agip wrote:
Ben Wexler
@mrbenwexler
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16h
Eric Adams just became frontrunner for GOP presidential nomination 2028
If trump replaces Vance with Adams he would win bigly.
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Newname wrote:
WORLDS APART wrote:
Yes, but the Dem's still have an advantage. If voter turnout among Democrat's is high in PA, the election may not even be close. If they stay home, and the Republicans come out in numbers, Trump's got a shot.
Not what the polls say. Say it's leaning red
What polls?
RCP, 538, The Hill all average the polls and put Harris ahead. It's very close in PA, but what poll averages are you looking at that have Trump ahead, and who besides Trumpers on this thread say it's leaning red?
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Trollminator wrote:
agip wrote:
Ben Wexler
@mrbenwexler
·
16h
Eric Adams just became frontrunner for GOP presidential nomination 2028If trump replaces Vance with Adams he would win bigly.
"Adams Staffer: Are you sure you want to engage in this illegal foreign donation scheme?"
Adams: Yes, but make sure to delete these messages."61 -
Newname wrote:
Jorgon wrote:
I provided a link where you could read about Abrams' big crimes (plural). But I understand that you never read anything that would actually answer your JAQing endeavors, preferring to just look foolish playing the fool.
Hey, make sure you don't read today's upcoming prosecution brief in the Fake Electors case. It is vital to your posting efforts that you remain absolutely ignorant of the contents of that brief. When I post it, I'll remind you and the other similarly situated twits not to open it.
No you didn't.
See comment #17968.
Where is the link?
The link is in Post # 17964. WTF is wrong with you?
Here it is again:
Make sure you don't click it and inadvertently read it.
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Newname wrote:
reallybroreally wrote:
don't speak ill of Joe's policies!
They of course did not go after Hunter or Joe. Hunter charged only with tax evasion.
Adams got in the way of some powerful people who have done far worse than whatever they claim he did
That sounds really nefarious. Can you provide some fact checked information on this?
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Lolz
via X
Y’all, I know Trump has run a lot of scams in his life but the 100k Trump Tourbillion watch seems totally legit.
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“No, mommy, we can’t take money from kids with cancer. It’s wrong”
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Tea party Trevor wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
If trump replaces Vance with Adams he would win bigly.
"Adams Staffer: Are you sure you want to engage in this illegal foreign donation scheme?"
Adams: Yes, but make sure to delete these messages."so many great things here.
Once a staffer says 'Adams wouldn't do that, it's illegal.
someone says 'eh go ask'
and staffer comes back saying 'ok he'll do it.'
and
one staffer literally left her fbi interview to go to the bathroom and started deleted texts in the stall.
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trump would have us join the axis of evil, not stop it.
Rick Wilson
@TheRickWilson
The sound of Americans cheering Vladimir Putin at a Trump rally should disgust every right-thinking person, but it’s a sign of how corrupt the Republican Party has become that they boo Zelensky and cheer Putin at Trump’s behest.
9:19 AM · Sep 25, 2024
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2.2M
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Newname wrote:
WORLDS APART wrote:
So Trump needs to pick off one of PA, MI or WI, and of those three PA is probably his best shot. But that's not looking too good for him right now.
PA looking pretty good for Trump based on the average of recent polls
Trump was up 4-5 points over Biden before he dropped out. Now, Trump is at best within the margin of error/dead heat while other polls have Harris with a 3-4 point lead.
Polls from PA in 2022 were pretty off. Polls showed Oz catching up with Fetterman, but Fetterman ended up winning by about 5 points. Shapiro polled anywhere from 4-14 points ahead of a very Trumpy Mastriano. Shapiro won by almost 15 points.
Things seem a bit different with PA being the place where Trump was almost assassinated, which seems to be motivating his supporters. But the other X factor is whether the black vote will turn out for Harris. Obama had a huge win in PA in 2008 with almost 10 points over McCain. Things are definitely different today with Trump driving big turnout from his base. However, a lot of energy from black voters is something that could make for a decent margin for Harris. Bottom line is that neither candidate is showing any signs of tipping the scales in the polls but the polls from PA tend to under represent Dem votes.
