Who Will Win the Olympic Marathon Trials? Conner Mantz and Emily Sisson HUGE Favorites
By LetsRun.com
The Olympic Marathon Trials are almost finally here with the race Saturday at 10 am eastern on Peacock.
Sure we’ve been talking about this race for months, and have loads of coverage. Throw that all out the window.
What do you, the most educated running fans on the planet, think about the race in the $20,024 LetsRun.com Prediction Contest sponsored by Relay? You can still get your picks in here.
(Sponsor plug: Not sure what Relay is? Relay Goods is a responsible shopping alternative that delivers 99% new premium running shoes without sacrificing quality, affordability, or ethical consumption. Think name brand running shoes at amazing prices.)
Conner Mantz and Emily Sisson are huge, huge favorites in both race.
Men’s Picks: Conner Mantz and Training Partner Clayton Young Picked to Go 1-2
Conner Mantz is the big favorite to win the race on the men’s side. He has over two-thirds of the vote with the next two vote getters, Clayton Young and Galen Rupp clocking in under 10%.
Those three in that order are your predicted top 3. Makes sense as Mantz and Young are the two fastest qualifiers for the Trials and Galen Rupp is the best American marathoner of this generation. Both Mantz and Young have said their training is going well but there are some question marks about Rupp.
| Who will win men’s race? | |
| Conner Mantz | 67.1 % |
| Clayton Young | 9.4 % |
| Galen Rupp | 9.2 % |
| Paul Chelimo | 3.6 % |
| Scott Fauble | 2.7 % |
| Leonard Korir | 2.7 % |
| Sam Chelanga | 1.3 % |
| Futsum Zienasellassie | 1 % |
| Zachery Panning | 0.8 % |
| Teshome Asfaha | 0.7 % |
| Others | 1.4 % |
| 1. | Conner Mantz (562) | 7707 |
| 2. | Clayton Young (79) | 5498 |
| 3. | Galen Rupp (77) | 4960 |
| 4. | Scott Fauble (23) | 3566 |
| 5. | Zachery Panning (7) | 1941 |
| 6. | Leonard Korir (23) | 1825 |
| 7. | Paul Chelimo (30) | 1762 |
| 8. | Sam Chelanga (11) | 1536 |
| 9. | Clayton Albertson (3) | 1403 |
| 10. | Futsum Zienasellassie (8) | 1045 |
| 11. | Abbabiya Simbassa (3) | 370 |
| 12. | Teshome Asfaha (6) | 364 |
| 13. | Matthew McDonald | 275 |
| 14. | Abdi Abdirahman (4) | 199 |
| 15. | Elkanah Kibet | 131 |
| 16. | Reed Fischer (1) | 130 |
| 17. | Brian Shrader | 108 |
| 18. | Nicolas Montanez | 75 |
| 19. | Andrew Colley | 67 |
| 20. | Jared Ward | 67 |
| Others receiving votes: 21. Isai Rodriguez 56 22. Jacob Thomson 43 23. Parker Stinson 41 24. Nathan Martin 40 25. Frank Lara 40 26. Colin Bennie 36 27. Joel Reichow 30 28. Colin Mickow 30 29. Shadrack Kipchirchir 24 30. Noah Droddy 18 31. Tyler Pennel 17 32. Jacob Riley 16 33. Kevin Salvano 13 34. Afewerki Zeru 9 35. Donald Cowart 8 36. Matthew Welch 8 37. Aidan Reed 7 38. Shadrack Biwott 7 39. Awet Beraki 6 40. James Quattlebaum 6 41. Jack Mastandrea 6 42. Martin Hehir 6 43. Matt Lenehan 6 44. Collin Buck 6 45. Charlie Sweeney 6 46. Josh Izewski 6 | ||
Women’s Picks: Emily Sisson the Big Favorite With Betsay Saina a Strong #2
Emily Sisson is the American record holder and she told LetsRun.com her training is going well. Nearly 65% of you think she’ll win on Saturday. If she falters, Betsy Saina who ran well in her 2 marathons in 2022 and has been training with Joyciline Jepkosgei and male pacers in Kenya is the strong #2. Former American record holder Keira D’Amato is a strong #3.
| Who will win women’s race? | |
| Emily Sisson | 65 % |
| Betsy Saina | 22.3 % |
| Keira D’Amato | 8.3 % |
| Sara Hall | 1.7 % |
| Molly Seidel | 0.7 % |
| Aliphine Tuliamuk | 0.7 % |
| Fiona O’keeffe | 0.2 % |
| Lindsay Flanagan | 0.2 % |
| Nell Rojas | 0.2 % |
| Lauren Hagans | 0.1 % |
| Others | 0.5 % |
| 1. | Emily Sisson (534) | 7660 |
| 2. | Betsy Saina (183) | 6101 |
| 3. | Keira D’Amato (68) | 5781 |
| 4. | Sara Hall (14) | 3725 |
| 5. | Aliphine Tuliamuk (6) | 1411 |
| 6. | Fiona O’keeffe (2) | 1188 |
| 7. | Lindsay Flanagan (2) | 1121 |
| 8. | Sara Vaughn (1) | 1104 |
| 9. | Nell Rojas (2) | 845 |
| 10. | Gabriella Rooker | 787 |
| 11. | Natosha Rogers (1) | 686 |
| 12. | Molly Seidel (6) | 481 |
| 13. | Jennifer Simpson | 321 |
| 14. | Desiree Linden | 267 |
| 15. | Dakotah Lindwurm | 243 |
| 16. | Kellyn Taylor | 228 |
| 17. | Emily Durgin | 192 |
| 18. | Lauren Hagans (1) | 102 |
| 19. | Sarah Sellers | 98 |
| 20. | Susanna Sullivan | 85 |
| Others receiving votes: 21. Molly Huddle 66 22. Annie Frisbie 61 23. Elvin Kibet 51 24. Tristin Van Ord 43 25. Marybeth Chelanga 22 26. Stephanie Bruce 20 27. Jacqueline Gaughan 19 28. Bria Wetsch 13 29. Margareta Montoya 13 30. Jessa Hanson 12 31. Jeralyn Poe 9 32. Allie Kieffer 9 33. Billie Hatch 9 34. Rosa Moriello 7 35. Tara Welling 7 36. Taylor Dare 7 37. Kelsey Bruce 6 38. Rachel Hyland 6 39. Maya Weigel 6 40. Heather Kampf 6 41. Makenna Myler 6 42. Jennifer Bergman 6 43. Laura Thweatt 6 44. Caroline Rotich 6 45. Elena Hayday 6 46. Kathy VanDehy 6 47. Molly Grabill 6 48. Katja Goldring 6 49. Elaina Tabb 6 | ||
Winning Times?!
We’ve asked people to also put in their winning times. The men’s median winning time is: 2:09:12.
For the women, it’s 2:22:41.
You can still enter the $20,024 Contest Sponsored by Relay Here
