Aussiestatman wrote:
Another Ugandan, the NR holder, is next. Felix Chemonges was third in Toronto in 2.05.12.
Fifteenth might be Callum Hawkins, fourth at the last Worlds. PB of 2.08.14 when tenth in London in 2019. Collapsed in the Gold Coast Comm Games when well in front in 2018.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
13th woman is Melat Kejeta, sixth in Berlin on debut in 2019 in 2.23.57. Impressive second in World Champs Half Marathon last year in 65.18.
Next female may be the other Ugandan NR holder. Juliet Chekwel also holds the NR over the half. On debut over this longer distance in Seville Juliet won in 2.23.13.
15th should be Gerda Steyn. Ran a NR when 9th in Siena in 2.25.28 this year.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Another Ugandan, the NR holder, is next. Felix Chemonges was third in Toronto in 2.05.12.
Fifteenth might be Callum Hawkins, fourth at the last Worlds. PB of 2.08.14 when tenth in London in 2019. Collapsed in the Gold Coast Comm Games when well in front in 2018.
Next I am hoping is Brett Robinson finally getting it right. PB of 2.10.55 when 12th in London 2019 then in the lead pack at halfway in New York in 64.50 before it went pear shaped after 22 miles. Miles 23-25 then were 5.50, 6.08, and 6.33 to finish in 2.17.50. London last year was on pace for 2.08.37 before slowing and eventually a DNF.
16th woman may be Katharina Steinruck. Won in Enschede this year in a tick under 2.26 after winning over 10k in Dresden in sub 32.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Another Ugandan, the NR holder, is next. Felix Chemonges was third in Toronto in 2.05.12.
Fifteenth might be Callum Hawkins, fourth at the last Worlds. PB of 2.08.14 when tenth in London in 2019. Collapsed in the Gold Coast Comm Games when well in front in 2018.
Almost 30 months since I started doing these threads [Feb 2019 looking towards Boston] and in those early days after each ten profiles I would give a fearless prediction. My prediction here is there are only two chances for Gold in the men's event, both Kenyan. Not Kipruto.
Sondre Moen might be two places higher here than in Rio. Ran his PB winning Fukuoka the next year in 2.05.48. Seventh in Valencia in 2019 in 2.06.16.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Fifteenth might be Callum Hawkins, fourth at the last Worlds. PB of 2.08.14 when tenth in London in 2019. Collapsed in the Gold Coast Comm Games when well in front in 2018.
Next I am hoping is Brett Robinson finally getting it right. PB of 2.10.55 when 12th in London 2019 then in the lead pack at halfway in New York in 64.50 before it went pear shaped after 22 miles. Miles 23-25 then were 5.50, 6.08, and 6.33 to finish in 2.17.50. London last year was on pace for 2.08.37 before slowing and eventually a DNF.
First Aussie woman may finish next. Sinead Diver is 44yo with a PB of 2.24.11 from two years ago: seventh in London.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Sondre Moen might be two places higher here than in Rio. Ran his PB winning Fukuoka the next year in 2.05.48. Seventh in Valencia in 2019 in 2.06.16.
18th finisher could be 23yo Oqbe Kibrom Ruesom, 11th in Valencia last Dec in a NR of 2.05.53.
18th female should be Mizuki Matsuda with a PB of 2.21.47 when winning Osaka last year. Then won Nagoya this year just 4 sec slower.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Sondre Moen might be two places higher here than in Rio. Ran his PB winning Fukuoka the next year in 2.05.48. Seventh in Valencia in 2019 in 2.06.16.
18th finisher could be 23yo Oqbe Kibrom Ruesom, 11th in Valencia last Dec in a NR of 2.05.53.
Next might be Hamza Sahli, best of 2.08.01 when winning Oita in Japan last year. Was 8th at the last Worlds.
Aussiestatman wrote:
18th female should be Mizuki Matsuda with a PB of 2.21.47 when winning Osaka last year. Then won Nagoya this year just 4 sec slower.
Next could be Molly Seidel, PB of 2.25.13 when 6th in London last year, two places ahead of Sinead Diver.
Twentieth should be Yohanes Ghebregergis who was 7th at Worlds in 2017 and fourth this year in Siena in 2.06.28
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
18th female should be Mizuki Matsuda with a PB of 2.21.47 when winning Osaka last year. Then won Nagoya this year just 4 sec slower.
Next could be Molly Seidel, PB of 2.25.13 when 6th in London last year, two places ahead of Sinead Diver.
Then we could see 41yo Malindi Elmore, who ran a NR just before her 40th last year: third in Houston in 2.24.50.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Twentieth should be Yohanes Ghebregergis who was 7th at Worlds in 2017 and fourth this year in Siena in 2.06.28
Last man in these previews is Morhad Amdouni, who used the 10000 earlier in these Games to build up for this event. PB at this distance of 2.09.14 in Paris two years ago. 8th there.
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
Next could be Molly Seidel, PB of 2.25.13 when 6th in London last year, two places ahead of Sinead Diver.
Then we could see 41yo Malindi Elmore, who ran a NR just before her 40th last year: third in Houston in 2.24.50.
Last woman of these mini bios is Tereza Hrochova, debut in May this year in 2.29.06
Aussiestatman wrote:
Galen Rupp in eighth. PB of 2.06.07 and bronze in the last Olympic marathon. Where do you think he will run his fall marathon and can he win it?
Chicago
Aussiestatman wrote:
13th woman is Melat Kejeta, sixth in Berlin on debut in 2019 in 2.23.57. Impressive second in World Champs Half Marathon last year in 65.18.
Eleven hours until the start: so excited
Aussiestatman wrote:
Aussiestatman wrote:
13th woman is Melat Kejeta, sixth in Berlin on debut in 2019 in 2.23.57. Impressive second in World Champs Half Marathon last year in 65.18.
Eleven hours until the start: so excited
Three hours now. Some last minute thoughts. I know it will be humid and my mind turns to the last Worlds. Top three then could use that experience to be the threats here, ones that ran poorly may have learnt some lessons, or new contenders may fail as miserably as the Ethiopians did then. This next week begins the busiest three months of my statman life. Begins with Boston releasing their full international elite lists and ends with the running of the Valencia Marathon and my deliberations then to change this fluid list into year end rankings:
https://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=10325412&page=3#10481689I took a break from letsrun and you're still here writing about the best distance runners in the world.
Do you think that Kosgei is going for the win in Sapporo? Her run in Instanbul Half this year wasn't that impressive. I think that Ruth and Peres will have better chance of winning. Ruth won in Doha and there was very hot and humid so I think that in Sapporo she will also run well. Her WR run in Instanbul was amazing. Last year was also great for Peres: winning Valencia Marathon with 2:17, becoming world champ in Gdynia and winning half marathon in Prague
Alll wrote:
I took a break from letsrun and you're still here writing about the best distance runners in the world.
Do you think that Kosgei is going for the win in Sapporo? Her run in Instanbul Half this year wasn't that impressive. I think that Ruth and Peres will have better chance of winning. Ruth won in Doha and there was very hot and humid so I think that in Sapporo she will also run well. Her WR run in Instanbul was amazing. Last year was also great for Peres: winning Valencia Marathon with 2:17, becoming world champ in Gdynia and winning half marathon in Prague
Welcome back. With all the marathon majors packed into this fall, you will be seeing a lot of me.