Hey Gary, Sally, I kinda think that one or both of you MIGHT have gone to college. Doesn't it bother you at all that you are, quite correctly, lumped in with all of the bitter under-achiever Trumpers who you (rightly) looked down at least a bit in high school?
Couldn't you do better than that? Or am I giving you too much credit in the first place?
I have done very well for myself. I just moved into a brand new Double Wide and sitting outside drinking my Lone Star. Life is very good. I might even get my car working one of these days. Who am I kidding.
I have done very well for myself. I just moved into a brand new Double Wide and sitting outside drinking my Lone Star. Life is very good. I might even get my car working one of these days. Who am I kidding.
Flagpole's next door neighbor!
Flagpole has a single wide. We with Double Wides look down on the Single Widers.
so trump's strategy is to win PA and GA and not care too much about MI, WI, AZ. And that would be enough.
All-in on keystones and peaches.
Honestly, if the election were today, he'd probably win. If he does, not making shapiro veep will be one of the worst decisions a candidate has made since palin and quayle.
this debate is going to be very important...if democracy can just get 1-2% back from the autocrats that might be enough. otherise, this thing will be set in stone and pretty much done.
I really wonder about polling in PA for the presidential race. The polls for senate have shown Casey with a solid lead over McCormick. Shapiro won in 2022 by almost 15% over a very Trumpy Mastriano. Fetterman beat Dr. Oz by almost 5 points. Yet, polls are showing the presidential race within the margin of error. 2016 and 2020 were very close for president. So, I am not sure who is swinging back and forth that makes PA so close when other races have gone solidly blue.
Also, if Shapiro was the VP, MI would be lost for certain due to the large Muslim population around Detroit.
Any trust in polling, for either side, is questionable. That said, it's very interesting that even Rasmussen now has Harris up by a point. They were +10 for Trump about a month ago.
I'm still cautious optimistic that Harris will have a Biden-esque win. Trump has a ceiling and I believe reasonable conservatives and independents have grown tired of his schtick. Plus, voter registrations among women, people of color, and young voters is through the roof. If voter turnout is high, Trump is done.
I really wonder about polling in PA for the presidential race. The polls for senate have shown Casey with a solid lead over McCormick. Shapiro won in 2022 by almost 15% over a very Trumpy Mastriano. Fetterman beat Dr. Oz by almost 5 points. Yet, polls are showing the presidential race within the margin of error. 2016 and 2020 were very close for president. So, I am not sure who is swinging back and forth that makes PA so close when other races have gone solidly blue.
Also, if Shapiro was the VP, MI would be lost for certain due to the large Muslim population around Detroit.
Any trust in polling, for either side, is questionable. That said, it's very interesting that even Rasmussen now has Harris up by a point. They were +10 for Trump about a month ago.
I'm still cautious optimistic that Harris will have a Biden-esque win. Trump has a ceiling and I believe reasonable conservatives and independents have grown tired of his schtick. Plus, voter registrations among women, people of color, and young voters is through the roof. If voter turnout is high, Trump is done.
For reference, Rasmussen had Biden +1 against Trump in one of their last reports prior to the 2020 election.
1. The 13 keys are a freaking joke. Lichtman is a far left biased partisan. My 14th Key destroyed his model.
2. She is USELESS w/o a teleprompter. She isn't getting anywhere near 270 electoral votes. Keep dreaming, fool.
3. She is the biggest dumbazz to ever run for POTUS. She talks like a 3 year old and her record of failure is tied directly to Sleepy Joe.
4. Harris hides from the press and her taped interview that lasted at least 90 minutes was heavily edited down to a paltry 18 minutes. Her answers were all fluff platitudes & word salads. The unedited transcript must be a disaster- it will never be released. I cannot wait until Trump has her crying for mercy on debate night. It will be almost as bad as Sleepy Joe's performance.
5. You place too much faith in Nate Silver, Nate Cohn/NYT & 538. Cackles is behind in GA, AZ, NV & PA. She has ZERO path to victory w/o PA.
Trump is getting well over 270 EV- my prediction is 296. Cackles political career will be DONE in Jan. America is sick & tired of the sh!tty economy, the open border, high inflation & high interest rates.
The "I told you so's" are coming. Cope now, cry more on election night.
1) The 13 Keys are the absolute best predictor of the Presidential election, and no matter Lichtman's politics, he goes with his model and nothing else. He picked Trump to win in 2016...based on his model.
2) Ah yes, the teleprompter thing. BOTH sides say that about the opposing candidate all the time going back to Reagan (at least that's when I first remember it). That's a nothing argument. I'll come back here and do an I Told You So just like I did when Biden won in 202 and when there wasn't a 2022 Red Wave. We'll see who the fool is...it's you.
3) Harris definitely doesn't talk like a 3 year old. WTF? Do you even listen to your Orange God speak? She is smarter than Trump by a million miles, and she will be prepared for the debate and whatever he says.
4) Ha! This point you made shows your delusion. Brother, methinks you project too much (see what I did there?). The word salads come from Trump's mouth.
