To go under 28 minutes would mean Axel would need approx 13.25-13.32 capacity for 5000. This in turn, would probably require close to 7.50/3000 speed. Going further, this would require close to 3.43–3.45/1500 speed in a race or time trial.
Everything is related, but there are outliers, and he (Axel) may be one.
Axel said after his Monaco 5km win earlier this year that he thought he was in sub 13:30 shape but that the initial pace (up to 3000m) was too low.
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