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LRC ACC Women's XC Championship Preview Teams: #3 Florida State, #25 Wake Forest, #30 Duke, Virginia Tech, North Carolina, Boston College, NC State, Miami, Clemson, UVA, Georgia Tech, Maryland Storyline #1: ACC Women's Meet '08: The Susan Kuijken Seminole repeat s+how!
It's going to be a repeat of last year as Susan Kuijken (3rd in 2007 NCAAs) and the Florida State Seminoles put their dominance on display at Pre-Nationals last weekend, finishing in a tie for first in their section with Kuijken getting the win in a new course record. North Carolina's Brie Felnagle, also a winner in Terre Haute (and 10th in 2007 NCAAs) will certainly have something to say about our prediction, saying she deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Kuijken. She does, that's true, but her Pre-NCAA time was slower and she has yet to rival Kuijken. Last year, Kuijken beat Felnagle by about 30 seconds at ACCs and 30 seconds at NCAAs. Another major individual factor will be Tasmin Fanning of Virginia Tech, who finished only 16 seconds behind 2-time reigning NCAA champion (and one of the NCAA's best ever) Sally Kipyego of Texas Tech at Arkansas' Chile Pepper Festival. Fanning (11th in 2007 NCAAs) will definitely be a player for the 2nd or 3rd spots, but can she really push Kuijken? It would be great to see these 3 All-Americans neck-and-neck with 1,000m to go. Who ya got, Wilbon? Team-wise, #3 FSU should take it down. The big surprise this year has been the rise of Wake Forest, which currently sits at #25 in the country and #1 in the Southeast region after finishing 3rd at the Penn State National last weekend, losing to West Virginia and Penn State, but defeating conference rival #30 Duke (#2 in Southeast region, w/o Kate Van Buskirk). Wake returns the 6th-fewest points in the conference, but they have added 2 freshmen currently in their top 5, plus senior Allie Kieffer is back in their lineup. She was only 47th at ACCs as a sophomore, but she's running a ton better than that right now. So Wake should take down Duke (assuming the Dukies don't have any surprise additions), and we're predicting the tight pack of Boston College to offset Va Tech's firepower Fannings (Hokies narrowly burned the Eagles at Chile Pepper).
Here's where it gets confusing. NC State has spent most of the year until Pre-Nats as the Southeast region #1, even earning national rankings. However, they ran a team of only freshmen at Pre-Nats and got 30th in their section. According to their web site, their top returner, Brittany Tinnsley (5th last year) is injured, but three other returning upper-classwomen from last year's top 5 are healthy, just not competing attached, or not competing at all. This kind of baloney is the reason why NC State is no longer ranked in the top 5 in the Southeast, nor receiving national votes, and it's also why it's impossible to predict how they will do at ACCs. We halfway jokingly predict there may be some red-shirting on the horizon and NC State will be the first team in ACC history to run only freshmen at the league meet. They will still beat about 1/3rd of the ACC teams and finish 8th, if that is the case. If they run everyone that's healthy, they might be #2, as they've been ranked as high as 20th in the country this year. Way to keep us guessing, Lady Wolfpackers! LRC 2008 ACC Women's Team Predictions
1. FSU
2. Wake Forest (big year for the Demon Deacons)
3. Duke
4. BC
5. Va. Tech
6. UNC
7. UVA
8. (or as high as 2nd) NC State's [freshman] team
LRC 2008 ACC Women's Individual Predictions
1. Susan Kuijken (FSU)
2. Tasmin Fanning (Va. Tech)
3. Brie Felnagle (UNC)
4. Lesley Van Miert (FSU)
5. Lauren Holesh (UNC)
6. Jess Fanning (Va. Tech)
7. Stephanie Garcia (UVA)
8. Allie Kieffer (Wake Forest)
9. Pilar McShine (FSU)
10. Kara McKenna (NC State)
Teams: #3 Florida State, #25 Wake Forest, #30 Duke, Virginia Tech,
North Carolina, Boston College, NC State, Miami, Clemson, UVA, Georgia Tech, Maryland
Major New Additions:
Carly Seymour, Fr. Duke - running as their #1
Allie Kieffer, Sr. Wake Forest - returns for the Demon Deacons after missing '07 ACCs
Anna Nosenko, Fr. Wake Forest - running as #2
Lesley Van Miert, ? FSU - running as #2, 5th at Pre-NCAAs
Interesting Fact:
5 out of the top 11 NCAA XC finishers last year were from the
ACC, including Kuijken (3rd), Felnagle (10th) and Fanning (11th). The
two seniors were Emily Harrison (UVA, 6th) and Barbara Parker (UNC,
7th).