5) I put NO faith in Nate Silver, so you are INCORRECT! He's just a poll compiler, and I'm not sure how you don't get it by now, but I put NO faith in polls. The truth lies in the 13 keys, and they have Harris winning.
6) There is no open border, BUT the GOP proved it doesn't care as it allowed Trump to tell them not to go along with the bipartisan border agreement that Biden championed. Hypocrites. The economy has been great under Biden and continues to be. Inflation is now BELOW historic norms. Record stock market under Biden. Record low unemployment under Biden. More Americans working than at any time in American history. Highest salaries in American history. No reasonable person can say this is a sh!tty economy. Regarding the high interest rates, that has nothing to do with Biden...THE FED sets those, and a change in President will do nothing there. The REASON for the high interest rates? The economy was TOO HOT. Not really a good argument for you there, brother.
7) You are insane to think Trump gets 296 Electoral Votes. No freakin' way. Harris gets at least the same states Biden got last time, and she might get more. The one with the political career that will be over is Trump, and that will be a glorious time for The United States.
I'll come back and told you I TOLD YOU SO.
1. The 13 Keys are a joke. The 14th Key invented by Yours Truly, crushed his stupid model to kingdom come
2.&3. Cackles is a DEI/special needs adult who has no accomplishments nor has the ability to speak coherently. She is UNQUALIFIED to run our country.
4. She is the Queen of Word Salads. Our enemies don't fear her, they laugh at her stupidity & weakness.
5. Cackles' job disapproval is a far better predictor of the presidential election than any poll or the 13 Keys garbage. Her job approval is below 46%- she's toast.
6. The border is WIDE OPEN all credit to Sleepy Joe's EO's in 2021 & Cackles' Border non- enforcement. This is a complete clusterfu*ck.
7. My prediction of 296 for Trump is a little low. He will exceed 300, perhaps hitting the 312 area. I look at several electoral map modelers. On Point Politics is my go to.
Cackles' last chance to save her campaign is on debate night. I expect a repeat of a Tulsi Gabbard-like debate performance. I would not be surprised if Cackles declines any more debates after that. She's better off in the basement. Watch her poll numbers crater to Sleepy Joe level numbers by the middle of the month.
Cackles may end up being first female & lame duck POTUS- by virtue of Sleepy Joe stepping down after her loss on election night and having her serve out the remainder of the term.
Trump will win, BIGLY. The Harris campaign is in YUGE trouble. Know this.
This post was edited 10 minutes after it was posted.
Any trust in polling, for either side, is questionable. That said, it's very interesting that even Rasmussen now has Harris up by a point. They were +10 for Trump about a month ago.
I'm still cautious optimistic that Harris will have a Biden-esque win. Trump has a ceiling and I believe reasonable conservatives and independents have grown tired of his schtick. Plus, voter registrations among women, people of color, and young voters is through the roof. If voter turnout is high, Trump is done.
New voters are hard to get in polls. Trump's base is older white people who are voting for him for the 3rd time. New voters are likely to go overwhelmingly to Harris, especially women and minorities.
Any trust in polling, for either side, is questionable. That said, it's very interesting that even Rasmussen now has Harris up by a point. They were +10 for Trump about a month ago.
I'm still cautious optimistic that Harris will have a Biden-esque win. Trump has a ceiling and I believe reasonable conservatives and independents have grown tired of his schtick. Plus, voter registrations among women, people of color, and young voters is through the roof. If voter turnout is high, Trump is done.
New voters are hard to get in polls. Trump's base is older white people who are voting for him for the 3rd time. New voters are likely to go overwhelmingly to Harris, especially women and minorities.
Kamala's voter base is black women and losers on welfare. Trump's voter base is taxpayers of all groups.
1) The 13 Keys are the absolute best predictor of the Presidential election, and no matter Lichtman's politics, he goes with his model and nothing else. He picked Trump to win in 2016...based on his model.
2) Ah yes, the teleprompter thing. BOTH sides say that about the opposing candidate all the time going back to Reagan (at least that's when I first remember it). That's a nothing argument. I'll come back here and do an I Told You So just like I did when Biden won in 202 and when there wasn't a 2022 Red Wave. We'll see who the fool is...it's you.
3) Harris definitely doesn't talk like a 3 year old. WTF? Do you even listen to your Orange God speak? She is smarter than Trump by a million miles, and she will be prepared for the debate and whatever he says.
4) Ha! This point you made shows your delusion. Brother, methinks you project too much (see what I did there?). The word salads come from Trump's mouth.
5) I put NO faith in Nate Silver, so you are INCORRECT! He's just a poll compiler, and I'm not sure how you don't get it by now, but I put NO faith in polls. The truth lies in the 13 keys, and they have Harris winning.
6) There is no open border, BUT the GOP proved it doesn't care as it allowed Trump to tell them not to go along with the bipartisan border agreement that Biden championed. Hypocrites. The economy has been great under Biden and continues to be. Inflation is now BELOW historic norms. Record stock market under Biden. Record low unemployment under Biden. More Americans working than at any time in American history. Highest salaries in American history. No reasonable person can say this is a sh!tty economy. Regarding the high interest rates, that has nothing to do with Biden...THE FED sets those, and a change in President will do nothing there. The REASON for the high interest rates? The economy was TOO HOT. Not really a good argument for you there, brother.
