He's already stated that he's not peaking for indoors, yet he's already most likely in high 1:42 shape. Not saying it's likely he goes sub 1:40 this season, but it may be in the cards.
'Not peaking for indoors.'
<Runs low-volume, high-intensity, high-recovery workout, the the only plausible function of which is peaking.>
'Sub-1:40 may be in the cards' -- this may be the most ignorant post of the whole thread.
The dude is clearly a 200/400 m runner. He should move down.
LOL.
He's a global top-5 800m runner.
In the 200 he might be ranked top-5 ... among women.
LOL
Sarcasm not your strong suit I guess. I was keeping in line with the general tone of this thread.
Moreover, it was a general response to all the nincompoops on here who immediately said he should move up to the 1500 after he ran 1:42.
Lutkenhaus is right where he should be. An 800-meter runner first and foremost capable of competing for global medals. But one who is also capable of running a 21 flat 200 and a 45 flat 400 when he’s more mature and one who might entertain going to 1500 AFTER the next two Olympic cycles, so maybe when he turns 24 or 25.
I can't understand downvoting actual outdoor data established by enormous numbers of international performances in favor of a few people's sense for what he can do, but I'll affirm that IAAF points are not predictions but rather indications of relative performance level. I stated directly that he wouldn't reach the 200m predictions associated with the kinds of 400m times he is likely to run, having gone 46.30 in March last year months before running 1:42.27. His relative performance at 800 is far better than at 400, which in turn is far better than he's run for 200m. He should be able to break 45 next year, given how much high schoolers' speed tends to improve from sophomore to senior year (46.30 as a sophomore to sub 45 as a senior would be totally reasonable).
Regardless of the rolling start, the entire workout was superb to watch. let’s not discredit the kid…..he ran fast at the end of the workout…..and in lane 1!
He's already stated that he's not peaking for indoors, yet he's already most likely in high 1:42 shape. Not saying it's likely he goes sub 1:40 this season, but it may be in the cards.
'Not peaking for indoors.'
'Sub-1:40 may be in the cards' -- this may be the most ignorant post of the whole thread.
Might not be his *primary* peak. After all, he carried his season a long time last year and peaked perfectly for nationals IN AUGUST.
I’d bet on two things… Lutkenhaus could run 21.8 or slightly faster (21.5) right now totally rested in a competitive situation with blocks out of lane 4 or 5. And he’s likely gunning for the American record outdoors and that’s a great goal and it’s very realistic.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
In the 200 he might be ranked top-5 ... among women.
LOL
Sarcasm not your strong suit I guess. I was keeping in line with the general tone of this thread.
Moreover, it was a general response to all the nincompoops on here who immediately said he should move up to the 1500 after he ran 1:42.
Lutkenhaus is right where he should be. An 800-meter runner first and foremost capable of competing for global medals. But one who is also capable of running a 21 flat 200 and a 45 flat 400 when he’s more mature and one who might entertain going to 1500 AFTER the next two Olympic cycles, so maybe when he turns 24 or 25.
Great post, actually.
I think he can get there.
I also think anyone talking about 44.x or even 45-low for him this year is an idiot.
Regardless of the rolling start, the entire workout was superb to watch. let’s not discredit the kid…..he ran fast at the end of the workout…..and in lane 1!
Agreed.
Why can't people appreciate it for what it is (a great workout for a 46/1:42 guy who could perhaps go 1:41), and not blather on about what it's NOT (indicative of a 44.x or even 45-low).
I’d bet on two things… Lutkenhaus could run 21.8 or slightly faster (21.5) right now totally rested in a competitive situation with blocks out of lane 4 or 5. And he’s likely gunning for the American record outdoors and that’s a great goal and it’s very realistic.
21.8 flying start is 22.3 from blocks. That's pretty routine for a lot of 800 runners. It doesn't say he is half a second or more faster. Sprint times aren't reduced by the chunks that md and distance times might be.