2007 ACC Top 6 Teams
1. Florida State 64
2. NC State 102
3. Boston College 106
4. North Carolina 118
5. Virginia Tech 121
6. Duke 123 1 Susan Kuijken SO Florida State 20:23.5 1 2 Emily Harrison SR Virginia 20:36.6 2 3 Brianna Felnagle JR North Carolina 20:52.5 3 4 Tasmin Fanning JR Virginia Tech 20:57.7 4 5 Brittany Tinsley JR NC State 21:11.4 5 6 Barbara Parker SR Florida State 21:16.3 6 7 Natalie Sherbak JR Virginia Tech 21:19.7 7 8 Mallory Champa JR Boston College 21:22.7 8 9 Brielle Chabot SO Boston College 21:24.1 9 10 Megan Kaltenbach SR North Carolina 21:27.6 10 11 Maddie McKeever JR Duke 21:29.1 11 12 Kate Van Buskirk SO Duke 21:32.6 12 Hypothetical results based on returners from 2007 conference meet + selected results from major 2008 meets Obviously, some runners listed as returners will, in fact, not be
running this season. New recruits or transfers will also clearly have
an immediate impact, as will runners left off of last year's squads who
may have improved dramatically this year. These lists are merely a
reflection of what the teams' returning conference runners did at last
year's meet and how they would have placed if last year's seniors were
removed - nothing more, nothing less.
1. Florida State (81)
Susan Kuijken (1) Hannah England (12) Pilar McShine (13) Christina Woytalewicz (23) Lydia Willemse (32) (only 5 returning finishers) 2008 Pre-Nats
2008 Penn State National
4. Duke 10 3 Carly Seymour, Fr*, Duke 21:01 31 8 Emily Schwitzer, So*, Duke 21:23 32 6 Suejin Ahn, Fr*, Duke 21:24 39 11 Christy Adamyk, So*, Duke 21:32 42 13 Anna Farias-Eisner, Sr*, Duke 21:42 47 15 Molly Lehman, Sr*, Duke 21:48 57 17 Patricia Loughlin, Sr*, Duke 21:55 Time = 1:47:01 Places = 154 3. Virginia Tech (91) Tasmin Fanning (3) Natalie Sherbak (5) Kelly Clark (10) Jess Fanning (35) Erin Reddan (38) Lisa MacPherson (51) Sam Ference (53)
2008 Chile Pepper
4. VIRGINIA TECH 2 15 31 35 100 (122)(139) = 183 Tasmin Fanning, Jess Fanning, Erin Reddan, Natalie Kretzer, Jess Trapeni, Sammy Dow, Lauren Pinkston 4. Boston College (93) Mallory Champa (6) Brielle Chabot (7) Nichole Lister (16) Jessica Driscoll (21) Christy Titus (43) (only 5 returning finishers) 2008 Chile Pepper Invite
5. BOSTON COLLEGE 24 27 43 44 47 (58) (91) = 185 Brielle Chabot, Mallory Champa, Lauren Johnston, Mary Heitkamp, Nichole Lister, Caroline King, Nicola Tufts 5. North Carolina State (105) Brittany Tinsley (4) Colleen Wetherbee (14) Marika Walker (22) Bona Jones (24) Magin Kebert (41) Kara McKenna (56) (only 6 returning finishers)
2008 Pre-Nats
