Russia will not win a decisive battle. They are now bogged down in a protracted conflict that will slowly drain their blood and treasure. Russia has already lost, the question now is, what will that loss look like?
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Etpredict wrote:
Russia will not win a decisive battle. They are now bogged down in a protracted conflict that will slowly drain their blood and treasure. Russia has already lost, the question now is, what will that loss look like?
From reports I'm hearing from Ukrainian bloggers, the Russian army is not only falling apart but mutinies are occurring across the occupied territories.
I'm in the USA so I can't vouch for what I read or watch.
Here's one of the bloggers I listen too.
He was an airline pilot before the war, and is grounded now because of it. He uses his platform to raise money for the soldiers. I've been checking his daily updates for 5 months. His reporting seem more reliable that what I see on google news for example. He has great maps showing advances/retreats and where mortars and artillery shells have landed.
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the “woke liberals” at Fox News keep pushing the anti Russia propaganda too right Carmine?
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carmine9 wrote:
Ukraine cannot stand up militarily to Russia
Interesting. C9 appears unable to understand how maps work. I don't think even RT or TASS are publishing battlefield maps showing anything but the front lines at a virtual standstill for many months.
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Carmine9 criticizes all the information from any media outlet posted here, including foreign.
Yet, he won’t reveal the source of his counter information.
carmine9 if our information from the various media outlets is incorrect, where do you find the “correct” information?
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Loving it....
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Was talking....
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So now the army stealing cars from the population because they are running out......haahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!
This is hard to believe, just how sad is this army?
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Carmines Master 1 wrote:
Carmine9 criticizes all the information from any media outlet posted here, including foreign.
Yet, he won’t reveal the source of his counter information.
carmine9 if our information from the various media outlets is incorrect, where do you find the “correct” information?
Unless you call all the videos I post as revealing sources.
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carmine9 wrote:
Carmines Master 1 wrote:
Carmine9 criticizes all the information from any media outlet posted here, including foreign.
Yet, he won’t reveal the source of his counter information.
carmine9 if our information from the various media outlets is incorrect, where do you find the “correct” information?
Unless you call all the videos I post as revealing sources.
Oh look. Carmine revealing his sources are fraudsters. Of course, he believes everything they say...In March 2019, investors filed more than two dozen lawsuits in Indiana and New Jersey, claiming that Morris was running a Ponzi scheme involving the sales of some houses in C- and D-class neighborhoods through his investment company, Morris Invest, in Indianapolis. The investors claim they were sold rental properties which Morris Invest promised to rehabilitate and rent out, earning them rental income. Some claim they later discovered the properties they received rental income from for several months were boarded up and vacant and they began receiving city code and country health department violations. Others found they had purchased vacant lots, small shacks or buildings that were falling down. Federal and state law enforcement officials would not comment on whether or not there was a criminal investigation. An associate of Morris's, Bert Whalen, would plead guilty to conspiracy to commit wire fraud in 2022, though Morris has not been charged with a crime.In March 2020, Morris lost a $7.2 million copyright infringement lawsuit against HoltonWiseTV. The lawsuit, filed in federal court by Morris in October 2019, stemmed from HoltonWiseTV's production of a three-hour documentary investigating the alleged involvement of Morris in various real estate scams.In May 2020, the state of Indiana filed a civil lawsuit against Clayton Morris, among others, for violating Indiana's deceptive sales and home loan acts in real estate deals involving more than 150 properties in Marion County.Hey Carmine... I think Clayton has a killer real-estate deal for you in Russia.
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An American YouTuber named Clayton Morris, a real estate investor, is your source of information?
This guy:You understand how pathetic that is? You believe this guy but doubt recognized media outlets and university reports the world over.
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Carmines Master 1 wrote:
but doubt recognized media outlets and university reports the world over.
Recognized media outlets are never independent and always deliver the facts to support the agenda from the sources that are paying their bills.
You're old enough to know this.
The truth is always in the middle and that line is very thin and unpopular since it doesn't really appeal to either side.
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Lollys Master wrote:
Carmines Master 1 wrote:
but doubt recognized media outlets and university reports the world over.
Recognized media outlets are never independent and always deliver the facts to support the agenda from the sources that are paying their bills.
You're old enough to know this.
The truth is always in the middle and that line is very thin and unpopular since it doesn't really appeal to either side.
I'm sure some posters here won't believe that Russia has resorted to buying artillery from North Korea, because it's being reported by recognized media outlets, but it seems like they're that desperate (or pathetic). Apparently, sanctions are working.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/05/us/politics/russia-north-korea-artillery.html
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Lollys Master wrote:
Carmines Master 1 wrote:
but doubt recognized media outlets and university reports the world over.
Recognized media outlets are never independent and always deliver the facts to support the agenda from the sources that are paying their bills.
You're old enough to know this.
The truth is always in the middle and that line is very thin and unpopular since it doesn't really appeal to either side.
When do you figure this out guy, Russia is totaly whipped toss in the towel.
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YouTubers sole goals are likes, views and subscribers to make money. And to spout their unvetted, uninformed personal opinions.
You are a moron if you use a YouTuber with no credentials whatsoever as your source of information.
This Clayton guy only get 10,000 views on his videos too.
