Ghost of Igloi wrote:
https://twitter.com/StockCats/status/1303714577172115456
Now that’s a V-shaped recovery!
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
https://twitter.com/StockCats/status/1303714577172115456
Now that’s a V-shaped recovery!
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
Bummbull wrote:
I don’t predict of something happening at certain times. I buy when low and sell when it gets to be higher price to rebalance my portfolio. I had no idea that TSLA was going to rise so quickly. When it started to get significant portion of my portfolio, I started selling as I like to rebalance.
You made a good prediction in regards to the market recovering but it’s not like you did anything with it. You just buy and hold, and just invest monthly with your paycheck. Nothing wrong with that and it’s great. But for you to be bragging about your correct prediction but didn’t really take advantage of it, it kinda sucks.
I made no prediction but took advantage of the situation so can’t complain with my portfolio.
So what are the %s for TMF and BND in your Bond Portfolio?
About 28% of my portfolio is in BND right now. About 38% are in TQQQ, UPRO, and TMF. I keep 55/45 ratio between UPRO,TQQQ/TMF.
Between UPRO/TQQQ, I keep 80/20 ratio.
So I have tech tilt, but not extreme.
If I count TMF as my bond holding, it does look like I have a very large bond holdings, but TMF is not steady like actual bond so I’m fine with having a large holding.
27% of my portfolio is AMZN. Only about 6% is TSLA now. It used to be much bigger but I sold a large portion of it.
This is in my post tax account. Also, back in beginning of April, I was actually around 120% equity, split up between AMZN, TSLA, AAPL, NFLX, RDFN, PRPL.
Around the time SP500 hit all time high, I started to get out of margin and started to shift more and more into bonds.
I still have 401k plan in which I’ve been investing max for the 6 years. This year, I’ve upped it to $30k per year contributing approx $10k as post tax money. My 401k allows that much to be added as post tax. In my 401k, I was at 90/10 but switched to 70/30 when sp500 hit all time high. I’m more comfortable at around 70/30 range.
I think I can be aggressive with my post tax account bc I try to have high savings rate. But I try to not go overboard during good times by holding onto bonds.
You guys can criticize my portfolio all you want. I had about $20K when I was around age 30. Now I’m at about $1million at age 37 by having high savings rate and investing. Now that my portfolio has grown, I keep good enough portion in bonds.
I do have to say, Igy remains defiant and boisterous despite being so wrong for over 5 years. Got to give him props for that .
But his cherry picking of dates makes him look a little silly. Not sure why it’s so hard to just admit that sometimes markets don’t behave (and sometimes for a relatively long time) like the fundamentals say they should.
agip wrote:
Tesla already around 17% higher than its low this week.
So much money flowing into tech shares. Amazing stuff.
Money flowing back out of tech shares.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
agip wrote:
Tesla already around 17% higher than its low this week.
So much money flowing into tech shares. Amazing stuff.
Money flowing back out of tech shares.
Volume is below average.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
er-leveraged-again-watch-barstools-dave-portnoy-sell-stocks-close
these guys never quit while they are ahead.
You luck into a life-changing tech rally? You make millions on it?
Take 90% of your money off the table and play with 10% of it. If you really can't stay away from the game.
Bummbull wrote:
This is in my post tax account. Also, back in beginning of April, I was actually around 120% equity, split up between AMZN, TSLA, AAPL, NFLX, RDFN, PRPL.
Around the time SP500 hit all time high, I started to get out of margin and started to shift more and more into bonds.
I still have 401k plan in which I’ve been investing max for the 6 years. This year, I’ve upped it to $30k per year contributing approx $10k as post tax money. My 401k allows that much to be added as post tax. In my 401k, I was at 90/10 but switched to 70/30 when sp500 hit all time high. I’m more comfortable at around 70/30 range.
I think I can be aggressive with my post tax account bc I try to have high savings rate. But I try to not go overboard during good times by holding onto bonds.
You guys can criticize my portfolio all you want. I had about $20K when I was around age 30. Now I’m at about $1million at age 37 by having high savings rate and investing. Now that my portfolio has grown, I keep good enough portion in bonds.
What was your return in 2018? You do realize your equity exposure to AMZN is around 51% and TSLA is 11%? Right now the correlations are working in your favor, but I would keep an eye out for any changes in the bond-equity negative correlation. ( See my Fred Graphs ) Good luck!
P.S. You do know that you're an unsecured creditor ( indirectly ) to a host of major IBs vis-a-vis Index Swaps?
