shipsy wrote:
HERE WAS THE REPLY TO RENATO's FALSE POST.
Onto the list - lets grab IAAF stats for a clearer picture. Now this list is missing one piece of essential information, except in one case. We don't know when you began coaching these people so cannot prove things one way or the other definitively. Perhaps you can add that information you forgot to include, except in that one case. Anyways i will still go ahead as things are pretty conclusive anyway.
FLORENCE KIPLAGAT (1987)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=k/country=ken/athcode=226599/index.html---this is the example mo'pak has already pointed out as an example supporting my theory; the stats show this to be true, 3 years. But then you moved her out distances.
STEPHEN CHERONO (Saaeed SHAHEEN) (1982)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=171720/index.html---the stats you provided go back to 1999. Did you start coaching him when he was 17? The stats above show he peaks in the steeple, his main event, in 2004 aged 23. His 5k peaked in 2003. We do need to know when he started with you to be more decisive but this looks exactly like a case of early burnout. 23 is young to be stopping improvement is it not?
MOSES MOSOP (1985)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=188308/index.html--again we don't know when you started with him but lets say in 2003 at 18. I do remember he stood out one year at the training camps and somehow an Italian agent got him to you. Do you get this service often? I guess this explains how the complaint i hear around is that you cheery pick your athletes. The stats below show he peaked in 3k and 5k in 2006 aged 21. This is very early! It is also 3 years. 2007 went backwards and you began to move him out distance. Again the short 3 year period of improvement at the original events before stagnation ... so you move them out distance. This is a trend that is becoming increasingly clearer.
PAUL KOSGEI (1978)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=56127/index.html--- Interesting example. 2000, aged 22 saw him peak in 3k and 5k and seemingly peak in 10k, but 2003 saw a new 10k peak, as he was moving out distance now yes? His 10k road still from 2002 though. Later he ran a 209 marathon in 2008 aged 30. This probably led you to see he would have been better off going longer at a younger age. You have applied this lesson well to the athletes that have come since him. This moving out distances at younger and younger ages ... Still this example only shows a long career, not development at the original event/s past 3 years. Why did he stop improving at his original distances? I guess this question can be asked about most of your athletes.
MARK BETT (1976)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=21169/index.html---good story about working around his physical problem, but he stopped improving at 3k and 5k so early again. The stats below show 5k pb in 2000 aged 24 and 3k in 2001 aged 25. 10k continued to improve to 2005 as he moved out distances and ended up running some half marathons, but no marathons. Maybe this example supports the experience of kosgei above. Still it is hard to say anything in this case because each year might have seen his problem worsen in the second half of his 20s. But then again perhaps not being able to train consistently saw his career lengthen more than the norm. When did you start with him?
RAKYA MARAOUI-QUETIER (1967)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/country=fra/athcode=115208/index.html---first question is when did you begin with her and what exactly was your involvement over those 22 years o your involvement with her. First i like this sort of career, even moreso from someone not at the top level, however, we again see the loss of her original events, those shorter faster ones that your athletes seem to stop doing fairly quickly and seem to stop improving in after 3 years.
DORCUS INZIKURU (1982)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=170929/index.html---another moving up distance example, 3k pb in 2003 aged 21 an 5k in 2004 aged 22, both never improved on. Moving out
to steeple saw a pb in 2005 in her third year of racing the event. Almost the purest example in this list of someone who peaked early and performed at a lower level ever after.
SYLVIA KIBET (1984)
http://www.iaaf.org/athletes/biographies/letter=0/athcode=171450/index.html---here we could have a winner. 4 seasons of improvement is this true? 2010 peaking in most events but 2011 backwards and then career over? Anyway this sole example proves me wrong and her is someone improving in their 4th season.
I'm glad i put the effort into this. The above list not only further proves my point it expands it a little. It more clearly highlights the moving out of distances aspect to Canova's approach. Still, when it comes to the shorter faster distances, the ones requiring a higher degree of athleticism for success, the Canova approach doesn't seem to get anywhere. When it comes to marathons the jury i guess is still out. Bring on Mosop's next few marathons.