How many world world class times and gold medals have been erased from the history books because of subsequent positive test results? I'm talking about across the entire span of endurance sport. The phenomena of retroactively disqualifying athletes for blood manipulation is all too common in endurance sport. Is this not evidence of EPO's positive effects in elite athletes.
With regards to your comment that there doesn't seem to be many "superhuman" performances in running, I'm assuming you are referring to positive drug test results? In my opinion, the reason we have had less running busts in the past is simply down to logistics. It is infinitely easier to manipulate blood values for a long distance running event than it is for a 3 week cycling Tour. I mean, INFINITELY easier! You only have to be clean on a single day. If you understand the pharmacology of EPO and how to manipulate your blood to produce a "psuedo-clean" blood profile, then really you're an idiot if you test positive.
I don't need to name names in order to justify this point, but obviously Jeptoo and the Russian athletes are the most recent examples of positive tests. However, you'd be very gullible if you didn't question some of the performances from the turn of the millenium (prior to the introduction of EPO testing) from athletes that never tested positive. Remember that Lance Armstrong never tested positive and as i mentioned, it is far more difficult to manipulate your blood for a 3 week Tour. Yet those guys did it easily...
The anaerobic threshold is at submaximal intensity, yet it is the rate limiting factor for a great many aerobic events (up to and including half-marathon). So what happens metabolically at the anaerobic threshold? The mitochondria in your muscle cells have reached their rate limit of oxidation. Either there is not enough oxygen getting to the mitochondria, or the rate of substrate transport into the mitochondria has maxed out. So to go any faster, your muscle's only option is to increase the anaerobic breakdown of glucose and instead of transporting the end-product (pyruvate) into the mitochondria, the muscle cell is forced to convert the pyruvate into lactate.
Lund et al. (2008) amongst other researchers have shown that providing more O2 to the muscle (via EPO) does allow for increased diffusion of O2 into the muscle cell and by proxy, increases oxidation by the mitochondria. So at submaximal intensities, the mitochondria have more available O2 to continue breaking down pyruvate. Therefore less conversion of pyruvate to lactate; therefore lower lactate concentrations at the same speed; therefore faster speed at anaerobic threshold. By providing more O2 to the muscles, your maximal aerobic power goes up but your submaximal efficiency has to improve as a direct consequence.
Agreed. However it is BADDER science to ignore all available data and instead assume the opposite effect. The scientific literature reporting the effects of EPO in humans consistently shows improvements in aerobic performance. When you couple this with the world records that have been retroactively erased due positive tests, then in my opinion we have ample evidence of it's effectiveness in elite athletes. Regardless, the following statements are true in humans:
1) There is a significant correlation between VO2max and aerobic performance.
2) The rate limiting factor for VO2max is delivery of O2 to the muscles.
3) EPO increases the delivery of O2 to the muscles, therefore enhancing VO2max and aerobic performance.
Until this statement is demonstrated to be untrue in a subset of the population, it is logical to assume it holds true for all humans. I have not heard any rational argument as to why that shouldn't be the case in elites. Obviously, it is not possible to test any such hypothesis on world class athletes for ethical reasons. Yet Conconi's work in the late 80's did just that. He conducted a study on "amateur cyclists" in which EPO was systematically administered. It subsequently turned out that the subjects were in fact members of the Cerrara cycling team which included several Grand Tour winners. That evidence was compelling enough that basically every other pro-cycling team subsequently began using EPO...
Renato argues that we have no data on elite athletes, therefore there is no effect or even a negative effect. This is the scientific equivalent of an ostrich burying their head in the sand. Whats worse, the ostrich happens to be the world's most successful distance coach and is encouraging everyone else to bury their heads in the sand too...
Speculation based on the phyisological effects they presented and combining it with other work on lactate kinetics. Its true that their protocol wasn't set up in such a way as to look at lactate curves or kinetics, however having spoken to one of the authors, they speculated the same thing (they just couldn't say it in the article, since it wasn't measured). The data certainly suggests it, and when you combine that data with George Brook's work on lactate shuttling, it is even more compelling. Intramuscular MCT-4 and MCT-1 expression directly influences lactate kinetics. Extra-cellular lactate shuttling does the same thing. Increased lactate influx into erythrocytes is simply another form of extra-cellular lactate shuttling. Hence my conclusion.
Yes, quite a bit of practical experience.
No reference, but it is a simple math problem. If you measure RER at marathon pace, then you can pretty estimate the calorific cost of running a marathon and how much of that calorific expenditure will come from glycogen.
A sub 2.15 runner will burn somewhere in the region of 2,400 - 2,600 kcal during the race. They will do this at an RER of around 0.9, which means that 32% of that energy is coming from fat metabolism. That means that around 1,700kcals is coming from glucose. Normally humans can store up to 2,500 kcal of glycogen in the liver and muscles. As long as their nutrition leading up to the race has been correct so that they have completely full glycogen stores and they take on some additional glucose at feeding stations during the race, glycogen depletion really should not be the difference between winning and losing...
Also, your logic about the 2.10 runner is flawed. If a 2.10 runner goes out at 2.05 pace, then they will accumulate excess lactate and fatigue long before they glycogen deplete. Again, that is why lactate concentrations at submaximal intensity are such an important variable in determining marathon performance.
No reference. Again this claim is based off work I have done with several top marathoners in the lab i work at. Your speed at 2.0 - 2.5 mmol during an incremental test is very accurate at predicting marathon performance. We base our predictions on these concentrations, but adjust based on other factors such as the shape of the curve and the athlete's lactate tolerance above threshold. But i've seen this method predict the fastest debut marathon time in the world, down to an accuracy of 13 seconds. That is pretty accurate considering the athlete had never even attempted the distance before and we tested her a month out from the competition. Obviously every athlete is individual so there is no set concentration (ie- exactly 2.0 for everyone). The more work you do with the athlete, the more accurate you become. Also, it is obvious that during a race there will be fluctuations in your lactate concentrations. Hence why i gave a rough range of 2.0-3.0 mmol which is what i've observed during race simulations.
But this remains the most accurate performance indicator we have for marathon performance. Therefore, improving this variable becomes the most important training goal and any intervention (legal or otherwise) which achieves this becomes highly valuable to the athlete.
Renato claimed that EPO won't help a marathoner because the most important factor is fuel utilization during the race. I disagree. But if he can accurately predict his runners' marathon times by examining their rate's of glycogen utilization, then he's a better man than I...