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Do you actually take a show seriously that suggests that Trump might win the popular vote?
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Harris discovered a new word that she could add to her speeches. "Holistic" and "imperial".🤣 This doesn't get any better than this.
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If you ever wondered how much it costs to get a fire safety certificate for a building in NYC, the answer is two business class tickets to Istanbul, reservations at the Four Seasons, 3 days at a beach resort, a yacht tour, and personal car and driver.
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Precious Roy wrote:
Newname wrote:
PA looking pretty good for Trump based on the average of recent polls
Trump was up 4-5 points over Biden before he dropped out. Now, Trump is at best within the margin of error/dead heat while other polls have Harris with a 3-4 point lead.
Polls from PA in 2022 were pretty off. Polls showed Oz catching up with Fetterman, but Fetterman ended up winning by about 5 points. Shapiro polled anywhere from 4-14 points ahead of a very Trumpy Mastriano. Shapiro won by almost 15 points.
Things seem a bit different with PA being the place where Trump was almost assassinated, which seems to be motivating his supporters. But the other X factor is whether the black vote will turn out for Harris. Obama had a huge win in PA in 2008 with almost 10 points over McCain. Things are definitely different today with Trump driving big turnout from his base. However, a lot of energy from black voters is something that could make for a decent margin for Harris. Bottom line is that neither candidate is showing any signs of tipping the scales in the polls but the polls from PA tend to under represent Dem votes.
Recent PA polling (from roughly the last two weeks):
- Activote - Harris +3
- Susquehanna Polling & Research - Even
- RMG Research - Even
- Redfield & Wilton Strategies - Even
- Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion - Even
- University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov - Harris +2
- Emerson College - Even
- MassINC Polling Group - Harris +5
- Marist College - Even
- Marist College - Harris +1
- The Washington Post - Even
- Quinnipiac University - Harris +5
- The New York Times/Siena College - Harris +4
- The New York Times/Siena College - Harris +4
- Focaldata - Harris +2
- InsiderAdvantage - Trump +2
- Suffolk University - Harris +3
40 - Activote - Harris +3
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Registration numbers of Democrats in PA doesn’t have much meaning.
You don’t have be registered as a Democrat to vote Democrat in the general election.
It’s only useful in the primaries.
Biden ran unopposed in this year’s primary, so there was no need to have a rush of registration.Nikki Haley was still on the ballot for the PA Republican primary. So it would make sense to have higher Republican registration than the Dems.
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yeah the polls have done moving...we'll just stay here the rest of the time, with Harris leading by a nose in the polls. And then the ruckus starts on election day. The Rs will again attempt illegal ways to steal the election. I hope law enforcement and the courts are ready to stop them.
I suppose I'd rather be Harris right now, but it's just on a razor's edge.
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It's a tossup
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Sally Vix wrote:
Tea party Trevor wrote:
M@ga: Ukrainians are ungrateful
Zelensky: goes to a munition factory in Pennsylvania to personally thank the workers for their contributions to the defence of Ukraine
M@ga: literally how dare you
This munition factor - it only produced 1 weapon?
Newsmax and Smartmatic settled during jury selection. Newsmax lacked the balls to go through with the trial because all the lies would come out. Newsmax lawyers are punks.
This is a developing situation.
This involves $$$$$$$$$$$$$$. Cold hard cash. The Large Green. We all want The Large Green, but few of us are worthy of it. In America, you need balls and a high IQ to get The Large Green.
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WORLDS APART wrote:
Newname wrote:
Not what the polls say. Say it's leaning red
What polls?
RCP, 538, The Hill all average the polls and put Harris ahead. It's very close in PA, but what poll averages are you looking at that have Trump ahead, and who besides Trumpers on this thread say it's leaning red?
The same website I have posted twice that is an average of recent polls
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