FYI Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is leaving the Democratic Party and mounting an Independent run for POTUS, per Mediaite and National Review.
~In a race between Trump (R), Biden (D), Kennedy (I), West (Socialist-G), and Manchin (No Labels)...
~My educated guess is West drains Progressive Radicals from Biden, which helps across the board, but especially in urban areas. In places like California and New York, it wont effect the outcome (but it will be tighter), but PA, AZ, WI, MI, and MN, it will help.
~Manchin will likely take moderate votes, more Democrats from Biden, but some Republicans from Trump. This will impact the Midwest and South. Indies will be attracted to Manchin too, which will be split in places like Florida and Ohio.
~Kennedy will take about 10-20% of Registered Democrats (Dems will spend a ton trying to discredit him in the process, and it will feel like its "Biden v Kennedy" more than "Biden v Trump" for much of the year). The real danger here is the debates.
~Dems will be opposed to the idea of Kennedy, as an Indy, being on the GE Debate Stage. My gut tells me Team Trump will push for it. However, many Republicans will caution against it. Kennedy has a misplaced popularity amongst anti-Vax M-AGA. It is likely he would win over some of the "Trump should have fired Fauci" crowd, especially the disaffected DeSantis group.
~Still, I would want Kennedy on the stage. He is essentially a good man, who is a little off his rocker at times (Mr. Green Peace and anti-2A), but I respect his love for America. I would like to see Donald and Bobby chum it up a bit. I bet they would get along. Biden will be lost on the stage.
~West will never be allowed on the stage (unless he can repeat what Perot did in 1992 and get up to 10% in the polls). But West will drain 100% votes from Biden - probably 3-5%. Manchin may be able to qualify for the debate. However, it depends on if he is George Wallace 2.0 or not.
~If I were Trump, I'd push for all four gentlemen on the stage. It will be 4 on Biden - Trump could make nice with Kennedy and Manchin, and slap West when his Socialism gets worked up, then remind the world that the chaos you see is because of 2020.
~I would say the popular vote would look like thus: Trump 43% Biden 32% Kennedy 10% Manchin 10% West 5%
~Maybe Biden gets 37% instead, and Kennedy falls to 5ish. Maybe Manchin falls, too. It's hard to speculate where the votes will fall.
~Rigging the count in urban areas won't help much, because everyone will be voting in different directions, and the margin between Biden and Trump won't be close. Trump thrives in chaos.
Conclusion:
Biden loses the GE to Trump.
This post was edited 8 minutes after it was posted.
Shut down time! Trump wins when he isn't even in power! This is a done deal. Close it up, down, sideways, all around, wrapped up in a big red bow. We know what winning is.
We are going to shut it down hard. There is nothing liberals can do. We have the power, the poise and the moxie (balls) to take it down. Liberals will have to figure out some other way to get entitlement checks in the mail, steal our guns, and trod roughshod on our civil rights!
Leave your worries behind, 'cause rain, shine, don't mind, we're ridin' on the groove line tonight . . . . .
Disco Gary who predicted Trump would beat Biden last time. He was sooooo confident he coined the stupid “enjoy your loss” phrase in advance of TRUMP’S LOSS.
He then rattled on about the red earthquake before the mid terms. Maybe just maybe you’re an effing idiot who has no idea what’s going on.
My friend: He's polling 11-25% of DNC Primary voters - those are NOT Trump voters, per the RCP Avg.
And @Rasmussen_Poll has 33% of Dems likely to vote for him, as opposed to 14% of Rs (correct me if I'm wrong RR). Say it ends up being 17.5% Ds to 10% Rs = Trump wins.
A quarter of Democratic voters favor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in their party’s primary, and many would vote for Kennedy if he ran as a third-party candidate in 2024.
Disco Gary who predicted Trump would beat Biden last time. He was sooooo confident he coined the stupid “enjoy your loss” phrase in advance of TRUMP’S LOSS.
He then rattled on about the red earthquake before the mid terms. Maybe just maybe you’re an effing idiot who has no idea what’s going on.
Wrong.
The only phrases I ever coined are "whataboutrumptard" and perhaps the "Laughing Hyena" for Kamala.
I have just reposted & cited what other people said about RFK Jr becoming an independent- I did not pass that off as my own prediction.
Disco Gary who predicted Trump would beat Biden last time. He was sooooo confident he coined the stupid “enjoy your loss” phrase in advance of TRUMP’S LOSS.
He then rattled on about the red earthquake before the mid terms. Maybe just maybe you’re an effing idiot who has no idea what’s going on.
Wrong.
The only phrases I ever coined are "whataboutrumptard" and perhaps the "Laughing Hyena" for Kamala.
I have just reposted & cited what other people said about RFK Jr becoming an independent- I did not pass that off as my own prediction.
You repeatedly used “enjoy your loss” in anticipation of a Biden defeat - WRONG.
You repeatedly used “red earthquake” in anticipation of a huge Republican win in the mid terms. Once more - WRONG.
