We have no idea how her training is going. She might’ve been at sub-15 shape already last year. A LOT of training time has gone by since XC Nationals, which is a great deal of time to be even faster.
I’m certainly not counting her out. Anxiously waiting to see her first pro race (hopefully soon!).
I mean, there’re 3 slots and Cranny/Monson are near-locks. Andrews would presumably be next up with Rogers maybe focusing more on the 10,000. “Isn’t close” is harsh because all of the women have question marks and none have shown sub-14:40 ability/consistency. All are question marks.
There’s Valby/Schweizer/Gritty Whitty - can they train enough to get to the sub-14:40 level? Infeld - can she get back to her old self? Tuohy - Is there a jump without NCAA obligations/intro to altitude? Henes - does she have another level to go to? Andrews - does she run her best race when it matters?
I mean, there’re 3 slots and Cranny/Monson are near-locks. Andrews would presumably be next up with Rogers maybe focusing more on the 10,000. “Isn’t close” is harsh because all of the women have question marks and none have shown sub-14:40 ability/consistency. All are question marks.
There’s Valby/Schweizer/Gritty Whitty - can they train enough to get to the sub-14:40 level? Infeld - can she get back to her old self? Tuohy - Is there a jump without NCAA obligations/intro to altitude? Henes - does she have another level to go to? Andrews - does she run her best race when it matters?
It’d be foolish to rule out Tuohy in my view.
You're wasting your time reasoning with do-nothing trolls.
What chance would you give Drew Hunter in making the 5000 team? His PR is 13:17. He is 20 seconds back just like Tuohy is 20 seconds back. Glad to hear that you think he has a legitimate chance. I have always been a big fan of his.
Frerichs and Wayment will be doing the steeplechase.
Sorry. But Henes and Cranny along with Roger’s are vying for the team. Andrews ran only one decent time last year and chokes under pressure. No one else has run a 5k yet this year so hard to compare. And anything can happen by June. Some get faster, some get injured and some have poor strategy.
Sorry. But Henes and Cranny along with Roger’s are vying for the team. Andrews ran only one decent time last year and chokes under pressure. No one else has run a 5k yet this year so hard to compare. And anything can happen by June. Some get faster, some get injured and some have poor strategy.
I did not say they are locks for the team; I said Monson, Cranny, and Andrews are the favorites. Nor did I say that Rogers or Henes don't stand a chance.
If Andrews's only "decent time" last year was her 14:43 then I guess Henes and Rogers ran zero "decent times" last year. The facts are, over the past 37 months, Americans have run under 14:50 only 12 times. Two of these runners (Wayment and Frerichs) will not be doing the 5000. Of the remaining 10 times, six were run by Monson, two by Andrews, and one each by Cranny and Henes. Andrews is a serious threat to make the team.
Monson, Cranny, and Andrews are the clear favorites
Except Monson has already stated her focus this year is the 10k . . . and with the Oly schedule now having the womens' 10k after the 5k . . . Alicia has indicated she will not run the 5k.
For the same reason, expect Kelati to go all-in on the 10k . . . and she just might be the favorite over Monson after what she's done recently.
For the moment, the US women's Oly 5k team appears to be Cranny . . . then flip coins for the final two spots . . .
Except Monson has already stated her focus this year is the 10k . . . and with the Oly schedule now having the womens' 10k after the 5k . . . Alicia has indicated she will not run the 5k.
For the same reason, expect Kelati to go all-in on the 10k . . . and she just might be the favorite over Monson after what she's done recently.
For the moment, the US women's Oly 5k team appears to be Cranny . . . then flip coins for the final two spots . . .
She said as of now it may only be the 10k. She made it very clear that it can change, like it did at the last Trials. Hope she competes in both. She’s the only American that can run any decent 10k or 5K on a global level
When she signed her pro contract on December 6, she was ranked: 1500m - 93rd in world, 14th in US 5000m - 35th in world, 7th in US
Today, the rankings have her at: 1500m - 134th in world, 23rd in US 5000m - 82nd in world, 19th in US
105 days, 7 Instagram posts, and zero races.
I am starting to think this guy may be correct.
One of those IG posts says "Some big meets this weekend making me really miss racing! Using the indoor season to get healthy and ready for outdoor. We will be back soon"