1. Your response makes me genuinely smile (which means I'm happy). I love it when I have a similar moment where I realize that "I was intially on team X", which is usually in my case anecdote-driven or (put another way) based on the availability heuristic, but then work my way through "reasoning from baseline rates" and end up revising my opinion significantly.
2. The output I added (below the line) was copy-pasted from ChatGPT (the latest, most advanced free version) based on a prompt that was similar to the original posters question, with my added context of percentile of adult men to 'help' the model reason. So I have not personally written or edited any of the below the line material. And yes,
3. I have made exactly ZERO effort to fact-check, verify or validate the data/output, or assess the methodology of the output. The #s may be completely wrong or inaccurate in other ways. And I haven't checked other models (Claude, Perplexity, Meta, etc.)
4. The only point of my post was a "running start" to the question (based on some kind of more systematic methodology) so 'we' here avoid the back-and-forth of (as said) anecdote-driven evidence/reasoning or availability bias/heuristic. The 'percentile of all adult men' may not even be the right or best way to looking at this 'problem', but hopefully would provide a better common starting point.
5. Finally, and this is a more general comment to all readers, yes, I realize this is Letsrun, and No, I'm not a first-time visitor, and yes, this is a completely boring way to approach any question here, where (I think) most Letsrun posters just want to argue and fight about something whatever (often ridiculous minutiae, driven by seemingly goon-caving trolls taking a break -- sorry, that will be my only sarcasm here).
Anyways, that is all, thanks for reading...