medaling. This is the best and deepest distance squad we have ever sent to the Olympics.
Logically I agree with your assessment. And I know gut feelings are ridiculous, but I'm still feeling it none the less. My less than logical assessment;
800: Hoppel/Kessler to final once there, who knows? Have you ever seen the Aussie speed skater gold medalist's race?
1500: Nuguse/Kessler to final. As above.
5000: Fisher probably final but maybe hasn't got the raw speed required to medal.
10000: Fisher/Young to surprise
marathon: At least 1 USA runner in the top 10. Many runners with faster PB's will bonk.
How much do you want to bet? I was thinking $2,000.
Cheapskate only $2k, add a zero, USA won’t medal in 800m and above for men and women. There is an unrealistic view the US athletes are the best where they are really also ran and DFL.
Help us build the best running shoe review site for a chance to win a LetsRun t-shirt.Help us build the best running shoe review site for a chance to win one of 10 LetsRun t-shirts.