rekrunner wrote:
Regarding Ashenden/Parisotto, my critcism is the differing opinions identified in the Sunday Times, versus several of their peer-reviewed papers. Again, it is not because I don't like their opinions, but given the choice, I like their peer-reviewed opinions.
What? The only citation you could provide (indirectly of course, in your typical obfuscating style) was the IAAF's rebuttal point 4.1:
Meanwhile Mr Parisotto, in his 2006 book, 'Blood Sports', accepted that disciplinary action could not be taken against an athlete based on abnormal blood values, because they 'didn't directly "prove" anything at all. The fact our OFF-Model only implied, rather than showed EPO use made it an easy target' for legal challenge.
Clearly Parisotto was proven wrong by history - athletes continue to be punished "based on abnormal blood values". But as you see, he didn't worry about the science, he worried about courts of law.
Ashenden, as cited in the same section, was cautiously optimistic in 2004, and ultimately proven right by history:
He expressed the hope that longitudinal analysis of the blood parameters would in the future prove to be a useful detection tool, but noted that 'it is currently unclear what effect the unexpectedly large fluctuations in some key parameters will have on the legal surety of this approach …'. He concluded that 'a solution to the initial challenge [posed by rEPO abuse in sport] remains frustratingly elusive, and this thoroughfare will demand concerted attention in the future'
And indeed "longitudinal analysis of the blood parameters" was proven "to be a useful detection tool".
The only difference here between them and the IAAF was that the scientists thought that some cases were so obvious pre-2009 that the IAAF should have banned them back then, even though there was potential machine bias and dehydration ("Appropriate weighting was afforded to results in light of the standard of blood collection at the time the sample was collected.") I agree with that, btw.
And indeed the IAAF itself trusted their pre 2009 values so much that they successfully used them as evidence to prolong a ban, i.e. as evidence for doping pre 2009. I also agree with that.
You are the most extreme here, when you called Paula's pre 2009 values as "not real" and "not true", even though you knew that such values were used as evidence of doping pre 2009.
As you know, more details are here, including:
https://www.sportsintegrityinitiative.com/blood-experts-michael-ashenden-and-robin-parisotto-respond-to-serious-reservations-expressed-by-iaaf/It is our opinion that the results were collected under a sufficiently standardised procedure to permit a valid scientific analysis of the data.
...
Specifically, every athlete was assessed in terms of their entire blood profile. Appropriate weighting was afforded to results in light of the standard of blood collection at the time the sample was collected. Further, as attested to by the IAAF’s published article, it was possible to make an allowance for altitude where necessary because the altitude of the testing location depicted in the database followed a distribution similar to that of the altitude of the training location.