stupidned wrote:
27.3%
Fuc+ing unbelivable, I was thinking the same, +/- 0.3%
stupidned wrote:
27.3%
Fuc+ing unbelivable, I was thinking the same, +/- 0.3%
More numbers out of my *ss wrote:
Maybe 10% if the premise is that they have a year to train. 2 or 3% if you mean today with no additional training.
My only real data point is the President's Challenge mile. In 1985, the 85th percentile for the mile was 6:06 for males aged 17.
Fitness levels have since declined, and I expect they decline very rapidly once many people get into their 20's. Assuming you could get to around 15% of 18 year olds breaking 6 minutes with a year of training, I think 10% is reasonable when you extend the population to 30.
27.6% if they have the entire calender year of their 30th birthday to achieve it, so the first time trial is on their 30th bday after cake, and then they have until midnight before their 31st birthday
My guess would be 2-3% for a sub-6 mile.. probably a little higher at 18 (5%)and lower by 30(1%). I would guess about 0.2-0.3% for M18-30 for sub-5 mile. I would guess less than 1% for sub-6 and less than 0.1% for sub-5 at my age group M45-49(I can run a sub-5 mile)
yyy wrote:
60%
I think this was from seven years ago, but it bears revisiting: are you f-ing serious?! Long distance runners live in a bubble, I swear.