No Newbury Park alum will ever make an olympic team

The Beatles wrote:

Put the Beatles back together.

Brosnan coaching he Young's again ( Nico , Lex and Leo ) and an Olympic team will be made.

statisticassumptions wrote:

i am 100% correct wrote:

It's true. Discus

Best of luck to all of the Newbury Park Alums. The odds are more in their favor given their HS performances. I predict, if it does happen, it would be the athlete you least expect.

Well What Do You Know wrote:

They aren't good enough to make the 2024 team. So realistically that leaves only 3 Olympics - 2028, 2032, and 2036.

That's only 5 guys and only 3 shots, so a total of only 15 shots.

So the odds are not good that any of them will make an Olympic team. But the odds aren't zero.

Hardloper wrote:

No Olympian will ever make Newbury Park's varsity squad

Broaden wrote:

Well What Do You Know wrote:

They aren't good enough to make the 2024 team. So realistically that leaves only 3 Olympics - 2028, 2032, and 2036.

That's only 5 guys and only 3 shots, so a total of only 15 shots.

So the odds are not good that any of them will make an Olympic team. But the odds aren't zero.

Not quite as from odds if you broaden out the math.

Core distance events:

1500 - steeple - 5k - 10k - marathon

15 available spots for each Olympics. If we use your same 3 Olympics. That adds to a total of 45 opportunities to grab 1 spot.

My research indicates wrote:

By my calculations, Newbury Park has a better probability than most high schools.

wikipedia robot man wrote:

Notable alumni

• Jordan Cameron, football player in the NFL

• Colby Cameron, football player in the NFL

• Belinda Carlisle, singer

• Hailey Clauson, Sports Illustrated swimsuit model
• Lorna Doom, born Teresa Ryan, bass guitarist in The Germs
• Heather Locklear, actress
• M. Ward, musician, producer
• Katie Meyer, college soccer player
• Jason Narvy, actor
• Jesse James Rutherford, singer
• Jimmie Sherfy, pitcher for Arizona Diamondbacks
• Will Svitek, football player in the NFL
• Kim Woo-sung, singer in The Rose
• Shirley Wu, award-winning data scientist
  
• Nico Young, long-distance runner who competed in the 2020 Olympic Trials

Well What Do You Know wrote:

Broaden wrote:

Not quite as from odds if you broaden out the math.

Core distance events:

1500 - steeple - 5k - 10k - marathon

15 available spots for each Olympics. If we use your same 3 Olympics. That adds to a total of 45 opportunities to grab 1 spot.

No, that's not true. They won't each be running 5 events at each Olympics trials. They will probably each only be running ONE event at each Olympic trials. 5 guys times 3 Olympic trials is a total of 15 shots.

statisticassumptions wrote:

i am 100% correct wrote:

It's true. Discus

In the last 15 Olympic games ('64-'21) there have been 225 Olympic Team spots available for middle/long distance running men. (1500-Marathon). If you apply the "top" High School distance runners of every year against the list of Olympians I think you would find relatively few that made Olympic squads. For every Ryun, Liquori, Pre, Lindgren, Virgin, Salazar, Centrowitz, etc. there are many who have not reached that level. To further narrow to a specific High School is statistically not in their favor.

Best of luck to all of the Newbury Park Alums. The odds are more in their favor given their HS performances. I predict, if it does happen, it would be the athlete you least expect.

Jonathan Commentor wrote:

Nico hasn't even ran a 10k yet. Not sure why he's so hesitant to move up in distance when he's obviously built for it

skull emoji wrote:

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Pell1 wrote:

Brosnan deserves no credit for this, give it to Mike Smith

Well What Do You Know wrote:

They aren't good enough to make the 2024 team. So realistically that leaves only 3 Olympics - 2028, 2032, and 2036.

That's only 5 guys and only 3 shots, so a total of only 15 shots.

So the odds are not good that any of them will make an Olympic team. But the odds aren't zero.