A Rose By Any Other wrote:
Sagarin wrote:You'd think Centrowitz and, particularly, Rupp would've run 3:28 by now...
This argument makes no sense whatsoever. None. Centro actually has accomplished much more, with 2 WC medals at 1500m, than one might have thought an 8:41 high school 2 miler would. Neither Galen Rupp nor Centro looked like they'd ever be close to 3:30 1500m runners when they were in high school. Sure both were very good high school milers, but neither broke 4 minutes, and neither really looked as if the 1500m would be their event. IF they are doping or something similar but technically not, then presumably Mo Farah ran 12:57 without it, a time which Rupp has not matched with it (this ostensible aid). Mo Farah is more talented than Galen or Centro, of that there is no doubt.
Did 4:15 high school prep Steve Scott give any indication that he was going to run an AR 3:47, doped or not? Rupp ran 12:58-high in a race that he didn't peak for and was training through. Any reasonable person would agree with Salazar that he was probably in 12:50 shape then, and many of the Africans he beat at Pre did go on to run 12:46-12:50 a few weeks later in Europe.
My point in all of this, making comparisons to Lagat and what not, is that the 3:28.8 shouldn't be the rallying cry for cheating unless you also think that Lagat was cheating at the 2012 Olympic games (many do, I'm sure). The 3:28.8 in and of itself, while terribly impressive, is merely a data point. In reality, Farah was probably already capable of 26:50 before he joined Salazar and he has only improved his 5,000 PR by four seconds (though, admittedly, he should be able to go faster).
What Salazar has purposely worked on is Mo's finishing speed. So a guy who can blast the last couple of laps of a 5,000 or 10,000 to win, particularly the last lap, is also a guy who is probably capable of a very fast 1,500 under optimal conditions, which is what Farah got. He won't get the same opportunity again.