32. 864 North Carolina St. (22:36.1 113:00.1) 1 61 979 Emily Pritt 21:23.8 2 148 977 Caroline Kirby 22:21.1 3 194 976 Andie Cozzarelli 22:47.0 4 230 973 Lauren Bishop 23:13.9 5 231 975 Amanda Burger 23:14.3 6 (264) 972 Erika Alpeter 24:10.0 6. Wake Forest (126) Nicole Schappert (11) Chelsea Bolton (18) Marley Burns (20) Merry Placer (27) Cate Berenato (50) Whitney Curry (59) Jess Barton (61)
2008 Penn State National
3. Wake Forest 7 3 Allie Kieffer, Sr*, Wake Forest 20:51 15 4 Anna Nosenko, Fr*, Wake Forest 21:05 26 7 Marley Burns, So*, Wake Forest 21:15 38 7 Dina Nosenko, Fr*, Wake Forest 21:28 50 16 Merry Placer, Sr*, Wake Forest 21:51 103 22 Laura Rapp, Fr*, Wake Forest 22:59 110 24 Cate Berenato, So*, Wake Forest 23:05 Time = 1:46:28 Places = 136 7. Virginia (163) Stephanie Garcia (15) Samantha Stafford (28) Suzanne Ginnon (36) Diana Burk (40) Sara Casscells (44) Susan Brooks (45) (only 6 returning finishers)
2008 Pre-Nats
23. 596 Virginia ( 22:02 1:50:09) 1 17 1567 Stephanie Garcia 20:51 2 61 1568 Morgane Gay 21:32 3 161 1573 Samantha Stafford 22:27 4 172 1562 Susan Brooks 22:35 5 185 1569 Lyndsay Harper 22:44 6 (213) 1564 Sara Casscells 23:11 8. North Carolina (166) Brianna Felnagle (2) Morgan Stengel (26) Courtlin LaReau (37) Emily Hoffman (47) Caley Booth (54) Lauren Holesh (58) (only 6 returning finishers) 2008 Pre-Nats
20. 518 North Carolina (21:40.2 108:20.7) ========================================================== 1 1 961 Brianna Felnagle 20:02.4 2 15 964 Lauren Holesh 20:36.0 3 122 971 Ashley Verplank 22:07.1 4 145 970 Morgan Stengel 22:18.8 5 235 967 Courtlin Lareau 23:16.4 9. Clemson (199) Jenna Baker (17) Laura Laughlin (34) Abby Iselborn (42) Stephanie Buffo (46) Sunday Ford (60) Joanie Castagno (63) Lisa Brown (64) 10. Maryland (219) Erin Matyus (31) Angeli Sivaraman (39) Christina Nelson (48) Lindsay Ritchings (49) Libby Babcock (52) Kylynn McKinley (55) Kristin Reed (57) 11. Miami (347) Eva Leufroy (65) Caitlin Knapp (69) Katherine Woodard (70) Jackie Sullivan (71) Anika Arevalo (72) (only 5 returning finishers) 12. Georgia Tech (incomplete score) Lindsey Pickens (62) Veronica Kinard (66) Ashley Keck (67) Katina Zuganelis (68) (only 4 returning finishers)
2008 Pre-Nats
36. 953 Georgia Tech (22:49.1 114:05.2) ========================================================== 1 97 485 Mary Kate Dubard 21:49.2 2 167 489 Annie Martin 22:28.9 3 223 487 Betsy Kim 23:10.4 4 228 488 Veronica Kinard 23:13.5 5 238 491 Lindsey Pickens 23:23.2 6 (246) 483 Felicity Brower 23:34.6 7 (253) 486 Ashley Keck 23:45.1 Pre-Nationals combined results 2. Florida St. 190 points *Disagree with our predictions? Vote in our NCAA Polls (National and Conference Voting) or email us *LetsRun.com NCAA XC Conference Polls from 10/17/08
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