Official 2018 CIM Prediction/Discussion Thread

Sorry, it booted me out as I was typing too fast. Llano just past 20 miles, just under 1:40

Runn3 wrote:

Just confirmed, 1:30 lead with 10 miles to go for Bates. Did I mention she looks great:)

Sorry dude, she’s married

Fricking this is a great race to watch!!!!! Llano and Bates are pulling it off. 1:41 at 18 miles for Bates. 2:27 plus pace

I meant her stride, but...she still looks great. I'm 40 and married as well. All is good

2nd place female over 2 minutes behind. Trying to get her name. Bruce and Crouch are well behind 2nd place.

About 24 minutes of running for Llano

However wrote:

Runn3 wrote:

Just confirmed, 1:30 lead with 10 miles to go for Bates. Did I mention she looks great:)

Sorry dude, she’s married

Just enjoy the race, don't need that unwanted commentary.

Llano still going strong at 20 but on 2:11-flat pace versus the 2:10-mid clip he was at. It most likely has to be from the two guys beind him because that chase pack was running 2:13-mid pace unless he really comes back and someone really hammers and pulls out a 2:12 win or something. That could happen.

Also Sam Roeker in 2nd on the women's side. PC grad, a little surprising to see her that far up. I assume this would/will be a big PR and some nice scalps. I dunno what her half PR is but she rolled through 13.1 under 1:15.

Runn3 wrote:

2nd place female over 2 minutes behind. Trying to get her name. Bruce and Crouch are well behind 2nd place.

Samantha Roecker. She is the Tracksmith website/catalog cutie.

That's her name, thanks. I could't read her bib and hadn't heard of her. Reyes in 2nd past Givens now.

Hare A.C. wrote:

Runn3 wrote:

2nd place female over 2 minutes behind. Trying to get her name. Bruce and Crouch are well behind 2nd place.

Samantha Roecker. She is the Tracksmith website/catalog cutie.

Thanks

Runn3 wrote:

runnerchx44 wrote:

This makes me so happy to hear! I'm rooting for her all the way. Seems like a super sweet girl and I felt so bad about how she lost her father a few years ago. Hoping she continues the smooth running/even pace all the way to the finish line!

I think she'll have to fall down or cramp up big time to lose her lead. I wish you all were watching, I really do. She and Llano look sooooooo good it's sick. She's got about 63 minutes to go

I ended up purchasing the one month, just over halfway through. She does indeed look great! So strong. Just saw her easily pass that guy in the red/white singlet. Hope it continues....

runnerchx44 wrote:

Runn3 wrote:

I think she'll have to fall down or cramp up big time to lose her lead. I wish you all were watching, I really do. She and Llano look sooooooo good it's sick. She's got about 63 minutes to go

I ended up purchasing the one month, just over halfway through. She does indeed look great! So strong. Just saw her easily pass that guy in the red/white singlet. Hope it continues....

I am super happy for you!!!! It's well worth it!!!!

Llano is up 57 seconds.

I don't want to say it but Llano on 2:11-mid pace at 35k. He's coming back. Hold on Matt!!

5:14 mile to get to 22

All of them have slowed up a tad, but he's getting closer and closer to the finish. Reyes will have to really put the hammer down. 5:04 last mile

Bates is up 1:38

Yep, gap still about 50 seconds with 4 miles left. If Matt can hold OTQ pace he probably wins in around 2:12. Reyes 20-30 seconds back.

Bates up huge. Chase pack 90 seconds back.

Runn3 wrote:

NewtotheSouthSide wrote:

Feel like Llano & Bates are both the kind of established runners the fields shouldn't have let go. One or both might get caught but it's different than Stinson last year. They seem to be running well within themselves. If they both get to 20 miles and look good it'll be tough. Any uphills are done by then and it's a gradual downhill to the finish. Hard to catch them at that point unless some people behind them judged it right and can throw down.

I agree with you 100%. Neither put in a big move, they just ran even from the start and kept it up.

What? You think the rest of the field should have gone out at 2:10 pace even though none of them will finish there?