Suggestion: for athletes who have revealed they will not be competing; I.e., Coburn, Frerichs, Monson, you might want to indicate as such in parentheses next to their names -- or remove them from the lists altogether.
RW put together a concise article at the end of May regarding the walking wounded . . . and, unfortunately, it includes Katelyn Tuohy:
The 2024 NCAA Women's Track and Field Press Conference featuring Jaida Ross, Parker Valby, and McKenzie Long.Website: http://flosports.link/3p20lTjSubscribe:...
Too bad no one in the room followed up in any way. Valby's responses to more specific inquiries--such as: Supershoes or spikes on Thurs and how do you decide on which to wear? Do you intend to chase the Oly standard or a specific time in either race? At regionals, were you thinking about peaking in five weeks or hitting two separate peaks, one this wkend and another at the Trials?--would've been interesting.
No where near having Oly Qs in any event and unlikely to get them at the Trials.
Even if Karissa should somehow manage to win either the 5k or 10k in Eugene -- but not achieve a Q -- quite likely she will not have enough WA rankings points to be on the Oly Team.
No where near having Oly Qs in any event and unlikely to get them at the Trials.
Even if Karissa should somehow manage to win either the 5k or 10k in Eugene -- but not achieve a Q -- quite likely she will not have enough WA rankings points to be on the Oly Team.
She would still have til June 30 to qualify.
A top 3 at us trials plus a 2nd good performance might get her ranking high enough.
No where near having Oly Qs in any event and unlikely to get them at the Trials.
Even if Karissa should somehow manage to win either the 5k or 10k in Eugene -- but not achieve a Q -- quite likely she will not have enough WA rankings points to be on the Oly Team.
The WA ranking is based on an average of the competition Performance Scores. I’m trying to determine how many competitions are required to determine that average. If it is only the top two, the Schweizer would have a sufficient Ranking if she makes the Top 3 at the Trials. Reply back whether you agree or not. (In the 5000m Road to Paris, Chemutai is ranked 42 with a score of 1156.)
No where near having Oly Qs in any event and unlikely to get them at the Trials.
Even if Karissa should somehow manage to win either the 5k or 10k in Eugene -- but not achieve a Q -- quite likely she will not have enough WA rankings points to be on the Oly Team.
She would still have til June 30 to qualify.
A top 3 at us trials plus a 2nd good performance might get her ranking high enough.
Long shot, but 5k might be doable.
Are you saying only 2 performances are required to determine the Average of one’s completion Performance Scores? If that is the case, why is the Road to Paris site averaging three Performance Scores (look at the 42nd person in the 5000m list, i.e., Belinda Chemutai.)
If only two performances are sufficient in determining the Average of the performances for World Ranking Performances, then Schweizer would also most likely have sufficient ranking if she makes Top 3 at the Trials in the 10000m. This is true for Parker Valby, as well.
The WA ranking is based on an average of the competition Performance Scores. I’m trying to determine how many competitions are required to determine that average. If it is only the top two, the Schweizer would have a sufficient Ranking if she makes the Top 3 at the Trials. Reply back whether you agree or not. (In the 5000m Road to Paris, Chemutai is ranked 42 with a score of 1156.)
Three races are required to achieve a WA ranking In the Steeple & 5k.
Two races are required to achieve a WA ranking in the 10k.
(See WA rules rankings page.)
Karissa does not even have a 5k ranking because she has only raced the distance once since the 7/1/2023 qualification window opening date, a 15:02 last September in Berlin. Unless she is a late entrant in this Sunday evening's PTF high performance 5k and runs a fast time, seems virtually impossible she will be able to get to Paris in this event -- one of her three races will be the Oly Trials semifinals which will not be fast and her placing may only be 4th or 5th.
Karissa is currently ranked 51st/world and 10th/US in the 10k due to her 2023 USA's 5th place finish coupled with her Sound Running's The TEN 6th place finish in March:
With no Monson and likely no Cranny at the Trials, Karissa may still have a chance here. However, with Kelati the prohibitive favorite and Katie Izzo ranked 19th through her xc successes, can Karissa climb into the top-3 and hope the time is fast enough to raise her WA ranking into the top-27? Can she beat Henes, D'Amato, Kurgat . . . and especially, Valby?
