There's the first error of youre logic is in the first of youre assumption that Bekele is gonna let the race stay at 1320 pace... name 3 races in the last year that Bekele has let a race go within 10 seconds of that slow, name the last time he didnt break 13 for a 5k... The assumption that the pace would be that slow is outrageous when the A standards for worlds are 13:21, the next is the assumption that at 13:20 Webb would have full reserves, cause Bekele in a race that slow would have already started a huge neg. split at 2.5k-ish and because 13:20 is only 10 seconds off his PR. To think Bekele, who runs the second half of 10000m faster than 13:20 when FRESH(an original condition of the question I believe), is going to run a mere 13:20 is foolish... then the assumption, (forgeting your first assumption begin complete incorrect for a moment) is that Bekele after running that slow for that long would only be able to run a 52 final quarter, logically he would most-likely have more left than that if after running 24 laps at comparable avg. pace he has a 52 left in him (assuming they close in 52 thus they hit 400 lap to go at 1228 which equals around 2705-2715 10000m pace somewhere in there but i dont wanna get out the calculator to prove someone completely wrong... again), wouldnt one logically find the kick as stronger and faster due to the greatly reduced distance( look at his XC invinciblity, he has a winners kick aka enough to always win), or are you trying to imply that Bekele is recovering at that kind of pace thus his kick is going to get faster as the distance increases?, I hope you now see youre stupidity and do everyone the pleasure of never posting again, not because you tried to critique someone light years faster than you, but due to youre irrevelant, false arguements that mind as well shout I love WEBB therefore he'll win against anybody cause I think he will... I know logic and reasoning skills cant be learnt but at least try it and stop wasting everyones time with your stupidity.... With that being said Webb is a hell of an athlete and interesting character I hope he runs fast enough to make you arguement logical, but how about you stop basing things on gut feeling?