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2008 Pre Classic Distance Preview
by: LetsRun.com
June 7, 2008

The Pre meet is always the top meet in America and this year the distance races are absolutely sick. Our previews below.
*Start lists

Men's Mile: Stacked Field Ready to Tangle
This race is stacked and would be super interesting even if it did not have the subplot of being Alan Webb's 2008 track debut.

Dan Komen (world ranked #1 last year) has been most impressive of anyone in the field, coming off a 3:31.91 2nd place finish in Berlin on Sunday. He was closely followed by Shedrack Korir (.08 behind) and Alex Kipchirchir (3:32.16). Lopez Lomong got the win at Reebok last week in NY and Kevin Sullivan won at adidas, but don't expect them to contend here.

No doubt, a ton of attention will be on Webb, who is making his 2008 track debut. Webb has struggled mightily in 2008 (fading at the NY 8k with food poisoning, then dropping out of Carlsbad 5000, and then skipping the Stanford meet). Can he return to the amazing form he exhibited in 2007 (American record in the mile)? If he doesn't a few people might hit the "panic button" for Webb heading into the Olympic Trials.

Alan Webb
Daniel K. Komen (Kenya)
Shedrack Korir (Kenya)
Alex Kipchirchir (Kenya)
Matt Tegenkamp
Lopez Lomong
Belal Mansour (Bahrain)
Kevin Sullivan (Canada)
Nick Willis (New Zealand)
Jon Rankin
Will Leer
Jackson Kivuna (Kenya)—pace

Predictions: 1) Korir 2) Webb 3) Komen (Webb ran a 3:53 in high school, and is opening his season at Pre, clearly his camp isn't lacking at confidence.)


Bekele Rarely Screws Up

Men's 10k Kenenisa Bekele Going for World Record, Abdi for American Record?
This race is about one thing, a World Record attempt for Kenenisa Bekele. The start time has been moved before the main meet (9:30 am). It just seems a bit strange to have a track race at 9:30 am, but the track nuts in Eugene will be eating it up.

We however don't think Bekele is in world record shape. He missed some time before the African Champs and came as close as he ever does to losing there. He rebounded with a convincing 5k win in Hengelo (12:58) but fell off the world record pace there.

American Abdi Abdirahman is in the field. Abdi has run great from 10k (7th at Worlds) last year to the marathon (until the Olympic Trials where he dropped out) the last couple years. We've got to figure if he's in the race, he's after Meb's American record (27:13.98) from 2001 (This thread on trackandfield news confirms he is racing here because he missed his flight for the 10k in Hengelo). Breaking the record might depend on the pace. If there's a non-record group going out at 13:40 pace it seems like he'd be more likely to get the record than if he goes out and just hangs on to the back of the Bekele group.

Prediction: Bekele misses the record. 26:17 is super, super fast. (Bekele ran 26:46 last year in Brussels). We'll split the difference. 26:35. American record for Abdi. (We weren't predicting it until we see he missed his flight)


Defar with Her 14:24 Record

Women's 5000: Meseret Defar Going for World Record, Faces Challenge from Cheruiyot
Last year in Oslo, Meseret Defar smashed her own world record (14:24.53 to 14:16.63) in the 5k. She's racing after Bekele in the morning trying to lower the record. One big problem is last night in Oslo her compatriot Tirunesh Dibaba smashed the record, lowering it to 14:11.

The other problem is Defar lost in her last race to countrywoman Meselech Melkamu at the African Champs. Defar said she was sick that day and we believe her as the last lap was 61 seconds, and she usually would crush someone running "only" a 61 off a slow pace.

But the race is far from a time trials as also in the race is Vivian Cheruiyot. When Defar was running her 14:16.63 last year, Cheruiyot was in her wake running 14:22, breaking the previous world record. When Defar was winning the gold in Osaka at 5000m Cheruiyot was right behind her in 2nd.

