Yared is a more talented runner but he doesn't do the little things. Kerr is a very talented runner and he does the little things since last year - diet, recovery, etc. I do believe he is the most advanced in those areas right now and he probably will win.
Yared has the raw the talent to dominate if he stays healthy for a few years in a row.
Barga is a massive talent and a masterful tactician. I think the might have the lead at the bell but the speed will be too much.
1. Barega. He is strong and fit, has experience at winning, has done it before, and has incredible acceleration. He is very likely the lightest weight of the three, has a very quick stride turnover rate, which helps him accelerate quickly. He will get the lead and will be able to accelerate to hold off any and all challengers when they try to pass. He is not afraid to lead and will control the race. When he is on and decides to go he is very fast over the last 400.
2. Kerr. Although fast and fit, he does not normally push the pace and lead. He will sit on people and then normally pass them at the end. He is not one to lead, push the pace and control the race. Recent two mile record race was an exception, but he broke away from Fisher before the end only because Fisher was not winding it up and just holding steady pace. Barega will wind it up, and be able to accelerate to hold off Kerr when he tries to pass. I could see Kerr muscling his way into the lead with 4 laps to go, and then trying to maintain pace or even slow it down. Barega especially and potentially Nuguse will allow none of that. I could see Kerr being too aggressive (as the home favorite with pressure) and causing contact, resulting in a DQ or near DQ.
3. Nuguse. He is not afraid to push the pace and lead. But he has done this against lesser competition not of the quality in this race. He is good at winding it up from a long way out and his stride is massive so he is hard to pass. I do not believe he has the acceleration to hold off Barega and Kerr, unless he runs super smart and aggressively. Not sure he has the experience to do that. He seems pretty laid back and may not have the aggressive killer instinct to win this race. I could see him nipping Kerr by sitting on Barega's shoulder and then making it tough for Kerr to pass both of them. Kerr will be content to sit back in third until 5 or fewer laps to go.
We all win if it is an EPIC race!
berega
goose
kerr
looking_good wrote:
Yared is a more talented runner but he doesn't do the little things. Kerr is a very talented runner and he does the little things since last year - diet, recovery, etc. I do believe he is the most advanced in those areas right now and he probably will win.
Yared has the raw the talent to dominate if he stays healthy for a few years in a row.
Barga is a massive talent and a masterful tactician. I think the might have the lead at the bell but the speed will be too much.
Why do people always say stuff like this? Most people haven’t watched a single pro’s practice let alone followed them around all day, every day to see what they’re doing.
Have any of you actually met a plucky Scotsman?
Even Barcelona can’t beat the plucky scots in glasgow, Barega certainly won’t be beating this Flying Scotsman
Kerr is the hard man.
JOE MF FALCON idgaf
Nuguse 1st Kerr 2nd
My initial thought, soaked in western bias, was to think Nuguse or Kerr.
Selemon Barega has won an Olympic gold medal at 10k. He doesn’t have a clear identifiable weakness on the track. Excellent indoors…
I'm not picking any of the 5000 or 10,000 guys unless they are racing against each other.
There's a class edge that many here continue to deny.
I suspect Kerr wins
zxvczvxc wrote:
Kerr looked really strong and full of run in that 8:00 2M. To lose him before the kick, Barega or Wale would have to run well under 60s. Nuguse will be tough to handle. Low 7:20s is what it might take to get rid of Kerr and Nuguse but there is no Girma, no Jakob, and no pacer, so I doubt that Barega will go for that. Barega for the bronze, Nuguse the silver, and Kerr the gold, I think. Nuguse is ready in the 1500m/mile but his strength might be a little behind Kerr's at this point after that 13:02.
+1
As I already stated a while ago in another thread:
If Kerr is in his 2mile indoor WB shape he must be the man to beat.
No one can run away from him and he is the fastest finisher.
Nuguse has the same advantages to the field, especially the Ethiopians, so everything equal he will take silver and Barega bronze BUT.....................
fortunately it almost never goes as predicted so it will be an exciting race.
Nuguse takes up too much space. Unless Kerr leads from the gun he's going to have a hard time running anywhere near him. SB won't have such trouble. It's going to be Barega winding it up, Nuguse hanging on, and Kerr making dumb moves like Kiprop in Centro's jogfest.
Berega, Kerr, Nuguse
tarckstar wrote:
Nuguse takes up too much space. Unless Kerr leads from the gun he's going to have a hard time running anywhere near him. SB won't have such trouble. It's going to be Barega winding it up, Nuguse hanging on, and Kerr making dumb moves like Kiprop in Centro's jogfest.
Berega, Kerr, Nuguse
Lol.
Dark horse alert wrote:
I got Mohammad Karim Yaqoot taking home the W in an all time upset.
Ding ding ding
Interested if you care to comment after the race