way too early GIRLS 2025 XC CIF HS predictions

I hope you aren't referencing these new rankings because they are completely leaving teams out and always have errors.

ca.milesplit.com

Top 50 California Girls XC Teams By the Numbers

Joshua Potts

Check out the California team rankings for the 3 mile and 5K as of October 29th, 2025.

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Looks like they excluded Woodbridge times now. Maybe valid, since anyone who didn't run there would not have those fast times and would be omitted.

If they did then they have absolutely no idea what they are doing. Why exclude a 3M IN THE STATE, that is also the most competitive meet in the State that you are doing the rankings for? I would guess that more CA teams were at that meet then any other meet in the State this season. If you can't get there then that's on you and you shouldn't be rewarded for it.

I understand taking out Woodbridge times. They never correlate to anything, or are predictive of how you may run at Woodward. Someone who runs (girls) 18:00 at Woodbridge is probably running 19:20 at State. You add any elevation change to a lot of runners, and it’s a different ball game. I think most top 50 teams in the state either run Clovis or Rough rider. Using those times is a much better reference than Woodbridge. I would bet the best teams run well at both courses, but you get into 3,4,5 runners of a lot of teams, and there is a significant difference how they perform at Woodbridge to Woodward.

Did you even look at the lists? There is one for 5K (Clovis and Rough Rider) and one for 3M. It doesn't matter than Woodbridge doesn't equal Clovis, they aren't the same course or distance. I think it's an error by Milesplit but they are too disorganized to fix it. They have gone so downhill in the last couple of years.

Trinity League championships

Buchanan

athletic.net

Track & Field, Cross Country Results, Statistics

Meet results and team scores.

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SFL championships

athletic.net

Track & Field, Cross Country Results, Statistics

Meet results and team scores.

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Buchanan's top 7 girls all broke 18 minutes for 3 miles. That's very good. I think they have a shot at beating JSerra in the State merge and NXN if they run smart and don't get carried away early in the race like they sometimes do.

This is an odd comment to me. I’ve been coaching in Southern California for a long time. Ventura has a relevant team about once every decade. They’ve seemed to have more success in the last 3 years with the new coach than they’ve normally had with the old coach who was around for seems like 20+ years.

https://prepcaltrack.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2025-CIF-SS-XC-Prelims-Heats-with-Teams-v2.xlsx.pdf

I just watched this race. Four teams, but two are JSerra and Santa Margarita two of the best teams in the state.

Pre-Section Finals Top 10 individuals per division in the state:

Division 1:

1. Jaelyn Williams (Eastlake): 151 (Woodbridge)
2. Braelyn Combe (Santiago): 147 (Clovis)
3. Millie Byles (Trabuco Hills): 140 (Clovis)
4. Charlotte Hopkins (Arcadia): 140 (Woodbridge)
5. Elizabeth Jacklin (MLK): 138 (IE Challenge)
6. Isabella Ramirez (Bullard): 137 (Clovis)
7. Brooklyn Buckley (Buchanan): 135 (Clovis)
8. Molly Sundgren (Buchanan): 135 (Clovis)
9. Layla Merancio (Buchanan): 135 (Woodbridge)
10. Avery Wolk (Davis): 134 (Clovis)
Note: A lot of Buchanan. We haven’t seen Hopkins in a while so I put her below Byles despite Hopkins’s Woodbridge race is speed rated slightly higher than Byles at Clovis. Will be a pretty quick and competitive race.

Division 2:
1. Aelo Curtis (Ventura): 154 (Clovis)
2. Summer Wilson (Irvine): 150 (Woodbridge)
3. Amaya Bharadwaj (Palo Alto): 148 (Clovis)
4. Isla Bulmer (Claremont): 139 (Clovis)
5. Sophie Hutchinson (Whitney): 134 (Roughrider)
6. Olivia Campos (Mt Carmel): 133 (Woodbridge)
7. Brenna Mannion (Vista Del Lago): 132 (Clovis)
8. Sydney Middleton (Redwood NCS): 132 (Clovis)
9. Sabina Cruz (Westlake): 132 (Mt Sac):
10. Arielle Avina (Murrieta Valley): 131 (Woodbridge)
Note: Will also be a pretty quick and competitive race (more on the individual side). Natalie Arriaza has a speed rating of 135 from Kim Duyst but has not raced in a while. She raced at league but was not at sub-sections so she’s out of the rankings.

