Update on Nico Young: he's been removed from the entries because he is not yet confirmed, per Jesse Williams. He could still run but they have not decided yet.
This is your reminder that there will be a lot of athletes who have never run the 27:00 standard who will be in the olympics. Only 9 unique athletes have run that time in the past more than two years. There will be athletes getting in on world ranking and some from cross country qualification. So the people who run 27:0X will be fine and ranked high enough assuming they have a decent second mark in a 5k or 10k.
I wouldn't have Klecker in the sub-27 category, he looks like he's in a bit of a hole right now compared to last year, and he missed the sub-27 back then. I know Kincaid ran slower in the recent 5k, but with Klecker it's now a series of underwhelming races
Yeah he's definitely looked off this year. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt that his health issues get resolved, he's been training through more than last year, and everything may go right in the race. Last year, I think him and Woody were really sharp but perhaps had lost a little fitness by the time the race came around to chase sub-27.
He's looked off since Budapest. But he's probably earned the benefit of the doubt after his last few years. Aub-27 is still a monster target, I also wouldn't be surprised if no one other than Fisher gets it
No Cranny? Is she giving up on the 10k despite being the only event that she has a small shot to sneak a medal?
She doesn't like the 10K and has been somewhat vocal about swapping it for the 1500. I don't really see why she'd be at at all capable of medaling in it. Yes I know Monson got 5th, but that included Hassan falling down desperately, and now you add in 2 Kenyans who have run under 29 minutes this year and are on a different level than last year. Cranny's a nice kicker, but the 10 is more about strength. It's akin to liking Woody's chance more in the 10 than in the 5 because he has a great kick and can beat Grant domestically. When it comes down to a more honest, strength-based 5K take the athlete like Grant/Monson who can actually get to the final lap.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
And Nico is running DMR the week before NCAAs at Notre Dame? that’s too much.
The DMR is two weeks before NCAA’s
It's actually three weeks before NCAAs, no? Alex Wilson Invitational? And they totally dominate their week conference so they won't need any special efforts out of him at the conference meet, if he even runs it.
Like how Goucher and Infeld managed to get a medal. Sometimes the field is diluted, weather is hot, etc. Strange things can happen in the 10k but rarely in the 1500/5k.
Yeah he's definitely looked off this year. I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt that his health issues get resolved, he's been training through more than last year, and everything may go right in the race. Last year, I think him and Woody were really sharp but perhaps had lost a little fitness by the time the race came around to chase sub-27.
He's looked off since Budapest. But he's probably earned the benefit of the doubt after his last few years. Aub-27 is still a monster target, I also wouldn't be surprised if no one other than Fisher gets it
No Cranny? Is she giving up on the 10k despite being the only event that she has a small shot to sneak a medal?
She doesn't like the 10K and has been somewhat vocal about swapping it for the 1500. I don't really see why she'd be at at all capable of medaling in it. Yes I know Monson got 5th, but that included Hassan falling down desperately, and now you add in 2 Kenyans who have run under 29 minutes this year and are on a different level than last year. Cranny's a nice kicker, but the 10 is more about strength. It's akin to liking Woody's chance more in the 10 than in the 5 because he has a great kick and can beat Grant domestically. When it comes down to a more honest, strength-based 5K take the athlete like Grant/Monson who can actually get to the final lap.
All correct above.
One of the reasons she left BTC was to have more autonomy is developing her racing schedule; i.e., no more 10k races, at least for awhile.
Nonetheless, Elise is my candidate for "lead pacer" in this race. If she's in shape, Elise is the only US woman who could rabbit the field thru approx 14:50 then maybe continue on for a few more laps. Also, she's be able to share pacing with ex-BTC teammate Courtney Frerichs who has already stated she's interested in doing so.
When Coffee Club interviewed her last month, Elise mentioned she might run a 5k this indoor season if she was feeling up to it. At this point, unless Elise enters UW's Ken Shannon last-chance meet on 2/23-24, no indoor racing for her. The TEN would be her 2024 opener.
Henes would be a favorite to get the standard but she is recovering from a partial lung collapse and surgery 4 months ago. She is on the road to recovery though, so hope she runs well here.
Seeing Megan Keith and Everlyn Kemboi in the field is pretty intriguing.
Couple of notes on men's field: -No Grijalva (be awesome if he paces) -Not sure why Jon is snubbing BU 5K heat winners (and more legit sub-27 threats) Wildschuut and Edwin Kurgat or new 59:2x man Almgren to mention Jack Rayner or Charlie Hicks -I think the legit sub-27 candidates are: Fisher, Wildschuut, Kurgat, Almgren, Klecker, Kincaid, Nur, Nico — don't know much about the Japanese men and a I'd put Flanagan, Fay, Rayner, McDonald, Kioko a bit short
Update on Nico Young: he's been removed from the entries because he is not yet confirmed, per Jesse Williams. He could still run but they have not decided yet.
But in steps Habtom Samuel/NM with his 27:20 pr.
He'll have to manage his schedule well, coming of NCAAs a week earlier.
Sam Chelanga's/Liberty 27:08.39 CR from the infamous 2010 Payton Jordan 10k -- Solinsky's sub-27 race, Rupp 4th in 27:10 -- appears in jeopardy.
Henes would be a favorite to get the standard but she is recovering from a partial lung collapse and surgery 4 months ago. She is on the road to recovery though, so hope she runs well here.
Seeing Megan Keith and Everlyn Kemboi in the field is pretty intriguing.
Agree here. Henes only missed the standard by 8ish seconds at this event last year. Her 3K at Boston last weekend makes it look as if her fitness is improving. She still has about a month to do final preps so there is still hope. She's a hard worker and I would like to see her get the standard.
Henes would be a favorite to get the standard but she is recovering from a partial lung collapse and surgery 4 months ago. She is on the road to recovery though, so hope she runs well here.
Seeing Megan Keith and Everlyn Kemboi in the field is pretty intriguing.
Also, I'm surprised that she need surgery unless it has been a recurring problem. It was a lung bleb, right? A chest tube will normally take care of that. If she did have a pleural resection, I am assuming that the "lung collapse" was done intentionally via a double-lumen endotracheal tube in order to allow for the procedure. Regardless, I'm glad she's on the way back.
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