7) You are insane to think Trump gets 296 Electoral Votes. No freakin' way. Harris gets at least the same states Biden got last time, and she might get more. The one with the political career that will be over is Trump, and that will be a glorious time for The United States.
I'll come back and told you I TOLD YOU SO.
1. The 13 Keys are a joke. The 14th Key invented by Yours Truly, crushed his stupid model to kingdom come
2.&3. Cackles is a DEI/special needs adult who has no accomplishments nor has the ability to speak coherently. She is UNQUALIFIED to run our country.
4. She is the Queen of Word Salads. Our enemies don't fear her, they laugh at her stupidity & weakness.
5. Cackles' job disapproval is a far better predictor of the presidential election than any poll or the 13 Keys garbage. Her job approval is below 46%- she's toast.
6. The border is WIDE OPEN all credit to Sleepy Joe's EO's in 2021 & Cackles' Border non- enforcement. This is a complete clusterfu*ck.
7. My prediction of 296 for Trump is a little low. He will exceed 300, perhaps hitting the 312 area. I look at several electoral map modelers. On Point Politics is my go to.
Cackles' last chance to save her campaign is on debate night. I expect a repeat of Tulsi Gabbard's debate performance. I would not be surprised if Cackles declines any more debates after that. She's better off in the basement. Watch her poll numbers crater to Sleepy Joe level numbers by the middle of the month.
Cackles may end up being first female & lame duck POTUS- by virtue of Sleepy Joe stepping down after her loss on election night and having her serve out the remainder of the term.
Trump will win, BIGLY. The Harris campaign is in YUGE trouble. Know this.
Definition of a felon: One who has been convicted of a felony. He is not a felon. Please remember that.
One of the reasons that Zach Rehl got some much prison time was his crazy decision to take the stand. He should have pled the Fifth like Trump does. But Rehl thought he knew better and got in the witness chair, under oath. The prosecution should Rehl video of him pepper-spraying the Capitol police and Rehl denied it was him and then later denied it was pepper-spray. The sentencing judge hammered him with perjury as well as his riot charges. As the (Trump appointed) judge said "You did spray that officer, and then you lied about it. Those are what we call in the law 'bad facts.'”
That's the Hand of Fate in America. It's a strong, silent force that very few understand. But it is always there, ever present, ever watching, ever knowing. All these prison MAG@s are now singing "The hand of fate is on me now, it pick me up and knock me down, I'm on the run, I'm prison bound, the hand of fate is heavy now."
Former President Donald Trump says medical marijuana has been “absolutely amazing” for patients, and that a Florida initiative to more broadly legalize cannabis for recreational use will be on the November ballot is “going to...
The debate is set for Tues Sep 10th. 9PM EDT on ABC.
I will wait a couple days AFTER to see the post debate destruction of the Harris campaign. Friday the 13th will be a good day to post the electoral maps. Ha!
1. The 13 Keys are a joke. The 14th Key invented by Yours Truly, crushed his stupid model to kingdom come
2.&3. Cackles is a DEI/special needs adult who has no accomplishments nor has the ability to speak coherently. She is UNQUALIFIED to run our country.
4. She is the Queen of Word Salads. Our enemies don't fear her, they laugh at her stupidity & weakness.
5. Cackles' job disapproval is a far better predictor of the presidential election than any poll or the 13 Keys garbage. Her job approval is below 46%- she's toast.
6. The border is WIDE OPEN all credit to Sleepy Joe's EO's in 2021 & Cackles' Border non- enforcement. This is a complete clusterfu*ck.
7. My prediction of 296 for Trump is a little low. He will exceed 300, perhaps hitting the 312 area. I look at several electoral map modelers. On Point Politics is my go to.
Cackles' last chance to save her campaign is on debate night. I expect a repeat of Tulsi Gabbard's debate performance. I would not be surprised if Cackles declines any more debates after that. She's better off in the basement. Watch her poll numbers crater to Sleepy Joe level numbers by the middle of the month.
Cackles may end up being first female & lame duck POTUS- by virtue of Sleepy Joe stepping down after her loss on election night and having her serve out the remainder of the term.
Trump will win, BIGLY. The Harris campaign is in YUGE trouble. Know this.
The debate is set for Tues Sep 10th. 9PM EDT on ABC.
I will wait a couple days AFTER to see the post debate destruction of the Harris campaign. Friday the 13th will be a good day to post the electoral maps. Ha!
#FTLH
How cool would it be after a horrific Kamala Harris debate if she dropped from the ticket and Governor Walz became the nominee? I would love to see him in a debate with his not just far-left radical stances but his far lefttttttttttttttttttttttttt policies. The guy is a clown.
New voters are hard to get in polls. Trump's base is older white people who are voting for him for the 3rd time. New voters are likely to go overwhelmingly to Harris, especially women and minorities.
Kamala's voter base is black women and losers on welfare. Trump's voter base is taxpayers of all groups.