Division 3:
1. Kamilah Salim (West Torrance): 140 (Clovis)
2. Alyssa Gutierrez (St. Francis SJS): 139 (Clovis)
3. Carol Dye (Santa Margarita): 135 (Clovis)
4. Gretchen Yakaitis (Carondelet): 134 (Nike Portland)
5. Ava Crocker (El Toro): 132 (Woodbridge)
6. Julie Plummer (Pleasant Valley): 132 (Clovis)
7. Alanha Thomas (Santa Margarita): 131 (Woodbridge)
8. Harper Diaz (Santana): ~129 (Mt Sac)
9. Gweneth Williams (El Toro): 128 (Woodbridge)
10. Becky Osorio (West Covina): 128 (Woodbridge)
Note: Harper Diaz’s Mt Sac race is not speed rated (final time was 17:53 flat) but the Saturday races times (similar to Diaz’s times) are rated around 127, for the Friday races you add two to the Saturday time. Solid team battle between St. Francis SJS, Santa Margarita, and El Toro.

Division 4:
1. Chiara Dailey (La Jolla): 154 (Woodbridge)
2. Brooke Lee (Archie Williams): 143 (Clovis)
3. Giselle Fernandez (Riverbank): 141 (Clovis)
4. Maya Pawlowicz (Jserra): 137 (Clovis)
5. Reese Holley (Jserra): 136 (Clovis)
6. Kaia Streadbeck (Jserra): 136 (Woodbridge)
7. Anna Villavicencio (Woodlake): 128 (Clovis)
8. Delaney Napierala (Oaks Christian): 127 (Clovis)
9. Hannah Nourse (Laguna Beach): ~126 (Mt Sac)
10. Lindsay Billotte (Classical Academy): ~126 (Mt Sac)
Note: Just like Diaz, Nourse and Billotte’s races are not speed rated. There are similar times ran on Saturday (18:02.6 and 18:04.5) and are both rated at 124, just add two to that.

Division 5:
1. Elliana Patterson (Christian): ~138 (Mt Sac)
2. Farah Allen (Branson): 137 (Clovis)
3. Ariella (Ari) Llorens (Francis Parker): ~136-137 (Mt Sac)
4. Ella Mogannam (Lick Wilmerding)??
5. Ayanna Hickey (The Bishops School): 134 (Woodbridge)
6. Amelia Sarkisian (Brentwood): 130 (Clovis)
7. Anna Salter (Crystal Springs Uplands): 127 (Clovis)
8. Josie Hill (Sonoma Academy): 123 (Roughrider)
9. Clara Riddle (Immanuel): 120 (Clovis)
10. Hailey Sellers (Branson)/Ashlin Mallon (Cardinal Newman): 119 (Clovis)
Note: Patterson and Lloren’s races were not speed rated, however comparing their times to similar times ran on the Saturday Mt Sac race and adding two to the Saturday speed ratings, I got these approximations. Mogannam is the second fastest returner D5 but they tend to lay low, she has recently ran 16:47 5k at BCL and 17:07 5k at Mariner but they are not speed rated so I have her lower but I could see her and Allen battling it during NCS and state. The same goes Allen’s teammate Sellers, who ran an 18:03 at Mariner and 17:55 3.1 miles at the MCAL (her Clovis time was around low 19:10s), she could have potential to podium.

If you think that Sabina Cruz will be 9th in Division 2, then her twin sister Anais should be able to finish a few spots higher. When Anais is healthy she usually beats Sabina by 10 or 15 seconds.

^ nvm Arriaza does appear on the sub-section results. Here’s the new D2 girls rankings:

Division 2:
1. Aelo Curtis (Ventura): 154 (Clovis)
2. Summer Wilson (Irvine): 150 (Woodbridge)
3. Amaya Bharadwaj (Palo Alto): 148 (Clovis)
4. Isla Bulmer (Claremont): 139 (Clovis)
5. Natalie Arriaza (Patterson): 135 (Kim Duyst)
6. Sophie Hutchinson (Whitney): 134 (Roughrider)
7. Olivia Campos (Mt Carmel): 133 (Woodbridge)
8. Brenna Mannion (Vista Del Lago): 132 (Clovis)
9. Sydney Middleton (Redwood NCS): 132 (Clovis)
10. Sabina Cruz (Westlake): 132 (Mt Sac)