OK the google imagery is not the exactly same lane closure I think, but similar. On the regenerated Joanna activity, the closure is mile 8.6 to 12.6.
OK the google imagery is not the exactly same lane closure I think, but similar. On the regenerated Joanna activity, the closure is mile 8.6 to 12.6.
Investigator wrote:
OK the google imagery is not the exactly same lane closure I think, but similar. On the regenerated Joanna activity, the closure is mile 8.6 to 12.6.
Sorry messed that up.
AZ DOT lane closure is mile marker 81 to 84, which on strava is 8.7 (just about where east/west split up) to 11.7 (right when they backtrack) on the activity
skyrefuge wrote:
Watcher of videos wrote:Using the un-timestamped gpx downloads from Joanna's account, I found that "week1 - joanna/Night_Run (15).gpx" had 18382 points, which exactly matches this run of 5:06:21.
I then recreated the start time from the open tracker data, and repopulated the gpx with 1 second time intervals. Upload is here:
https://www.strava.com/activities/625342148We should be able to target the others the same way.
Damn, I throw out an idea, go to bed, and when I wake up, someone has already run with it and done the job. You guys are awesome. If only my real job worked like that!
So are you going through and adding timestamps to all of them now? Would it be quicker to just run them all through a script that uses the same dummy start-time, upload them to Strava, let the LR community crowdsource the real start times based on their locations, and then re-run the script with the actual start times?
I've got approximate start times based on intersecting the first point with the tracker data. Technically, it assigns the time based on the nearest tracker data so it could be some minutes off (usually less than 6 I would imagine). Better would be to search among the first 10 GPX points for the best match and use that as a reference. This is assuming the watch isn't stopped for the whole run.
I actually now have the nearest tracker point and timestamp for every point in all of the non-timestamped data. Just trying to figure out how to stitch the times back into the GPX file.
The point is that it's becoming clearer that SKINS and ceo Fuller were totally aware of this scam from the beginning. He's trying to brush this off and hopes it blows over.
Point Made wrote:
I was just checking in to see what you all were still talking about. The guy cheated. You proved it a couple thousand pages ago. What now is the point of all this?
team1.kml wrote:
skyrefuge wrote:Damn, I throw out an idea, go to bed, and when I wake up, someone has already run with it and done the job. You guys are awesome. If only my real job worked like that!
So are you going through and adding timestamps to all of them now? Would it be quicker to just run them all through a script that uses the same dummy start-time, upload them to Strava, let the LR community crowdsource the real start times based on their locations, and then re-run the script with the actual start times?
I've got approximate start times based on intersecting the first point with the tracker data. Technically, it assigns the time based on the nearest tracker data so it could be some minutes off (usually less than 6 I would imagine). Better would be to search among the first 10 GPX points for the best match and use that as a reference. This is assuming the watch isn't stopped for the whole run.
I actually now have the nearest tracker point and timestamp for every point in all of the non-timestamped data. Just trying to figure out how to stitch the times back into the GPX file.
And bonus, I finally brought Case's 3-minute data in so we have data from the Geezer days in my batch as well.
How's that Skins investigation coming along? I remember roughly a week ago it was in 1-3 days that they will announce something?
I just got here. What'd I miss?
Wearing SKINS sounds bloody.
John C. Lately wrote:
I just got here. What'd I miss?
Just 440 pages of joy.
Who was that skins employee that was part of the RV crew? He's got some splaining to do Lucy!
Was he a pseudo employee or truly on the Skins payroll? There is no way that anybody in the RV is not in on the scam.
moanswers wrote:
Hiro wrote:I wrote an executive summary, you can find it here:
http://ryinvestigation.blogspot.com/p/a-summary-of-major-pieces-of-evidence.htmlIt ended up being longer than I originally planned, but I think it is a good introduction to everything that has been uncovered in the investigation. I tried to write it in a way that would be accessible to non-runners. Let me know if you have any suggestions.
Even as someone who has been following this thread from day 1 this was very hard to compile. It simply isn't possible to sort through this thread, and the google doc doesn't have a lot of context in it. Without more high level, easy to understand material, our accusations won't get much traction.
Excellent summary! This would be a great piece to send to a journalist.
However, it might be better to find a flatter 100 miler than western states to compare the ridiculousness of RYs pace. One could argue "Of course the mean pace for WS is just 8:51, it climbs over 18,000 feet".
Consider the Western States 100, a well established 100 mile ultra marathon that takes place out west. The course record, 14:46, translates to an average pace of 8:51 min/mile. This is the course record. That means that the fastest time that any of the multitudes of elite, well rested, ultra-marathoners could manage was almost 9 minutes per mile.
The same thought crossed my mind. Can anyone recommend a good alternative? I used WS since they just ran it, but it would be easy to switch out. Unfortunately, I don't know of many ultras.
My wife spends way to much money at ULTRA. And all the girls that work there have attitudes and are full of themselves. Hate that place!
Investigator wrote:
Investigator wrote:OK the google imagery is not the exactly same lane closure I think, but similar. On the regenerated Joanna activity, the closure is mile 8.6 to 12.6.
Sorry messed that up.
AZ DOT lane closure is mile marker 81 to 84, which on strava is 8.7 (just about where east/west split up) to 11.7 (right when they backtrack) on the activity
Strava must have a wider smoothing or something and just miss the mile because of the backtrack. They show fastest mile at 3:44. But - I've tried TWO separate desktop applications and they are both revealing much faster paces.
