Oooh that started out promising.
It’s tempting to cherry pick GB and Australia and Morocco and attempt to argue that these few examples form the general rule.
But the countries that did not see sharp improvements goes far beyond GB and Australia. Historically, for nearly three decades spanning the entire EPO era, only a few of the very best non-African athletes from all countries in 5 continents saw modest leaps in performance from the ‘80s. This includes low-doping countries like GB and Australia and Japan, but also countries with high doping busts like Russia, Belarus, Turkey, Greece, India and China. Some of these countries achieved better success but only with their women, or in non-running events like race-walking.
We also saw that Kenyans and Ethiopians who moved to countries with testing were still among the best. One of the best Brits is Somalian.
With all these counter-examples, perhaps the correlation between elite leaps of performance, and doping, and testing is not as obvious as is widely believed, while the correlation between ethnic origin is unmistakably high.
This could only be a problem if I ever drew that conclusion. It is a simplified dumbing down of my argument.
One conclusion I draw is that we have yet to reliably observe “EPO works” for these elite runners at bettering their best performances.
It’s also mindblowingly obvious that countries with the biggest doping problems, like Russia, did not see comparable leaps in performance like the Kenyans and Moroccans, but rather their performances compare to GB and NZ.
Another conclusion I draw is that for non-elite athletes/performances, hi-lo altitude studies show similar gains in similar subjects as EPO and blood doping studies. hi-hi studies also show gains over lo-lo training. This still doesn’t guarantee what benefits we should expect to see for elite athletes.
I note here that East Africans live and train at altitude, so there may be some inherit EPO-like benefits without using EPO or blood-doping that cannot be ignored.
What did I assert? You asserted that all of Ramzi’s 9-second improvement was entirely due to EPO.
Some points about Canova and your scientific study:
- It might be good enough for you and most people, but that doesn’t make it good.
- Like Kirk never said “Beam me up Scotty”, Canova didn’t say what you allege the study refuted. It’s another dumbed down scarecrow.
- The Kenyans in that study had times predicting 8m00s for 3000m time trials. Yet the Kenyans improved from 9m00s to 8m30s over the duration of the study.
- In other words, the scientists used EPO to help these Kenyans improve from their 2 hour race pace to their 1 hour race pace for less than 9 minutes. You don’t need EPO to tempo a 3K time-trial. This is confirmed by the RPE measurements taken during the time trials — the Kenyans were not trying to run fast.
Due to the poor study design, we cannot compare the observed gains against a control group, as there was none, and we cannot conclude that EPO would help these Kenyans run faster 3000m faster than their predicted 3000m pace of 8m00s. It was a missed opportunity.