I am for SURE not being cocky or overconfident. I am just being a realist. The GOP is VERY damaged. I actually WANT it to come back to be a reasonable second party. Compromise is good. Being checked on both sides is good.
Republicans got sh!tcanned in this election. If you go by historical norms, the GOP should have DESTROYED the Democrats in this election.
As bad as it was for Republicans on the national level, if you go to Arizona and see that Kari Lake lost the governor's race to a candidate who didn't campaign much, didn't want to debate, was in hiding like the pandemic was still going on, then you can see how MUCH the M*A*G*As have fallen. Lake was a rising star among the moron red hats. Trump was considering her as a running mate for 2024. She got beaten by a woman who hardly campaigned in a state that until VERY recently was very red. Just a complete rejection of M*A*G*A nonsense.
Yes, there are still risks of illegal shenanigans on the part of Republican elected officials. Yes, the Supreme Court is radical. We can only take things on on a case-by-case basis, and ultimately the voters will decide the direction of our country. Getting rid of M*A*G*A Republicans and their idiot leader is the first order of business. HUGE step in that direction with these midterms.
Now, as vindictive as Trump is, suppose he doesn't get the Republican nomination for 2024. He could run as an independent and gift wrap the Presidency to the Democrats. He doesn't care about party politics, so he wouldn't give a sh!t if he did that. If he decides it's better to punish Republicans for not picking him, AND he thinks he can raise a buck or two by running as an independent, he'll do it. He doesn't care about the Republican Party. He only cares about Donald Trump.
How will the GOP recover? It is unclear. Their members are old and dying. Young people have registered to vote like never before and are heavily registered as Democrats.
Could someone like Chris Sununu or Larry Hogan become the leader of the Republican Party? If so, that would be good...I still wouldn't vote for either of them (well, likely not...I suppose it does matter who the Democrat candidate is), but at least (especially Hogan) they are decent people.
Trump has been the reason Republicans have done poorly in the last 3 national elections. I suspect he will raise his ugly orange head and do so again in 2024. We will see. Maybe a conservative group will raise a billion dollars and give it to him to stay out of the race.