Well, your arguments fell into the category of not too interesting, but since you bothered to post a second time, and since the database server process I just kicked off will take 30 minutes to complete before I can do the next step, I'll answer:
1) My stock market comment was used to prove that supposed BAD performances are not necessarily indicative of future gains, not that GOOD performances aren't. You all have been saying that Ritz's performances so far haven't proven he can run the times I say he can, and I go back to the stock market idea. Ryan Hall has a faster PR in the 5,000 than Ritz, but it is clear as day to me that he is not as talented as Ritz at that distance. Most of the hoards here will say Hall is primed to do better than Ritz just because he has so far. Again, my stock market comparison holds true here. Ritz's stock will rise. Hall's will stay flat or slightly rise or decrease.
2) So, go ahead and discount Ritz. I know full well why people are doing it. I just can't believe they let a few injuries do that to them. What this tells me is that they are more of a Ritz fan than I am and they are letting their frustration get in the way of reality. They are frustrated that Ritz hasn't ascended to world stardom yet, and so to protect themselves from this frustration, they discount that he will ever live up to the potential that SOME people (myself included) say he has. I am not blinded by stardom. I simply take concrete evidence and tangiential evidence and put together a very likely puzzle. But, I am talented in that way, as apparently is ROJO (or he could just be lucky -- I don't know him since he no longer attends the moderator meetings -- oops!)
3) Oh yes people here will care when I say I TOLD YOU SO. After go so far as to call me a dumbass and so on, it will be a bitter pill for some to swallow. And you're wrong about another thing -- plenty here have decided that Ritz doesn't have the talent to break the AR in the 10,000 even...even if he is healthy. Most people responding here have not agreed that he can do it, regardless of any future injuries. And by the way, people can predict anything they want. It just might not turn out to be true. Ritz will figure out a way to get the stellar runs in that I say he will in between likely injuries -- under the current AR in both the 5,000 and 10,000.