what the 2/3 of the nation that is not Republican has to put up with:
minority rule
outlaw presidents
Insurrection
making a third of the nation falsely think elections are rigged
bringing economic ruin every time they are president
bringing corrupt admins EVERY TIME
thinking 'more guns = less crime' therefore killing thousands of Americans based on a lie
being laughed at around the world
...and now they are threatening kids. Of course they are.
Since former President Donald Trump falsely claimed the city was under siege by thousands of Haitian migrants eating residents’ pets, the city’s residents have been unsettled by bomb threats that have shuttered their schools, upending life for nearly 10,000 students, from kindergarten through university.
1. 2/3rds of the nation isn’t Democrat either. Roughly 1/3rd each Republican, Democrat, Independent/Other
what the 2/3 of the nation that is not Republican has to put up with:
minority rule
outlaw presidents
Insurrection
making a third of the nation falsely think elections are rigged
bringing economic ruin every time they are president
bringing corrupt admins EVERY TIME
thinking 'more guns = less crime' therefore killing thousands of Americans based on a lie
being laughed at around the world
...and now they are threatening kids. Of course they are.
Since former President Donald Trump falsely claimed the city was under siege by thousands of Haitian migrants eating residents’ pets, the city’s residents have been unsettled by bomb threats that have shuttered their schools, upending life for nearly 10,000 students, from kindergarten through university.
1. 2/3rds of the nation isn’t Democrat either. Roughly 1/3rd each Republican, Democrat, Independent/Other
2. Baltimore must be paradise.
yeah well there'd be a lot fewer murders in baldimore if we had sensible gun control in this country. But we can't because of R moranitude.
Hey at last Baldimore isn't in LA MS AL AR WV or some other dirt poor deep red Republican state condemned to falling ever further behind and having shorter relative lifespans because of R failed leadership.
But you know what is also blue? All the richest places in America. Want to talk about them too? Please?
This post was edited 6 minutes after it was posted.
They predicted he'd win by 5 points. He won by 1 point.
Harris is currently losing PA and you f*cking idiots are dancing in the endzone.
lol...
Harris is leading in PA. Only in a Trump cultist’s mind is she currently losing in PA.
Recent Pennsylvania polls:
Emerson College: Harris +1
MassInc: Harris +5
Morning Consult: Harris +2
Marist College: Even
Marist College: Harris + 1
Washington Post: Even
Washington Post: Harris +1
Quinnipiac: Harris +5
New York Times / Siena: Harris +3-4
Insider Advantage: Trump +2
Franklin and Marshall: Harris +3
the big question that we won't have an answer to until after the election is if trump's outperformance of polls in 2016 and 2020 is permanent...or just from those two years, and now over.
there's a real chance of Harris outperformance of the polls...maybe women in poor red counties are too embarrassed to tell a pollster out loud they'll vote for a black Democrat but when alone in the voting booth they will.
Will be fascinating.
This post was edited 5 minutes after it was posted.
Yes, also interesting if they've adjusted their polling methods to better capture the "Trump effect" or not. My hope is they've overcorrected and have too much M*GA representation in the polling.
My polling average/personal projection for each state is factored in the model.
I.e., We made up the numbers.
and decided what we think the margins will be
I.e., We made up some more numbers.
To compare to 2020 (“with 100% accuracy!”)
My own personal projections are placed in as well
I.e., We made up numbers to make the model fit 2020.
This guy wouldn’t pass third-grade math, and shouldn’t be allowed to use the internet.
On Point Politics' model in 2020 hit Sleepy Joe's electoral count perfectly. It was 306 on the nose. He's forecasting 312 for Trump in 2024.
He has a PROVEN track record. It's too bad that it doesn't fit your lib narrative and you'll reject it. He's more accurate than Nate Silver, RCP or 538.
In the upcoming week, AtlasIntel will be releasing their swing state polls.
Kamala is losing this election.
You libs need to start focusing on the top 5 polls such as AtlasIntel, Rasmussen, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage and Harris Insights.
Yes, also interesting if they've adjusted their polling methods to better capture the "Trump effect" or not. My hope is they've overcorrected and have too much M*GA representation in the polling.
I did read one pollster's change...when someone picks up and screams about how trump will end the deep state, put the uppity races in their place and get lizard people out of the government and then hangs up in fury without formally answering the posed polling question, in the past that was ruled a 'no answer.' But now that pollster calls it a 'trump vote.'
so that could make the polls more accurate this time. For that pollster anyway.
Yes, also interesting if they've adjusted their polling methods to better capture the "Trump effect" or not. My hope is they've overcorrected and have too much M*GA representation in the polling.
It’s actually more complicated than that. Clinton, for example, OVERPERFORMED polling in a number of states in 2016. It just happens that they were states were either she or Trump had a large advantage so it padded her popular vote victory, but didn’t help her electoral college count.
I.e., We made up numbers to make the model fit 2020.
This guy wouldn’t pass third-grade math, and shouldn’t be allowed to use the internet.
On Point Politics' model in 2020 hit Sleepy Joe's electoral count perfectly. It was 306 on the nose. He's forecasting 312 for Trump in 2024.
He has a PROVEN track record. It's too bad that it doesn't fit your lib narrative and you'll reject it. He's more accurate than Nate Silver, RCP or 538.
In the upcoming week, AtlasIntel will be releasing their swing state polls.
Kamala is losing this election.
You libs need to start focusing on the top 5 polls such as AtlasIntel, Rasmussen, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage and Harris Insights.
He didn’t have a model in 2020. He hand-tuned a model in 2024 that got 2020 correct and then hand-tuned it some more to make nonsense predictions about 2024.
Yes, also interesting if they've adjusted their polling methods to better capture the "Trump effect" or not. My hope is they've overcorrected and have too much M*GA representation in the polling.
That has NOT happened, YET.
These pollsters ALWAYS throw in the so called "Trump effect" in the last two weeks to election day.
