Just a comment on some of the posts:
I like how people are picking Seidel. I have a feeling she's going to come through at the trials and she'll like the conditions in Paris.
I hope Mantz makes it because I think he's our best bet in Paris (for a decent place, not a medal).
It's tough for me to make predictions because I tend to go with my heart.
Crazy to run this race in Orlando that late in the day. Skews the whole results.
Women: Seidel ftw, she likes the conditions and may debut a shoe that that is giving her significant efficiency gains over the current models.
2: Sisson 3. D'Amato 4. Lindsay Flanagan 5. Sara Hall
Men:
1. going with veteran Rupp 2. Zach Panning 3 and 4: I think Mantz and Young battle it out here and that Young may have the edge due to Mantz's recent injury. I would have put Mantz as the favorite if not for the injury. 5. CJ Albertson
Unfortunately I don't expect to see Emma Bates or Aliphine Tuliamuk racing.
Right now Betsy Saina is my heavy favorite to win the women’s race. Based on her win in Sydney in warm temperatures and her current fitness (this morning she ran 35k at 5:40 pace at altitude in Kenya) she will be tough to beat. I would also expect to see Sisson and Seidel in the top 3 with D’Amato as a dark horse pick.
On the men’s side right now I’m picking Rupp and Mantz, but may change my mind depending on how well Rupp runs in Houston. After that it’s pretty wide open and I can see Young or Albertson. We need to also talk about Dillon Maggard. It would be his first marathon but he could be a factor based on his speed at shorter distances.
Saina, Flanagan, Sisson, Rooker, Durgin.
Kellyn Taylor will run well too. Looked great in New York for where she was at.
Kibet, Young, Mantz, Fauble, Panning.
Expect Colley to also be a surprise top 6 finisher.
Dillon Maggard?
Not sure if he even has a qualifier?
That downhill course in San Diego certainly doesn’t count.
You people are sooo far off.
Let me tell you what the team will be. Then we can end this thread.
Men: Simbassa, Rupp, Kipchirchir
Women: Sisson, Saina, Kibet
Just missed, in 4th: Fauble and D'Amato
Are Ben true and/or Blankenship racing? Not saying they’re big contenders, but it’d be cool to see some of the old track guys out there
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The down votes on this guy’s reply make me wonder if those people even get it.
There is a runner who has improved tremendously by living at altitude for the first time. I won't say any names, but this dude is doing workouts like 20 miles in 100 minutes followed by 2 x mile under 410 on the track twice a week. Letsrun is going to be shocked by one of the qualifiers. I haven't seen anything about him being a favorite mentioned.
Dont place any bets wrote:
There is a runner who has improved tremendously by living at altitude for the first time. I won't say any names, but this dude is doing workouts like 20 miles in 100 minutes followed by 2 x mile under 410 on the track twice a week. Letsrun is going to be shocked by one of the qualifiers. I haven't seen anything about him being a favorite mentioned.
let's not say the person's name, or anything crazy like that though.
Only one who might be able to do that is Paul Chelimo (He has qualified by way of the Half Marathon,) but is he even running?
1. Rupp
2. Simbassa
3. P. Chelimo
4. Isai Rodriguez
Women
1. Saina
2. Sisson
3. O'Keefe
4. D'Amato
Women: Sisson, Seidel, Flanagan, D’Amato, Rojas
Men: Young, Mantz, CJ, Panning, Chelimo
Let’s go Molly and CJ!!
Men:
1. Mantz
2. Chelanga
3. Young
1. Sisson & Chelimo
2. Saina & Chelanga
3. Seidel & Fauble
4. D'Amato & Rupp
5. Rojas & Estrada
Rupp will win.
People that aren’t training in humid conditions have a huge disadvantage. Wondering why more pros aren’t training in the heat and humidity? I would lean to favouring pros that are doing heat training
1. Mantz
2. Rupp
3. Fauble
4. Young
5. Korir
1. Sisson
2. Saina
3. Seidel
4. D’Amato
5. Hall
That’s my guess at best shots to make the team - obviously anything can happen on race day.
From her Strava it looks like D’Amato may have had an injury a month-ish ago that caused her to miss some time and may be keeping her mileage lower than usual