Way too early Woodbridge predictions

One of the most extensive previews I have ever read for a high school sports meet. Very impressive for the writers and clearly a lot of research went into it.

As everyone can see, it's a normal flat course. Last year all the runners averaged 3.02 on their strava watch.

Just hope somebody wheels the course out after setup so they avoid last year's problem. Doesn't matter how flat it is if someone screws up setting up a barrier or something and you get a 3.1 race instead of a 3.0

Another good article.

thestridereport.com

PREDICTIONS: 2024 Woodbridge XC Classic

Donald Speas

Link:www.thestridereport.com/post/predictio...

I hate StrideRsport. It makes us pay for everything nowadays

On day 2.

Rich Gonzalez tweeted today

"Just to clear up any misunderstanding being put out there, the Woodbridge Classic course is NOT YET set up nor finalized. Final version (marked and measured) is still to be done. This was my prior understanding & it was just again confirmed by the meet director a minute ago."

It’s sounds like someone has been reading along. Thanks Rich for that. Can you have your people wheel and adjust it PRIOR to day 1 and not after? My team is in Saturday but it’s better not to hear the Friday people whining about it.

I'm associated with the meet and I can confirm that staff will set up most of course tomorrow and finish Friday morning before the races start. Last year, the long course happened because varvas' watch GPS was screwed up and he was adamant it was 3 when he ran the course. Hopefully we have more people to confirm the distance before it's too late, but I can't control anything.

People have had a year to make the course the right length. They have no excuses to leave it until the last minute and get it wrong

Entries list is updated, now Clovis North is no longer in the Rated or Sweepstakes race, I guess this means they chose not to do Woodbridge?

uhh poor bozeman traveling from montana only to be left out of the action and stuck in the rated.

who do people think will win the rated Bozeman or Redondo Union?

They are both equivalent team wise...

Bozeman in the rated race is kind of like the Austin Vandegrift scenario last year.

Bozeman was put in the rated race probably because they lost a lot of seniors including Nathan Neil.

But they truly reloaded and only have 1 senior.

I think Redondo Union will beat them because their whole varsity is seniors (so they will have more experience and leadership), and they will be racing in their home state so I think they will have a slight advantage

Bozeman's marks at the Flathead Invite would have been worth 173, 170, 167, 163, 154, 151, 145 using last year's scoring.

Those would have been good enough for around 16th, 32nd, 50th, 70th, and 117th in the rated last year. That looks to me like the same thing as every year... a team that could be in the sweeps, but will be in the top 5 in the rated race and it's a better race for them overall.

I'm thinking Redondo, Bozeman, Herriman for podium in that order. But I think for whoever wins, the total scores for those teams will be very high. Like 150+ for the winner.

Too many rated teams with great 1-3 or 1-4 and just missing one good runner, but all those guys will really disrupt the scoring for the top teams.

How dare they try to make money off their own work

Rylee Blade was 9.5 seconds behind the winner last year. This year, Blade ran 42.1 seconds faster than she what she ran at the Cool Breeze Invitational last year.

Based on that piece of data, Blade is a good pick for the win. However, I don’t know enough to comment on who wins if it comes down to a tactical kick. Last year, Leachman was there to pace it hard, nullifying the kick of Englehardt.

Possibly Blade, with her superior fitness this year, will be the pacesetter. Is she fast enough to hold off Hednegren and Englehardt, running a course record in the process?

Blade for the win, and the Woodbridge board melts down.