You’re not very smart. Most everyone with hard on for RFK are Republican.
A quick guide to Donald Trump and John McCain: --McCain was captured and imprisoned because he was serving his country. --Trump will be captured and imprisoned because he was serving himself. --McCain was tortured by the enemy because he was American. --America was tortured by Trump because he's an idiot. --McCain never gave up our secrets. --Trump stole our secrets and showed them to his dinner guests because, well, he's Donald. --McCain has two silver stars and a bronze star. --Trump has two impeachments and bronze skin. --McCain stayed in prison because he wanted to be with his brothers in arms. --Trump will stay in prison because he committed a sh!t ton of crimes. It's a tough choice. Good luck.
Remember. The stain of trumpism is always a reflection on his supporters. Not just Trump. Tonight he ridiculed an 82 year old man that had his head bashed with a hammer. why? Simply because he is the husband of a Democrat.
Did the audience walk out? Did they groan? Did they say that crosses the line?
No, they laughed it up. Yes, Trump is a loathsome human being. But he would not be here without loathsome supporters.
The only phrases I ever coined are "whataboutrumptard" and perhaps the "Laughing Hyena" for Kamala.
I have just reposted & cited what other people said about RFK Jr becoming an independent- I did not pass that off as my own prediction.
You repeatedly used “enjoy your loss” in anticipation of a Biden defeat - WRONG.
You repeatedly used “red earthquake” in anticipation of a huge Republican win in the mid terms. Once more - WRONG.
You’re not very smart. Most everyone with hard on for RFK are Republican.
You claimed I coined "enjoy your loss"- wrong. I posted it a few times as well as red earthquake but it doesn't mean I invented those terms. Don't get it twisted.
I also say "Sleepy Joe, Cocaine Mitch, Big Mike, Bidenette, etc.- it doesn't mean I coined those terms either.
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
You claimed I coined "enjoy your loss"- wrong. I posted it a few times as well as red earthquake but it doesn't mean I invented those terms. Don't get it twisted.
I also say "Sleepy Joe, Cocaine Mitch, Big Mike, Bidenette, etc.- it doesn't mean I coined those terms either.
Lighten up Francess. Don’t take things so literally. Just admit you were wrong about 2020 and made an azz out of yourself.
Remember. The stain of trumpism is always a reflection on his supporters. Not just Trump. Tonight he ridiculed an 82 year old man that had his head bashed with a hammer. why? Simply because he is the husband of a Democrat.
Did the audience walk out? Did they groan? Did they say that crosses the line?
No, they laughed it up. Yes, Trump is a loathsome human being. But he would not be here without loathsome supporters.
I don't like Hillary and I thought her "deplorables" comment was asinine politically.
The TRUTH is finally starting to become more apparent to Republicans who are not in the Trump cult. It's a very slow process but its starting.
(1) M'AGA lost again with the budget passing. Recent special elections have gone to democrats and Trump has continued his long trail of LOSING. Trump is a loser.
(2) Evidence and court rulings are adding up to point out that yes Trump is a total fraud and yes despite his constant lies he did lose a fair election.
(3) Trump's uncensored crazy aggressive statements statements and his verbal confusions indicate that Trump not only has emotional control problems but he is cognitively impaired. Biden is old and slow but he is stable and sound. Trump slows much instability.
(4) Biden's impeachment inquiry has actually shown that he did nothing wrong. Republican witnesses have stated that there is NO EVIDENCE. Trump's people in Congress trying to block funding for the country and impeach Biden are proven to be CLOWNS.
(4) The US economy is strong and doing much better than counterparts.
The TRUTH is finally starting to become more apparent to Republicans who are not in the Trump cult. It's a very slow process but its starting.
(1) M'AGA lost again with the budget passing. Recent special elections have gone to democrats and Trump has continued his long trail of LOSING. Trump is a loser.
(2) Evidence and court rulings are adding up to point out that yes Trump is a total fraud and yes despite his constant lies he did lose a fair election.
(3) Trump's uncensored crazy aggressive statements statements and his verbal confusions indicate that Trump not only has emotional control problems but he is cognitively impaired. Biden is old and slow but he is stable and sound. Trump slows much instability.
(4) Biden's impeachment inquiry has actually shown that he did nothing wrong. Republican witnesses have stated that there is NO EVIDENCE. Trump's people in Congress trying to block funding for the country and impeach Biden are proven to be CLOWNS.
(4) The US economy is strong and doing much better than counterparts.
Who is really responsible for the 9/11 attacks? Does the story we've been sold actually hold up under a microscope? Our next guest says not even close and he...
Also note that the GOP suffered a massive loss this weekend - they failed at getting anything they wanted into the budget. The House passed a Democratic continuing resolution, not a GOP one. All the promises of slashing help to american families...not happening.
The one thing the righties dug in their heels on, the one thing the GOP could not abide by...was offending Russia. Wild stuff. Pls explain.
