Boston 2019 Weather Thread

Weather underground says rain all day .66 inches of rain - high 48.

Accuweather says Mostly cloudy, chance for a bit of rain or drizzle in the afternoon. High 56.

I am pulling for Accuweather. Last years Boston rain was enough to last me a life time.

BouldeRunner wrote:

I'll go on the record as someone who ran last year and would be perfectly fine with changing the rain to snow, dropping the temp to 30 and ramping the wind up to 30 mph. I won't hit my time goal, but thats the only way Im going to improve on my place from last year.

Snow would've been better. The soaking rain makes you wetter, there's more chance of hypothermia. I wish it snowed last year.

Fan of wars of attrition wrote:

Charlesvdw wrote:

So far so good.

No storm and not too hot.

So far that is a bad thing. I want to see blood. Wars of attrition are way funnier to watch than some pansy a $$ race. Where some pansy wins it without pain.

Boston= Pain !

Wind shift alert: https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/USMA0046:1:US

That's bad news. 8 days out is when it fell apart last year. It's when the first inkling the weather would suck. By Thursday, many runners had changed plans and chose another marathon. Looks like nasty wind and rain. But without the epic cold of 2018.

One week to go

weather.com: hi 49 / lo 41 / 50% chance of rain / wind NNE 17mph

accuweather.com: hi 51 / lo 53 / 30% chance of rain / wind ENE 16mph, gusts to 45 mph

Windy.

Anyone know what the wind direction and speed was last year? (Sustained and gusts)

Unless that wind direction changes this is going to suck.

Not Angry, Not Johnny wrote:

That's bad news. 8 days out is when it fell apart last year. It's when the first inkling the weather would suck. By Thursday, many runners had changed plans and chose another marathon. Looks like nasty wind and rain. But without the epic cold of 2018.

How many is "many"? 2018 didn't have an unusually high number of nonstarters. In the previous ten Boston Marathons, only 2017 and 2011 had fewer nonstarters.

Not Angry, Not Johnny wrote:

That's bad news. 8 days out is when it fell apart last year. It's when the first inkling the weather would suck. By Thursday, many runners had changed plans and chose another marathon. Looks like nasty wind and rain. But without the epic cold of 2018.

idiotic post of the week.

89% of the field started, which is typical...

is anyone taking a charter bus that'll be parked in Hopkinton? If so, mind sharing if there are still seats available?

This is not good at all. I live in a flat city with lots of winds, but I never had issues with hilly courses. Headwind, I run into it every week and trying to run marathon pace with headwind is just suffering.

As someone who did well last year, I say bring it on (the cruddy weather). So much better than the Run for the Hoses type of weather.

Wind wrote:

This is not good at all. I live in a flat city with lots of winds, but I never had issues with hilly courses. Headwind, I run into it every week and trying to run marathon pace with headwind is just suffering.

If you're a slower hobby jogger, just draft behind a fatty. Drafting behind other skeletons doesn't reduce the wind much ;)

Convexity wrote:

One week to go

weather.com: hi 49 / lo 41 / 50% chance of rain / wind NNE 17mph

accuweather.com: hi 51 / lo 53 / 30% chance of rain / wind ENE 16mph, gusts to 45 mph

Windy.

Anyone know what the wind direction and speed was last year? (Sustained and gusts)

Ok, I found it online. Last year was in the high 30s/low 40s and a headwind of 25mph. The next day was high 40s and tailwind. Similar change in wind direction around this year's race in days before or after.

Haters aren't adding anything to the conversation here.

Complainers need to grow a pair. Just get out there and run.

Convexity wrote:

One week to go

weather.com: hi 49 / lo 41 / 50% chance of rain / wind NNE 17mph

accuweather.com: hi 51 / lo 53 / 30% chance of rain / wind ENE 16mph, gusts to 45 mph

Windy.

Anyone know what the wind direction and speed was last year? (Sustained and gusts)

Not everything you are looking for, but here is last year's:

Certainly worse than this year is predicted as Epstein mentions 2" of rain (.61 is forecasted on weather underground right now) and 35 mph gusts that were mainly a headwind (don't have sustained or direction). NE wind is generally worst case for that.

I also remember it was snowing in Hopkinton before the race started. Currently supposed to be at least 40s b4 the race there. so the current forecast is a little better than last year at least!

Before everyone panics, there is still a lot of uncertainty with the forecast next monday. Looks like it could be wet and windy, but that could easily change. We will know better as the week goes on.

I don't mind a little rain. It can't rain as hard as it did last year right? Oops, just jinxed it.

I don't care about rain.. not ideal, but I ran Boston 2015 in the rain and it was fine until I finished, then I was freezing.. what I don't want, is the wind. I hate wind.. but whatever, I will still be running.

how do you measure uncertainty? Is that something the models report?

One of the key items that ensemble forecasts provide.