On a side note, I inherited a client after the Tech Bubble burst. He had a margin account worth $1.5 million, with $1 million in equity. The client had heavy exposure to the popular stocks of the time. Through margin calls, and portfolio decline, the client had under $100,000 by the time I had him as a client.
My portfolio is roughly 20% Apple, 80% Amazon.
Thursday and Friday of last week were no good. I thought things were going to rebound because yesterday was a decent day. Another bad day today.
Apple makes good products. I don't know a lot about how their company operates but they should do well. And Amazon is huge. Anyways, bad day at the market today! If Amazon can reach $5000 by this time next year and apple $180 or so, that would be a good year for me.
RIght now I'm down 10% roughly of what I bought the stocks for. Bought when they were doing really well, now have lost 10%.
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
Bummbull wrote:
This is in my post tax account. Also, back in beginning of April, I was actually around 120% equity, split up between AMZN, TSLA, AAPL, NFLX, RDFN, PRPL.
Around the time SP500 hit all time high, I started to get out of margin and started to shift more and more into bonds.
I still have 401k plan in which I’ve been investing max for the 6 years. This year, I’ve upped it to $30k per year contributing approx $10k as post tax money. My 401k allows that much to be added as post tax. In my 401k, I was at 90/10 but switched to 70/30 when sp500 hit all time high. I’m more comfortable at around 70/30 range.
I think I can be aggressive with my post tax account bc I try to have high savings rate. But I try to not go overboard during good times by holding onto bonds.
You guys can criticize my portfolio all you want. I had about $20K when I was around age 30. Now I’m at about $1million at age 37 by having high savings rate and investing. Now that my portfolio has grown, I keep good enough portion in bonds.
What was your return in 2018? You do realize your equity exposure to AMZN is around 51% and TSLA is 11%? Right now the correlations are working in your favor, but I would keep an eye out for any changes in the bond-equity negative correlation. ( See my Fred Graphs ) Good luck!
P.S. You do know that you're an unsecured creditor ( indirectly ) to a host of major IBs vis-a-vis Index Swaps?
In 2018, my return was 28%. I was invested all in AMZN.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
On a side note, I inherited a client after the Tech Bubble burst. He had a margin account worth $1.5 million, with $1 million in equity. The client had heavy exposure to the popular stocks of the time. Through margin calls, and portfolio decline, the client had under $100,000 by the time I had him as a client.
...and now he’s invested in CDs, so still losing money.
Go, Pats!
Bummbull wrote:
In 2018, my return was 28%. I was invested all in AMZN.
Lucky you. In 2018
BND -.12%
UPRO -25.15%
TQQQ -19.8%
TMF -11.01%
So when did you start investing in these and why? Also how did you chose the 55% ( 80% UPRO; 20% TQQQ ) / 45% TMF, which incidentally was a good choice. ( For now )
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
On a side note, I inherited a client after the Tech Bubble burst. He had a margin account worth $1.5 million, with $1 million in equity. The client had heavy exposure to the popular stocks of the time. Through margin calls, and portfolio decline, the client had under $100,000 by the time I had him as a client.
Right now he is 45% Bonds and 55% Stocks. The negative correlations are working in his favor; for now. AMZN isn't going to crash like in the early aughts, but I wouldn't be surprised if somewhere down the road TSLA does a reverse split.
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
Bummbull wrote:
In 2018, my return was 28%. I was invested all in AMZN.
Lucky you. In 2018
BND -.12%
UPRO -25.15%
TQQQ -19.8%
TMF -11.01%
So when did you start investing in these and why? Also how did you chose the 55% ( 80% UPRO; 20% TQQQ ) / 45% TMF, which incidentally was a good choice. ( For now )
Do you work for AMZN?
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
Bummbull wrote:
In 2018, my return was 28%. I was invested all in AMZN.
Lucky you. In 2018
BND -.12%
UPRO -25.15%
TQQQ -19.8%
TMF -11.01%
So when did you start investing in these and why? Also how did you chose the 55% ( 80% UPRO; 20% TQQQ ) / 45% TMF, which incidentally was a good choice. ( For now )
I’ve recently switched to having exposure into UPRO/TMF with TQQQ tilt. I got this from Hedgefundie on bogleheads. He does all UPRO/TMF.
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
la gente esta muy loca wrote:
Lucky you. In 2018
BND -.12%
UPRO -25.15%
TQQQ -19.8%
TMF -11.01%
So when did you start investing in these and why? Also how did you chose the 55% ( 80% UPRO; 20% TQQQ ) / 45% TMF, which incidentally was a good choice. ( For now )
Do you work for AMZN?
Yea, I work there.