As the Russian invasion of Ukraine enters into its fifth month, a common narrative has emerged that the unity of the world in standing up to Russia has somehow
So, once again you were WRONG when you said it was up since March. It closed at 2058.12 on February 24th (again, February, not March as you said).
Closed February 25th at 2470.48, and is now at 2184.43. So, it has recovered from it's bottom on February 24th, but is still down 40% over the last year and is down more than 9% from any closing price in March. Clearly, the Russian economy is booming. (that's sarcasm)
Ukraine is paying a massive price due to Russia. You know, the one firing the missiles at Ukrainian infrastructure. Of course, the 100,000 Russian casualties (and growing), along with thousands of lost tanks, armored vehicles, air craft, etc, and millions of Russians who have left the Russia suggest that Russia is also paying a massive price - even if you and Jimmy Dore are too stubborn or dumb to see it.
In 50 years Ukraine will be a thriving member of NATO and the EU. Russia will still be a third-world sh*thole, begging North Korea and Iran for assistance.
Three months from now Ukraine will be over
Bookmarked until 3/10/23, the day your idiotic burbling will cease forever. You will no doubt try to weasel out of this ridiculous statement, but it is now screens hotted and set to eviscerate your tinfoil a$$.
I suggest that you plan to be in Ukraine at that point with your shiny plastic saber, rallying the frozen, untrained Mobiks to go "Over the top, boys!" right before being obliterated by Himars lol.
This paper is like 5 months old and I don't think they were correct even then.
Take their first three bullet points:
- Russia’s strategic positioning as a commodities exporter has irrevocably deteriorated, as it now deals from a position of weakness with the loss of its erstwhile main markets, and faces steep challenges executing a “pivot to Asia” with non-fungible exports such as piped gas
What round of sanctions is the EU at now? Ninth? They are obviously unhappy with how the first 8 worked.
The EU has apparently sent more money to Russia for natural gas than to Ukraine in aid since the war began.
- Despite some lingering leakiness, Russian imports have largely collapsed, and the country faces stark challenges securing crucial inputs, parts, and technology from hesitant trade partners, leading to widespread supply shortages within its domestic economy
Yeah, they ran out of missiles months ago, no washing machines with the right chips.
Apparently the wreckage of a couple of the missiles recently used was examined and it was determined they were manufactured this summer and in September. Of course the conclusion from that, as always, is that they must be running short on missiles because they are forced to use the new stuff. That Russia has been firing 100 missiles every Sunday/Monday to take out infrastructure might suggest that that is about how many they are producing is not even considered.
Technology wise, it looks like they have 'licensed' some Iranian drone models (hopefully in exchange they didn't give something like more efficient centrifuge plans) and are building them in Russia as well as, similarly, some licensed Chinese car models. Russian manufacturing (certainly weapons manufacturing) looks pretty self contained and skilled enough that they can quickly produce new products.
- Despite Putin’s delusions of self-sufficiency and import substitution, Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill with no capacity to replace lost businesses, products and talent; the hollowing out of Russia’s domestic innovation and production base has led to soaring prices and consumer angst
See above.
The car industry, for example, has definitely taken a big hit, but China is clearly willing to exchange cars for oil and even help getting the factories in Russia going.
Machinery and pharmaceuticals were the big listed imports when the war began. Aren't those big exports for China and India? Don't China and India need energy and food and minerals and fertilizer? Not a surprise that China/India have pretty much refused to participate in any sanctions. Russia produces what they need and they export what Russia needs.
If someone notes the Houston Astros had a good 2022, is it based on the results from opening day thru the World Series or do you insist the year began on January 1st?
If someone notes the Houston Astros had a good 2022, is it based on the results from opening day thru the World Series or do you insist the year began on January 1st?
That guy just can't admit he has been exposed
Are you guys too dumb to realize that markets factor in information about likely future events? Do you guys think Twitter was trading at $53 in October 2022 because of their strong underlying business, or because the market knew Musk was going to be forced to buy at $54.20?
Russia's stock market tanked when they invaded because everyone knew strong sanctions were coming.
This paper is like 5 months old and I don't think they were correct even then.
Take their first three bullet points:
- Russia’s strategic positioning as a commodities exporter has irrevocably deteriorated, as it now deals from a position of weakness with the loss of its erstwhile main markets, and faces steep challenges executing a “pivot to Asia” with non-fungible exports such as piped gas
What round of sanctions is the EU at now? Ninth? They are obviously unhappy with how the first 8 worked.
