Here's a step-by-step description of the selection process for the
Women's At Large Teams for this weekend's NCAA D-1 Cross Country
Championships at the University of Northern Iowa.

The Official NCAA release listing the team and individual field may be
found at:
http://www.ncaa.org/releases/champselections/2003111704sl.htm


At the top of each step -- [Teams listed in brackets] denote teams that
were pushed into the meet by a team that finished behind them at regional
competition; wins over teams that were pushed into the meet do not count
towards at large wins.

For each step, I have listed the bubble team and the team that finished
immediately behind it at the regional championship; in [brackets] I have
listed the # of wins over teams already accepted into the field as well
as which teams the bubble team has beaten.

At the end of each step, I listed the team selected and the rationale.


ROUND 1 & 2:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State.
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - Villanova [0], Penn State [4; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn]
SE - Wake Forest [7; Mo, Mich, Neb, UCLA, Mo, FlSt, FlSt], Duke [2; Tx,
FlSt]
GL - Mich St [6; Colum, Prov, Bay, Mo, Mich, Neb], Ind [0]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Col St [4; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn], N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ, Gtwn, Neb,
Bay, Tx]
W - Washington [0], Ariz St [7; Colum, Prov, Bay, Mo, Mich, Neb, UCLA]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Arizona State (pushes Washington) - 7 wins, H2H vs Wake Forest

ROUND 3:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - Villanova [0], Penn State [4; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn]
SE - Wake Forest [7; Mo, Mich, Neb, UCLA, Mo, FlSt, FlSt], Duke [2; Tx,
FlSt]
GL - Mich St [6; Colum, Prov, Bay, Mo, Mich, Neb], Ind [0]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Col St [4; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn], N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ, Gtwn, Neb,
Bay, Tx]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Wake Forest - 7 wins

ROUND 4:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - Villanova [0], Penn State [5; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn, Wake]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Mich St [7; Colum, Prov, Bay, Mo, Mich, Neb, Wake], Ind [0]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Col St [5; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn, Wake], N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ,
Gtwn, Neb, Bay, Tx]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Michigan State - 7 wins

ROUND 5 & 6:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - Villanova [0], Penn State [5; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn, Wake]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Ind [0], Marq [2; Neb, FlSt]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Col St [5; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn, Wake], N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ,
Gtwn, Neb, Bay, Tx]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Penn State [pushes Villanova] - 5 wins
NOTE: Northern Arizona could push in Colorado State at this step, with
Penn State pushing Villanova on step 7&8.  BUT, it makes no difference
because under either scenario at Step 9, the same bubble teams all have
the same number of wins and all the teams with wins over Colorado State
are already in the meet.

ROUND 7:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Ind [0], Marq [2; Neb, FlSt]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Col St [5; Mo, Mich, Neb, Tenn, Wake], N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ,
Gtwn, Neb, Bay, Tx]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Colorado State - 5 wins

ROUND 8:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State,
Colorado State
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Ind [0], Marq [2; Neb, FlSt]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - N Ariz [6; FlSt, Princ, Gtwn, Neb, Bay, Tx], Texas Tech [ 2; Tx,
Neb]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Northern Arizona - 6 wins

ROUND 9 & 10:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State,
Colorado State, Northern Arizona
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Ind [0], Marq [2; Neb, FlSt]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Texas Tech [2; Tx, Neb], Nevada [0]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Marquette [pushes Indiana] - Marq df WVa, TxTech; Duke df UCSB;
Marq df Neb df Duke

ROUND 11:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State,
Colorado State, Northern Arizona, [Indiana], Marquette
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Wisconsin [3; Neb, Marq, FlSt], Toledo [0]
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Texas Tech [2; Tx, Neb], Nevada [0]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Wisconsin - 3 wins

ROUND 12:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State,
Colorado State, Northern Arizona, [Indiana], Marquette, Wisconsin
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [2; Tx, FlSt], W&M [0]
GL - Toledo [0],
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Texas Tech [2; Tx, Neb], Nevada [0]
W - UCSB [2; Bay, Tx], Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: UCSB
Rationale-
UCSB won most recent H-2-H over Duke
UCSB beat BC which beat Duke, TxTech, WVa
UCSB also traded common opponent wins w/ TxTech (lost to Neb, beat Bay)

ROUND 13:
Autos: Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North Carolina, NC
State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Baylor, Brigham
Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida State, [Washington],
Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State, [Villanova], Penn State,
Colorado State, Northern Arizona, [Indiana], Marquette, Wisconsin, UCSB
NE - Dartmouth [0], Yale [0]
MA - West Va [2; Tenn, FlSt], Penn [0]
SE - Duke [3; Tx, FlSt, UCSB], W&M [0]
GL - Toledo [0],
MW - Illinois [0], SWMo [0]
SC - Arkansas [0], TCU [0]
Mtn - Texas Tech [2; Tx, Neb], Nevada [0]
W - Id [0]
S - Georgia [1; Tx], Auburn [0]
Selected: Duke - 3 wins


Final Field -- Providence, Columbia, Georgetown, Princeton, North
Carolina, NC State, Notre Dame, Michigan, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas,
Baylor, Brigham Young, Colorado, Stanford, UCLA, Tennessee, Florida
State, [Washington], Arizona State, Wake Forest, Michigan State,
[Villanova], Penn State, Colorado State, Northern Arizona, [Indiana],
Marquette, Wisconsin, UCSB, Duke

Mike's in depth analysis of the Women's NCAA Division XC sign can be found at his website here.

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