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Russia seems to be coming to terms with the fact that it will not be able to secure a straight up military victory in this war absent initiating a draft which has severe political implications for Putin. The strategy seems to have shifted to a war of attrition to try to use energy policy to erode support for Ukraine and give Russia leverage to get a peace deal this winter which would basically be a deal for Ukraine territorial concessions in Donbas for energy exports to Europe. Russia has been gaining support among some ultra-right parties in Europe who are using the economic fallout from Russia sanctions as a way to gain support for an ant-Ukraine agenda (same crap you see here about Nazis and NATO). Support from the US and UK do not appear in jeopardy as Biden holds the White House through 2024 and Truss is a strong supporter of Ukraine with no real threat from her right wing. But that support has been just enough to keep Ukraine in the fight (and defense contractors happy) but not enough to really give Ukraine the upper hand (which would shorten the war and make defense contractors sad). There is also a lot of speculation that the US and UK are privately vetoing any efforts to get a peace deal in order to make sure that Russia is thoroughly wrecked economically and military before the conflict ends. That could change quickly if there is a huge energy crisis this winter.
The one thing that could really force Russia into a position where it has to give up is the current microchip crisis in Russia. Russia prepared well for the invasion of Ukraine from an economic standpoint by minimizing its exposure to foreign reserves. It has also done well in dividing Europe and the US from the rest of the BRICs and other developing countries in Africa and South America. But the US and Europe still largely control critical microchip systems that Russia needs for military weapons and its oil and gas industry. There is speculation that Russia's flaring of natural gas and cutting off the Nordstream pipeline are due to mechanical failures that cannot be remedied without importing microchips from the West. Same as to Russia's announcement that it is purchasing arms from North Korea. This is because prior to the outset of the war, Russia did nothing to develop a domestic microchip industry. That is largely because the country is just too corrupt to be able to develop a microchip industry without the assistance and investment from Western chip makers.
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In summary, Russia f***ed up by invading Ukraine. They have made zero territorial gains. The Russian economy hasn’t yet collapsed due to manipulation. However, due to corruption a Russian economic collapse is likely, Russia’s last hope is civil disobedience in European counties this winter due to heating costs.
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Precious Roy wrote:
Russia seems to be coming to terms with the fact that it will not be able to secure a straight up military victory in this war absent initiating a draft which has severe political implications for Putin. The strategy seems to have shifted to a war of attrition to try to use energy policy to erode support for Ukraine and give Russia leverage to get a peace deal this winter which would basically be a deal for Ukraine territorial concessions in Donbas for energy exports to Europe. Russia has been gaining support among some ultra-right parties in Europe who are using the economic fallout from Russia sanctions as a way to gain support for an ant-Ukraine agenda (same crap you see here about Nazis and NATO). Support from the US and UK do not appear in jeopardy as Biden holds the White House through 2024 and Truss is a strong supporter of Ukraine with no real threat from her right wing. But that support has been just enough to keep Ukraine in the fight (and defense contractors happy) but not enough to really give Ukraine the upper hand (which would shorten the war and make defense contractors sad). There is also a lot of speculation that the US and UK are privately vetoing any efforts to get a peace deal in order to make sure that Russia is thoroughly wrecked economically and military before the conflict ends. That could change quickly if there is a huge energy crisis this winter.
The one thing that could really force Russia into a position where it has to give up is the current microchip crisis in Russia. Russia prepared well for the invasion of Ukraine from an economic standpoint by minimizing its exposure to foreign reserves. It has also done well in dividing Europe and the US from the rest of the BRICs and other developing countries in Africa and South America. But the US and Europe still largely control critical microchip systems that Russia needs for military weapons and its oil and gas industry. There is speculation that Russia's flaring of natural gas and cutting off the Nordstream pipeline are due to mechanical failures that cannot be remedied without importing microchips from the West. Same as to Russia's announcement that it is purchasing arms from North Korea. This is because prior to the outset of the war, Russia did nothing to develop a domestic microchip industry. That is largely because the country is just too corrupt to be able to develop a microchip industry without the assistance and investment from Western chip makers.
Over the years I have't always agreed with you.
But your above post is spot on. Russia is looking for men and material to continue this war. Ukraine is only asking for material to continue this fight. Manpower shortage is not an issue for Ukraine. Ukraine's men and women are stepping up to push Putin and Moscow back. And if the USA, Uk, Baltic States and others continue to supply Ukraine, it will not be long before Russia retreats with their tails hanging beneath their legs.
On a much sadder note, France and the October Fest country haven't done as much as they could so far. Maybe the USA and a few other NATO countries could put a note of reprimand or censure in their official NATO files so new members can see who their new friends are or aren't. I'm very disappointed with France and the October Fest country. They could have done more, but they were to busy moving their bowels in their calf-skin boots, being afraid of Putin.
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Prove you are not a robot, click on Russian Airplanes (good Ukrainian humor):
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Carmines Master 1 wrote:
Prove you are not a robot, click on Russian Airplanes (good Ukrainian humor):
I can tell you without be able to prove it, I'm not a robot. Sorry. I post what I post when I fell like posting. But I'll be go to hell if you or any other poster is going to challenge me to a test to determine if I a robot or not.
Well, I'll take that back. If you or any others would like to meet me sometime, I'll be happy to give you all directions to where I live. And we could have either a friendly or confrontational conservation in a bar or in the back alley. Personally, I'd rather drink than fight. But I'm not afraid of a bloody nose either.
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