The EU has apparently sent more money to Russia for natural gas than to Ukraine in aid since the war began.
- Despite some lingering leakiness, Russian imports have largely collapsed, and the country faces stark challenges securing crucial inputs, parts, and technology from hesitant trade partners, leading to widespread supply shortages within its domestic economy
Yeah, they ran out of missiles months ago, no washing machines with the right chips.
Apparently the wreckage of a couple of the missiles recently used was examined and it was determined they were manufactured this summer and in September. Of course the conclusion from that, as always, is that they must be running short on missiles because they are forced to use the new stuff. That Russia has been firing 100 missiles every Sunday/Monday to take out infrastructure might suggest that that is about how many they are producing is not even considered.
Technology wise, it looks like they have 'licensed' some Iranian drone models (hopefully in exchange they didn't give something like more efficient centrifuge plans) and are building them in Russia as well as, similarly, some licensed Chinese car models. Russian manufacturing (certainly weapons manufacturing) looks pretty self contained and skilled enough that they can quickly produce new products.
- Despite Putin’s delusions of self-sufficiency and import substitution, Russian domestic production has come to a complete standstill with no capacity to replace lost businesses, products and talent; the hollowing out of Russia’s domestic innovation and production base has led to soaring prices and consumer angst
See above.
The car industry, for example, has definitely taken a big hit, but China is clearly willing to exchange cars for oil and even help getting the factories in Russia going.
Machinery and pharmaceuticals were the big listed imports when the war began. Aren't those big exports for China and India? Don't China and India need energy and food and minerals and fertilizer? Not a surprise that China/India have pretty much refused to participate in any sanctions. Russia produces what they need and they export what Russia needs.
Do you have a comparable, updated study? And, your argument that a 118 page study, where they actually studied things boils down to, "Nah. I don't think so."
The automotive industry was down more than 60% in November 2022 compared to November 2021, so whatever they're licensing from China clearly hasn't reached parity with pre-invasion levels, and may take many years to do so. The entire Russian tech sector is f*cked for decades, and as more and more countries move away from fossil fuels the Russian economy has no hope of recovering. The Russian economy is expected to shrink several percent this year and several more percent next year.
There is a 0% chance that Russia is manufacturing 100 missiles or drones per week domestically (maybe they can buy a few hundred from Iran, but even Iran is not going to produce that many per week)... I mean, Russia celebrated adding 2 new transport planes to the Air Force last week and something like a dozen tanks. They were struggling to produce the T-14 Armata pre-invasion, and have deployed precisely 0 to Ukraine.
Carmine9 nor Lolly’s Master lack the reading ability to neither read, comprehend, nor recall anything from the Yale University report. They obtain their news from outlets like YouTube channels that push conspiracy theories that target a low iq audience.
New research published in Applied Cognitive Psychology provides evidence that critical thinking skills are negatively related to belief in conspiracy ...
A Russian Nobel Peace Prize co-laureate denounced President Vladimir Putin and the ongoing war with Ukraine in an acceptance speech on Saturday. Yan Rachinsky, who accepted the prize on behalf of his organization, Memorial, one of Russia's oldest civil rights groups, lamented actions that continued to "sow death and destruction on Ukrainian soil," adding that the war was an "insane and criminal war of aggression against Ukraine."
Reports that US is no longer asking Ukraine not to strike military targets in Russia, possibly a predecessor to supplying more long range weaponry to UA.
An unnamed US defense source told The Times that the Pentagon is no longer insisting that Ukraine should not strike military targets within Russia.[1] The source noted that the Pentagon has changed its perspective on this matter following the recent intensification of Russian missile strike on Ukrainian civilian infrastructure over the last few months and that the Pentagon has become less concerned regarding the risk of escalation, including nuclear escalation, with Russia.[2] The Times suggested that this development is a “green light” for Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian territory.
An unnamed US defense source told The Times that the Pentagon is no longer insisting that Ukraine should not strike military targets within Russia. The source noted that the Pentagon has changed its perspective on this matter...
Butler's erstwhile drinking buddy Mode cancelled their annual summit because the Indian PM doesn't want to pick up the stench of war criminal. Another day, another domino.
Word is that Bad Vlad is pricing out plastic surgeons and Argentinian real estate. At this rate he better get crackin'.
Butler's erstwhile drinking buddy Mode cancelled their annual summit because the Indian PM doesn't want to pick up the stench of war criminal. Another day, another domino.
Word is that Bad Vlad is pricing out plastic surgeons and Argentinian real estate. At this rate he better get crackin'.