Rob was doing 50kph right up to that backtrack (where the lane closure ends). A 1:56 mile, gaining 300ft:
http://imgur.com/a/QjqooTo me this is the biggest smoking gun in the thread. I really don't know what information we could find that would be better, (other than a longer and faster run.)
We have a lot of info at the micro and macro level that proves the running was impossible for Rob to accomplish. Long runs at 10+ mph, 34:45 10k at 8000ft, 300+mpw at sub 7, etc, etc. We know it's proof, but the fans keep saying, "you're just jealous cause you aren't that fast, it's downhill, he took breaks".
I guess it's because they believed Rob to be some kind of distance prodigy, they see each run is humanly possible, and they don't grasp how absurd those performances are collectively. So we are left trying to prove that Rob is actually just a 17min 5k guy who can't sustain that pace.
This run though, is impossible for everyone. It needs no explanation or analysis. The only drawback is proving that it can from Rob's GPS.
This segment was posted on his wife's Strava account, and then deleted? I'm guessing a quick thinking forum member grabbed it in time? It also sounds like we did some manipulation on the data? Are there any other segments he has uploaded that overlap (IE is this a "missing" segment)?
Essentially what I'm asking is how we prove this came from Rob. For a journalist or even the blog we need to clearly state how we obtained this data.
Rocky Raccoon in Texas. The total elevation is 5,375 ft, one of the flatter 100s.
The CR is 12:38 which is 7:38.
This would support how hard it would be for RY to even run sub 7s when climbing.
Hiro wrote:
To me this is the biggest smoking gun in the thread. I really don't know what information we could find that would be better, (other than a longer and faster run.)
We have a lot of info at the micro and macro level that proves the running was impossible for Rob to accomplish. Long runs at 10+ mph, 34:45 10k at 8000ft, 300+mpw at sub 7, etc, etc. We know it's proof, but the fans keep saying, "you're just jealous cause you aren't that fast, it's downhill, he took breaks".
I guess it's because they believed Rob to be some kind of distance prodigy, they see each run is humanly possible, and they don't grasp how absurd those performances are collectively. So we are left trying to prove that Rob is actually just a 17min 5k guy who can't sustain that pace.
This run though, is impossible for everyone. It needs no explanation or analysis. The only drawback is proving that it can from Rob's GPS.
This segment was posted on his wife's Strava account, and then deleted? I'm guessing a quick thinking forum member grabbed it in time? It also sounds like we did some manipulation on the data? Are there any other segments he has uploaded that overlap (IE is this a "missing" segment)?
Essentially what I'm asking is how we prove this came from Rob. For a journalist or even the blog we need to clearly state how we obtained this data.
Do we still have the link for the now empty Joanna account? I mean, a screenshot, the fact that I don't think Joanna Hanasz was trying to concurrently set a transcon record, and that these activities were deleted once we started talking about them are pretty good evidence that it was really Rob Young using that account.
I really like this new 1:56 mile/deleted activity/speeding up in the RV due to lane closure stuff. Will try for a new blog post tonight.
Investigator wrote:[/b
Rob was doing 50kph right up to that backtrack (where the lane closure ends). A 1:56 mile, gaining 300ft:
http://imgur.com/a/Qjqoo
Hater! You are just jealous that you can't run 50kph up a mountain.
Don't listen to these mean people Robbie! You have Grit. (And we are gutted to read the hatred)
Ray & Stacey? wrote:
Looking back to when Rob did his "RECORD BREAKING NO SLEEP" run I found this interesting post on his FB page
https://www.facebook.com/marathonmanuk/posts/843337205750539What's interesting is that the first 7 Crew teams which appear to cover the first 280 miles all seem a little vague with first names only. It's only when you get to Crew 8 onwards that there are full names given and these are the only sections which Rob needed volunteers for according to the post.
So either Rob just happened to have already sorted out the first 7 crews and didn't feel the need to give their surnames as they are all such good friends,
or they are made up like most other things in Robs life.
The initial set of FB updates regarding the run are all very short and far between and look decidedly fake, it also appears that Ray dumped Stacey and got a new wife called Claire for crew 6!
https://www.facebook.com/marathonmanuk/posts/848001408617452If you were going to try and fake a run like this and you could only see yourself running a max of 100 miles then you might as well get as many witnesses as you can for that 100 miles after faking the first 270!
Amazing.
One could check Rob's friend list if he has friends with this names.
Quick backup:
http://archive.is/pfk59http://archive.is/rapQOInvestigator wrote:
Damn! Take a look at Google streeview for that fast section - it's two lanes coming down to one. The footage was taken last year and it looks temporary, but we all know how long construction projects can last so maybe it was still there? They got forced into one lane, were being honked at, had to speed up, and the spot that they regroup and backtrack a little is actually right where the lane opens up again!
Great catch.
Investigator wrote:
Hiro wrote:This segment was posted on his wife's Strava account, and then deleted? I'm guessing a quick thinking forum member grabbed it in time? It also sounds like we did some manipulation on the data? Are there any other segments he has uploaded that overlap (IE is this a "missing" segment)?
Essentially what I'm asking is how we prove this came from Rob. For a journalist or even the blog we need to clearly state how we obtained this data.
Do we still have the link for the now empty Joanna account? I mean, a screenshot, the fact that I don't think Joanna Hanasz was trying to concurrently set a transcon record, and that these activities were deleted once we started talking about them are pretty good evidence that it was really Rob Young using that account.
I really like this new 1:56 mile/deleted activity/speeding up in the RV due to lane closure stuff. Will try for a new blog post tonight.
If i remember right, the start and end locations of this run matches up nicely with Rob's other strava runs before/after it.
Agree we definitely need to explain how we got this file too