Prediction: 1) Defar is too good 2) Cheruiyot 3) Kara Goucher (Goucher is returning from injury, but is fit as she ran 31:30 last weekend)

Women's 800 Mutola Goes for 16 Straight
You'll never see another streak like this one. Maria Mutola is going for her 16th straight and final win at Pre on Sunday. Truly amazing. She has one 1500 victory, one 1,000m victory and eleven 800 victories. (She didn't compete in 2002).

Mutola is still going strong at age 35 (world indoor bronze) but has announced she's retiring after this year. This is Mutola's first 800m race in a month. She was 2nd to super sensation Pamela Jelimo at the African champs (when no one knew who Jelimo was, only one month ago), then ran a 1500m the next week and now is running Pre.

If Mutola will make it #16, she'll have to beat the top Americans and that's about it. The field consist of Diane Cummins (only 2:03.6 last weekend), Miho Sato of Japan, a high shooler Chanelle Price, Nicole Teter coming off injury, 1500m specialist Shannon Rowbury, and the top 2 Americans Hazel Clark (undefeated in 2008 until she dropped out of Reebok with food poisoning) and US #2 Alice Schmidt who is making her 2008 800m debut.

Maria Mutola (Mozambique)
Nicole Teter
Hazel Clark
Alice Schmidt
Miho Sato (Japan)
Diane Cummins (Canada)
Chanelle Price
Shannon Rowbury

Prediction: With Hazel Clark's food poisoning don't expect her to have rebounded 100%. Mutola makes it #16.


Paul Koech via photorun.net.
Photo Gallery here

Men's 2 mile: Lagat vs Mottram and Now Ramzi
Double world champ Bernard Lagat is skipping his specialty the 1500 to run the 2 mile versus Craig Motttram, double 2005 World Champ Rashid Ramzi, and steeple stud Paul Koech (who broke the American all-comers record last weekend, 8:01.85).

This is we believe the first race for Ramzi over 1500m. It'll be interesting to see how he does. It also is his first race of the outdoor season. The fact he opted out of the 1500 hints that perhaps he is not 100% fit.

Lagat will not only be after the win but also Matt Tegenkamp's American record of 8:07.07.

Predictions: Mottram is fit coming off his 27:34 10k win at Stanford. Koech clearly is fit with his 8:01 steeple. But we've got to go with Lagat. His finishing speed is incredible, he won the 1500m at Reebok and we don't see Koech running away from him early on.
1) Lagat gets the record 2) Koech 3) Mottram

Women's 1500: Jamal versus Burka
World outdoor champ Maryam Jamal faces World Junior Record holder Gelete Burka (who went sub 4 indoors to get bronze, 1 spot ahead of Jamal at the World Indoor Champs in the greatest women's indoor 1500m ever).

Jamal ran a 1:58.66 pr in Hengelo and then last week followed it up with a 2:00 in New York. Burka meanwhile won the 1500 at the African Champs and then ran 14:45 to win the 5k in Hengelo.

Predictions: We wish Rowbury hadn't switched to the 800 as we'd like to see her try and break 4.
1) Jamal appears a little sharper at the shorter distances, but we're always preaching strength as the key to getting faster so we'll go with Burka 2) Jamal
American Treniere Clement is in the field and after her 2:03.91 at Reebok needs a good effort here to prove she's getting fitter before the Trials as she's had a spotty spring.


Nick Symmonds

Men's 800: Reebok Race + Symmonds + World champ Kirwa
This race is stacked. The men's 800 was the top distance meet at the Reebok meet and this 800 features the top 3 from Reebok: champ Yusuf Kamel (world indoor bronze medallist), 2nd placer Khadevis Robinson (US #1), 3rd placer Gary Reed (silver medallist at Worlds), plus surprise World outdoor champ Alfred Yego and last year's champ Nick Symmonds of the US (not to mention the fastest guy in the field in 2008 Ismael Kombich (1:44.9 to win in Brazil)).

Predictions: It should be a great, great race. Take any of the names and draw them out of a hat and you might do a better job predicting than us. But we're paid the big bucks to tell you who will win.
1) Khadevis Robinson keeps the title in America.


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