Unless she gets a 5k Q at PTF this weekend, would seem her best option is to ditch the 5k hope for the best in the 10k at the Trials.
The WA ranking is based on an average of the competition Performance Scores. I’m trying to determine how many competitions are required to determine that average. If it is only the top two, the Schweizer would have a sufficient Ranking if she makes the Top 3 at the Trials. Reply back whether you agree or not. (In the 5000m Road to Paris, Chemutai is ranked 42 with a score of 1156.)
Three races are required to achieve a WA ranking In the Steeple & 5k.
Two races are required to achieve a WA ranking in the 10k.
(See WA rules rankings page.)
Karissa does not even have a 5k ranking because she has only raced the distance once since the 7/1/2023 qualification window opening date, a 15:02 last September in Berlin. Unless she is a late entrant in this Sunday evening's PTF high performance 5k and runs a fast time, seems virtually impossible she will be able to get to Paris in this event -- one of her three races will be the Oly Trials semifinals which will not be fast and her placing may only be 4th or 5th.
Karissa is currently ranked 51st/world and 10th/US in the 10k due to her 2023 USA's 5th place finish coupled with her Sound Running's The TEN 6th place finish in March:
With no Monson and likely no Cranny at the Trials, Karissa may still have a chance here. However, with Kelati the prohibitive favorite and Katie Izzo ranked 19th through her xc successes, can Karissa climb into the top-3 and hope the time is fast enough to raise her WA ranking into the top-27? Can she beat Henes, D'Amato, Kurgat . . . and especially, Valby?
Unless she gets a 5k Q at PTF this weekend, would seem her best option is to ditch the 5k hope for the best in the 10k at the Trials.
(Thanks for the answer on the ranking average; some of the WA rules pages were broken.)
If Schweizer finishes top three at the Trials in the 5000m, her final placement will likely be worth at least 1200, the semi will be around 1140, and she currently possesses a 1213 performance, giving an 1184 average, which will be a more than sufficient ranking (since 31st out of 42 spots currently has an 1181 average.) That Instagram link shows her running a 64s 400m; I expect she plans to try and sit on the leader and hope to kick.
For the 10000m, she already possesses a 1238 performance. A top 3 at the trials will be worth at least ~1180, giving an average of 1209. Monson is out, and assuming Izzo does not make top three, those drops open more spots to lower-ranked athletes. I think all of the dropouts could lower the ranking requirement to sub-1200.
By my calculations, Karissa needs at least a WA point score from the trials greater than 1188. This would move her even with Joan Chelimo Melly of Romania for the 27th qualifying spot if you remove Monson and one of Izzo/Kelati/O'Keefe/Henes. Elise Cranny got 1188 last year for the win. Valby needs a top 3 and a WA score of 1185 to get to the same ranking as Melly. This means that both Schweizer and Valby need the race to be faster than 32:00 to ensure a high enough ranking given the status quo.
European Championships are the other big opportunity to get a 10k time before the end of the month. Lukan and Dieterich have higher rankings than Schweizer and Valby and are racing there as is Klosterhalfen who may be capable of the standard in a fast race. The FBK games are on the 7th of July, but I think that is too late to count towards the olympics.
Klosterhalfen is not participating in the EuroChamps.
“The top ranked qualifier by cross ranking, Rahel Daniel of Eritrea, has not raced since February of 2023 which is around when the DSD ban was enacted.” <<< That is another potential spot opening.
“Richardsson and Melly are qualified for the marathon, and with the marathon being only two days after the women's 10000, they will almost certainly drop the 10000.” <<< These drops will move the required ranking lower.
Karissa does not even have a 5k ranking because she has only raced the distance once since the 7/1/2023 qualification window opening date, a 15:02 last September in Berlin. Unless she is a late entrant in this Sunday evening's PTF high performance 5k and runs a fast time, seems virtually impossible she will be able to get to Paris in this event -- one of her three races will be the Oly Trials semifinals which will not be fast and her placing may only be 4th or 5th.
Indeed, Karissa is a late entrant in the PTF race Sunday night:
