rupp-certified salaadbar wrote:
Of elite 800 men, Juantorena was pretty much the fastest ever with a 44.2
General rules of thumb (2x200 + 3.0s = 400) would guess about 20.5 for a 44-low guy, 21-flat at absolute worst (that would assume an 800 guy has less decay from 200 to 400 speed. But that it would be very optimistic to think a 21.0 guy can do 44.0:
2x20.5 + 3.0 = 44.0
2x21.0 + 2.0 = 44.0
100x2 is often used for a 200 estimate, but that has significant +/- depending on the runner\'s start and acceleration, which is going to be worse for an 800 runner than the sprinters whose times are usually used. It\'s very unlikely an 800 guy does 100 from the blocks in less than half his 200 time.
Overall, some speed-oriented elite 800 guys who could start should be able to break 11.0 FAT (11.0x2= 22.0, 22.0x2 + 3 = 47.0).
Sub-10.5 would be extremely rare, requiring 45-flat 400 ability AND very optimistic projections from that down to the 100 (10.5x2= 21.0, 21.0x2 + 3 = 45.0).
Amazing explanation. Although Solomon\'s 10.84 is less than half of his 21.96 so he is no slouch out of the blocks (or didn\'t get everything out of the 200).