What I'd like to know more about and to understand is why there's been this sudden increase. I know some of it is awareness and people being open about it when they wouldn't have been able to do that in the past.
But there seems to be a massive increase in the number of trans individuals. So what's behind that?
I even wondered about things like micro-plastics and environmental factors at one point.
- Historical estimates for recent years (e.g., Flores et al. 2016/2017) place U.S. adult transgender prevalence around 0.3–0.6%, and retrospective analyses of birth cohorts suggest substantially lower recorded/identified prevalence in earlier decades.
Latest best estimate (2025 data): about 1.0% of people aged 13+ identify as transgender (≈2.8 million); among adults 18+, about 0.8%.
That's approx doubled. 0.45% to 0.9%. In 10 years.
I don't think I'd even heard of trans until after I left HS.
Now almost everyone knows someone who is trans.
Why the increase? Just acceptance/awareness/being able to be open? Or what?
It's a really serious issue as it massively affects MH, affects someone's quality of life and health, costs a huge amount, causes a huge amount of anguish and problems for some people, and can change the course of their life totally. So what's going on?
Because other teams also lost points. It didn't affect final outcome this year, but it could have changed winning team.
It didn’t and Hernandez’s athletic carreer is over. Even if the rules don’t change, there probably won’t be another transgender athlete at her level, competing at the CIF State Meet.
What I'd like to know more about and to understand is why there's been this sudden increase. I know some of it is awareness and people being open about it when they wouldn't have been able to do that in the past.
But there seems to be a massive increase in the number of trans individuals. So what's behind that?
I even wondered about things like micro-plastics and environmental factors at one point.
- Historical estimates for recent years (e.g., Flores et al. 2016/2017) place U.S. adult transgender prevalence around 0.3–0.6%, and retrospective analyses of birth cohorts suggest substantially lower recorded/identified prevalence in earlier decades.
Latest best estimate (2025 data): about 1.0% of people aged 13+ identify as transgender (≈2.8 million); among adults 18+, about 0.8%.
That's approx doubled. 0.45% to 0.9%. In 10 years.
I don't think I'd even heard of trans until after I left HS.
Now almost everyone knows someone who is trans.
Why the increase? Just acceptance/awareness/being able to be open? Or what?
It's a really serious issue as it massively affects MH, affects someone's quality of life and health, costs a huge amount, causes a huge amount of anguish and problems for some people, and can change the course of their life totally. So what's going on?
What I'd like to know more about and to understand is why there's been this sudden increase. I know some of it is awareness and people being open about it when they wouldn't have been able to do that in the past.
But there seems to be a massive increase in the number of trans individuals. So what's behind that?
I even wondered about things like micro-plastics and environmental factors at one point.
- Historical estimates for recent years (e.g., Flores et al. 2016/2017) place U.S. adult transgender prevalence around 0.3–0.6%, and retrospective analyses of birth cohorts suggest substantially lower recorded/identified prevalence in earlier decades.
Latest best estimate (2025 data): about 1.0% of people aged 13+ identify as transgender (≈2.8 million); among adults 18+, about 0.8%.
That's approx doubled. 0.45% to 0.9%. In 10 years.
I don't think I'd even heard of trans until after I left HS.
Now almost everyone knows someone who is trans.
Why the increase? Just acceptance/awareness/being able to be open? Or what?
It's a really serious issue as it massively affects MH, affects someone's quality of life and health, costs a huge amount, causes a huge amount of anguish and problems for some people, and can change the course of their life totally. So what's going on?
Safe schools.
Throughout history, it seems that a certain baseline proportion of individuals has identified or thought of themselves as trans. The recent increase above that baseline suggests that trans identification, at least for awhile, became more fashionable and less biologically rooted. This has implications in terms of who should be offered medicalized therapies and how aggressive they should be.
The thread title is misleading. The actual girls were given their titles to comply with Title IX. Essentially they are establishing a third category to appease their constituency. If that is the value system their voters choose to enact without harming female participation or awards (which would be a title IX violation), so be it. The main issues with trans participation are if females displace or steal titles, roster spots, qualifying spots, etc. from actual girls, are given access to female only facilities like lockers and restrooms where actual females have a right to privacy or in contact sports where there is an increased injury risk for female participants. If this were a track event instead of a field event, I am curious how they would handle lane / hear assignments. You can’t create an extra lane. Anyone have insight into how California addresses this issue?
Most tracks today have nine lanes, especially the ones that host championship meets.
Because other teams also lost points. It didn't affect final outcome this year, but it could have changed winning team.
It didn’t and Hernandez’s athletic carreer is over. Even if the rules don’t change, there probably won’t be another transgender athlete at her level, competing at the CIF State Meet.
His level. He will never be a female. Stop this nonsense.
Parents and athletes need to STOP complaining about this, and do something. Simply DO NOT allow your child to participate in the event if there's a BOY allowed to compete. Let the BOY run the race alone...PERIOD! This will force CIF to re-evaluate their trans policy. I'm all in for a Trans-Only event, no one is saying they can't compete, just not against biological girls. This is called "compromising", both sides are allowed to compete in a "Fair" and "Equitable" setting. This is about athletic competition, right? Nothing more, nothing less.
Once again a LRer calling for a big sacrifice from others while doing nothing besides posting.
Once again an IDIOT like you who knows nothing. I have multiple daughters in CIF athletics, and have done exactly what I said in my previous post, the only difference was that I notified our coach (as did multiple parents) prior to the competition that my daughter(s) will not compete against biological males. The opposing coach chose to pull his trans athlete from the girls competition, and entered HIM in the boys division where HE belonged, and came in LAST place.