CAS got it wrong--Shelby is innocent. Read this report by Twoggle3

You can believe that Shelby did not intend to dope and also believe that she is guilty. To me it’s obvious that she took a contaminated supplement. She blamed the meat because it’s worked in the past. I have no idea whether she knows which supplement was the contaminated one. I was on the circuit for years and in the testing pool. The amount of supplements these athletes are taking is staggering. I mean dufflebags of supplements. I was so nervous about contamination I took vit D and a multivitamin and saved the containers for years so that I knew the batch numbers. One thing that was very clear to anyone who has been in the testing pool is that you are taking supplements at your own risk. They are not well regulated.

This guy loses all credibility when he says the test has a 40% false positive rate, when his source for that number is the study where people were fed quite a lot of boar offal. That's not a normal situation, and so doesn't apply to the test in general. The whole thing reads like it was commissioned by someone at BTC.

By the way, if you look up Twoggle, he posted here about his work on the article some weeks ago. He has only posted about Shelby and anti-vax stuff.

Ho Hum wrote:

This guy loses all credibility when he says the test has a 40% false positive rate, when his source for that number is the study where people were fed quite a lot of boar offal. That's not a normal situation, and so doesn't apply to the test in general.

Was just about to say this - section 3.4 of the study goes into details, but the 40% false positive is specifically when eating large quantities of boar offal, during a very short window of time, and the offal comes from boars fed a very specific diet that wouldn't be found in the US supply chain. It's very much inline with what BTC was trying to line up as a defense, that was very specifically taken apart during the CAS case.

Repeating it: Yes, there can be a 40% false positive rate when tested within hours of eating large quantities of offal on a very specific diet (note that one of the false positives ate 410 grams in this study so like a pound of just offal). The false positive rate is very low when not under these incredibly specific circumstances. The 40% number is the number that comes up when intentionally trying to game the test.

Full report raises several questions regarding her guilt… however- other sources/ reports indicate that the food truck in question provided information regarding the source of the products that are served…Tyson foods… well controlled large corporate producer. If these reports are accurate it draws into question how the offending PED would have existed in the manner stated by her defense. No mention of this here?

Brianna Rollins?.....Maybe she is innocent and Shelby is not.......you`re intentions are clear and biased.

I think it's someone close to Shelby. It has to be. Why would they be anon like this? She also included the post in her instagram, and she rarely posts to instagram. Moving right along.

Exactly. Knowingly being a fraud, vs being negligent with supplements, vs eating pork from a food truck that was laced with NANDROLONE, a very specific sports related substance that has no place in a food truck or a cliff bar.... It doesn't really matter. She ingested it, willingly or half willingly, and now is paying the price. And going with the "authentic" food truck route was a hail Mary that never had a chance of working. It may be true they ate at a food truck, but it's a complete distraction from the fact she has sports grade performance enhancement substances in her body and there is only one way it can get through.... Through her the athlete!

griles17 wrote:

Armstronglivs wrote:

Another thread that shows Letsrun will give currency to every stupid alternative theory going. "Shelby is innocent" is up there with "voter fraud" and "Covid is just the flu" - and is just as vacuous. Like those who believe it.

This is the opposite of the truth. "Shelby is guilty" is a moronic take only held morons.

Held by CAS, WADA and WA. What a bunch of morons they must be.

griles17 wrote:

DC guy wrote:

I think it's exclusively Houlihan family, lawyers, or BTC friends posting anonymously in support of her. To everyone else she is obviously guilty.

To anyone with any ability to reason and come to sensical conclusions, she's innocent

Of course - you read it in an internet article. Like voter fraud and Covid denial.

She failed the test. The B sample confirmed the result. How is she "innocent"? She got banned for having an illegal substance at the time of her test. Move on.

Also, who gets a receipt from a food truck?

that is interesting,

Perhaps she will be able to run in races not sanctioned by or associated with WA, USATF, WADA, USADACAS, AIU, etc.

When is the next 1500 or 5000 meter race put on by Twoggle3?

I believe the drug testing people believe and treat all athletes as innocent, until their stringent scientific tests indicate that a positive for a prohibited substance is found in that athlete.

State Troopers believe most people are responsible drivers, until their radar guns record someone exceeding the posted speed limit.

The police believe most people do not commit murders, until they find a person carrying a knife with the victims blood on it and their hands/clothing.

The drug testing people believed Houlihan was not using PEDs, until she tested positive.

It appears as though Houlihan is not challenging the fact that she had a banned substance in her system (was speeding, killed someone...)

Twoggle's twitter is linked to the article site, He/she only follows BTC people, and this Keith Moulton guy. Twoggle is definitely an insider, or the private investigator they hired. The article is dated July 2021, and the CAS stuff became public just a few days ago.

It's just kind of weird to publish it anonymously. It's a good article. Some of it I question (gonna need a legit source for that 40% false positive rate), but why publish it under the guise on anonymity? With some reformatting this could be published in a science or law journal where it might be taken more seriously.

I’m not reading all that. I’m happy for you though. Or sorry that happened.

Sir.... Thank you for this remarkable article dissecting the scientific data surrounding the accusations against Shelby Houlihan. I would recommend reading it top to bottom and bottom to top. I agree... WADA went above and beyond to convict Ms. Houlihan. I doubt an independent impartial jury would have found Ms. Houlihan guilty. Sadly, I see the risk/reward equation of competing as a distance athlete in Track and Field at a high level as now predominantly a negative value. Ms. Houlihan's reputation has been smeared and if this sanction remains, her career is over. I want Shelby to know, that as a long time and true fan of this sport, she will always have my support and I resolvedly acknowledge her efforts as a true world class competitor.

Did anyone go out and order everything they had at the food truck and test it all?

Whs323 wrote:

Twoggle's twitter is linked to the article site, He/she only follows BTC people, and this Keith Moulton guy. Twoggle is definitely an insider, or the private investigator they hired. The article is dated July 2021, and the CAS stuff became public just a few days ago.

It's just kind of weird to publish it anonymously. It's a good article. Some of it I question (gonna need a legit source for that 40% false positive rate), but why publish it under the guise on anonymity? With some reformatting this could be published in a science or law journal where it might be taken more seriously.

Shelby's Twitter suddenly came alive today to praise the report, and the mentions are loaded with people claiming Twoggle is actually her.

Breakfast In Bed wrote:

Whs323 wrote:

Twoggle's twitter is linked to the article site, He/she only follows BTC people, and this Keith Moulton guy. Twoggle is definitely an insider, or the private investigator they hired. The article is dated July 2021, and the CAS stuff became public just a few days ago.

It's just kind of weird to publish it anonymously. It's a good article. Some of it I question (gonna need a legit source for that 40% false positive rate), but why publish it under the guise on anonymity? With some reformatting this could be published in a science or law journal where it might be taken more seriously.

Shelby's Twitter suddenly came alive today to praise the report, and the mentions are loaded with people claiming Twoggle is actually her.

https://twitter.com/shelbo800/status/1433822337170694146

omg this is so fake I can't.

Release the full biological passport or go away.

You're move, Shelbs.

Armstronglivs wrote:

griles17 wrote:

To anyone with any ability to reason and come to sensical conclusions, she's innocent

Of course - you read it in an internet article. Like voter fraud and Covid denial.

Nope. The voter fraud, covid-denier crowd is also the Shelby-is-a-doper crowd. Sorry.