Orlando weather forecast for Feb 3

Lived in Chicago and now live in Florida. Florida forecasts are way more accurate. Occasionally they are off a bit on precipitation amounts. But they nail the highs, lows and humidity.

no trade winds in Florida so it’s easier to get it right.

Yes, all in all this is not ideal but still pretty comfortable and close to expected conditions for Paris. Seems like Orlando is going to work well for choosing the team.

Well, it's a flat course compared to hills. The 2-hr difference in 10am and a noon start doesn't change the dew point, but most must be happy for the 10-degree difference. Except maybe Des, Rupp and Molly Seidel.

It will be 55 at 10:00am.
Stop all the whining!!!!

I don't get the American trials. Let's have a trial on a flat course and where it will be cooler than Paris where it's a hilly course!!!

You are right you don’t understand.

1. The hosting city pays for everything. USATF pays for nothing.

2. You have to find a city that is willing to lose a million dollars.

Maybe then the trials are not the best system, maybe it should be the first 3 americans home in the boston/new york marathon, doesn't have the heat but has the hills

I'm seeing 63 F at the start. 53 dewpoint, maybe that' what you mean.

but who cares what the temp will be at the start? Weather in the first hour doesn't matter.

what matters is what the temp will be with 30-40 minutes to go in the race - that's when it will take out people behind the woodshed.

And it looks like Orlando will be over 70 degrees with 30 minutes to go. That kind of heat will have a large impact on the race.

But that's fine - Paris will be the same or worse, so fair is fair.

Honestly looks pretty good to me. I'm seeing low-60s & 70ish by the finish but with low-ish humidity (low-50s dew point). Runnersconnect adjusts 5:00 pace to 5:09 w./ 70 degrees & 53 dew point which is ~high end. Maybe it's more like 5s/mile slow for the whole thing for well prepared runners. That's not so bad. It shouldn't affect who makes the team. Just go out, race, & compete. We could still see some decent times. Top-3 men/women maybe faster than 2:10/2:25.

Yea, should have moved to Hawaii and made sure there were some narly hills on the course. Would have been a great race predictor for Paris.

How is 50’s not ideal marathon weather? Especially when it will be dry and probably cloudy.

There's a high pressure over the midwest and a Low Pressure somewhere over Colorado that *might* take shape around Feb3rd timeline. This means a ton of high humidity moisture is going to get sucked up from the gulf headed north. I am thinking the humidity is going to be a lot higher than they are prediciting in Orlando due to weatehr systems thousands of miles away sucking in that warm ocean conditions.

I'm in Orlando currently as I will be racing at the trials and although it isn't too hot here the humidity is killer. If the trials are anything like how it has been the last few mornings here, it will be a bloodbath (or sweatbath I should say) for most.

I'll bite on the conversions.

The main problem I see here is that the weather will only slightly affect placement, but will have a moderate affect on times. Times matter because currently the USA only has two spots unlocked.

When people talk about the weather bloodbath about to ensue, it's because there will be people going for the auto qualified standard and be utterly wiped out. They will also tow more people with them trying to stay with the pack trying to achieve 2:08:10.

There are likely only 5-6 guys that "could" run the standard on a humid day, but there will be 15-20 on pace through halfway. In all likelihood, no one runs the standard and the two guys with it will lay off the pace until it's time to grab podium spots. The third spot (outside of Young/Mantz), won't make the road to Olympic top 85 or whatever because spring marathon season hasn't even started and a ton of guys will run in better conditions than Orlando.

Missed this thread.

Here's this Saturday at noon at Eola Park at the finish.

80f, 70% humidity with 13mph winds

Pray for a cold-front next weekend.

https://i.imgur.com/v4eQ0tB.png

https://imgur.com/a/CQUo13v

It’s near record highs right now. It’s going to cool down quite a bit by Monday, and it will bring drier air.

The dew point was in the high 30s for my race last weekend in Tampa.

Right now the forecast looks pretty good for the 3rd, but it could certainly still change.

Forecast for Feb 3rd at noon is 66 degrees with a dew point of 54.

Not quite ideal, but not terrible. If the sun is out as predicted, it will feel pretty warm the second half of the race.

You have a point. At one time the Trials were at locations that would simulate the Olympics (Alamosa/Mexico City) (Eugene/Munich) (Eugene/Montreal) (Buffalo/Moscow). But by the mid-80s they generally went with the highest bidder. Columbus, NJ, and Pittsburgh had it. But for some reason they didn't host the Trials for the Atlanta Games in Atlanta. I think both days (separate venues for men and women back then) it was freezing. Another thing that has changed is that the Trials are now 6-7 months before the OGs, whereas in the earlier years it was only 3-4 months.

70F H90%