It's inevitable, Kari Lake will be the next Governor of AZ. I'm calling it now.
Masters needs another day or two before I make a call.
With Karnell Lake in as Ari-Gov, it will be all we need to reign triumphant in 2024. Trump will win yet another state that got debridled last time, with one of the best election deniers in the business.
You probably will ignore as this is a conservative podcast. However, they clearly explain EXACTLY how the voting works in AZ. The math will not work out for you.
The GOP is closer to flipping this seat. If true with a Masters win in AZ, we have 51 red seats in the Senate and the GA runoff won't really matter. We will see.
The GOP is closer to flipping this seat. If true with a Masters win in AZ, we have 51 red seats in the Senate and the GA runoff won't really matter. We will see.
Wouldn't surprise me in the least. It's what most people expected, anyway.
Any of you alleged conservatives that are abandoning Trump for DeSanctimonium are fair-weathered friends of feather, and you WILL regret your sedition.
Trump has a LONG memory, he plays the LONG game, and he plays to win like a Death Match. You sure you want to go up against the man? Best to reconsider snap decisions made in your current emotional state and re-align yourselves with America and how to make it great again.
ok subtract a yipes for now - D SEN is back to 70% likely for the democrat.
I think they are all working to figure out how many mail ballots there are and where they come from. But right now looks lean D. I'm sure that will change.
You probably will ignore as this is a conservative podcast. However, they clearly explain EXACTLY how the voting works in AZ. The math will not work out for you.
predictit says that Rs in AZ have just a 19% chance in AZ
ok subtract a yipes for now - D SEN is back to 70% likely for the democrat.
I think they are all working to figure out how many mail ballots there are and where they come from. But right now looks lean D. I'm sure that will change.
We don't care. We have Karnell Lake firmly ensconced in Arizona. Do you know what an election denier actually is? You guys use the term all the time, but don't seem to know what it is. It's a term of art in the political spectrum for a bulwark purposely designed into a system to defeat corruption and fraud perpetrated by those who hate America.
Probably true, but that has nothing to do with me. I'm not the one who said with full confidence that big losers Mastriano and Oz would win. Mastriano had NO chance right from the beginning, and the ONLY reason Oz got anywhere close is because Fetterman had a stroke and some were concerned about his health. Absolutely ZERO reason to be so sure that both of those fools would win.
Gary called for a "red earthquake." Didn't happen. He deserves ridicule over his out-of-touch-with-reality predictions.
Gary is a fool and, because he believes the 2020 election was stolen, batsh!t crazy.
Don't leave out Hardloper's near-guarantee that Smiley would win WA based on his 9 yard-sign scientific poll.
Oh, I didn't. I called him out on that...at least I think I did. He made so many bad predictions it's hard to keep them all straight.
Predictit says it's over - that the Dems will win Nevada and therefore the senate. 88% likely, anyway. Some expert said that given where the remaining votes are, there is virtually no way for the R to win Nevada. These midterms will go down in history as one of the most remarkable elections of recent American history. For the party in power to (probably) gain a senate seat and lose just 10 seats in the House is astonishing. That's how bad the Rs are.
Where did all the political threads go? Ohhh! Rs didn't do as well as the mods and owners were crowing about two days ago so they took 'em down. That's funny.
Well I didn't have in my book 'best midterm performance by a party in power in a generation.'
Although I suppose it's all still in play so I am being premature.
but predictit says the senate is 87% likely to stay blue.
And a red house majority of 10 seats is pretty tenuous - mccarthy can't keep that in line. He might have lost the speakership. There will be a handful of purple district republicans who rein in the viciousness of m'aga.
Michigan statehouse is now democratic.
And trump candidates got smoked, in general. With a few exceptions.
Disaster for Republicans. Their primary system chooses mag'a candidates but the general election doesn't vote for them. That's a problem. but that's why joe biden is president. Great night for desantis - he is clearly the kind of R who can win elections. Not DJT.
The House has a GOP majority and so will the Senate. In my worst case scenario I said that the GOP would get 51 seats in the Senate with 52 being my official prediction. Blake Masters & Adam Laxalt will both win. Even if Walker lose the runoff, the GOP has 51 seats.
Where did all the political threads go? Ohhh! Rs didn't do as well as the mods and owners were crowing about two days ago so they took 'em down. That's funny.
The board was a little cluttered but I liked my post in the abortion thread and wanted to see the argument gestate from there.
The house election is coming into doubt again...the Dems still have a road to win it.
down to an 80% chance for the Rs on predictit.
One very cool scenario is that the Rs control it by only 1-2 seats and the Dems go to the most moderate, reasonable, purple R in the chamber and elect him Speaker with his vote and maybe one other R. Would be amazing.
or vice versa I suppose - that the Rs elect a moderate D as speaker.
so I suppose trump still announces next week but man what a terrible terrible week he's having.
the Rs got smacked around and everyone is blaming him
many ma'ga candidates outright lost
his company is on trial in NY and the Trump CFO is testifying against the trump organization.
R muckamucks are lining up behind DeSantis, who had a great night in FL.
and trump has backed himself into a corner - if he announces it will trigger a bunch of 'trump is damaged goods' stories but if he doesn't announce he looks like a coward.