After little movement between April 9th and 21st, Donald Trump’s approval ratings are now falling rapidly. His net approval just hit -9.1 in the Silver Bulletin average. That’s the first time it’s broken -9 during his second term.
Nate Silver was waaaay off for the most recent presidential election. He's a lib biased, inaccurate pollster.
Nate had the election basically 50/50 and trump won by a tiny 1.5%, one of the smallest gaps ever.
Fake asylum seeker ≠ green card (lawful permanent resident) or citizen.
Why would you take the time to determine if they’re lawfully here or not? We’ve established that federal authorities can declare you terrorist gang member and ship you off without a hearing.
False. They federal authorities do not just declare you a terrorist gang member and ship you off without a hearing.
He was here illegally
He should have been out of the USA over 2 years ago.
Do you even know what he was accused of doing, while here illegally?
He was a member of a violent gang, period.
He has NO RIGHT to due process.
Hypocritical liberal, period. If he were your next door neighbor, you'd be outraged and living in fear. But...it's okay for him to be someone else's neighbor, eh Mr. Liberal?
You are a moron and that make me smile. Another dumb liberal.
Nate had the election basically 50/50 and trump won by a tiny 1.5%, one of the smallest gaps ever.
He had it pretty much right nationwide.
False, dummy. Harris was supposed to win in a landslide, like Hillary, remember? They had her up by 5 points and you claimed she'd win.
Trump trounced on her and the E.C. is what decides the outcome. Think much?
Really, because here’s what the last update from 538 said prior to the election:
More than any other factor, our forecast is so close because the polls are so close. According to our final polling averages, the margin between Trump and Harris is 2.1 percentage points or fewer in all seven swing states. Trump currently leads by 2.1 points in Arizona, 0.9 points in North Carolina, 0.8 points in Georgia and 0.3 points in Nevada. Harris is up by 1.0 point in Wisconsin and in Michigan. And in Pennsylvania (the state that’s most likely to decide the outcome of the election), Harris has a tiny 0.2-point edge.
But it is worth stressing that the polls will not be exactly correct. Polls overestimated Democrats by an average of 3-4 points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, for example, and overestimated Republicans by an average of 2.5 points in the 2012 presidential election. Our election model expects polls this year to be off by 3.8 points on average, although it could be more or less — and our model thinks this error is equally likely to favor Democrats as Republicans.
And that’s why we’ve been saying the race isn’t necessarily going to be close just because the polls are. Trump and Harris, our model says, are both a normal polling error away from an Electoral College blowout. If we shift the polls by 4 points toward Harris, she would win the election with 319 Electoral College votes:
Meanwhile, Trump would win with 312 electoral votes if the polls underestimate him by the same amount:
And that’s basically exactly what happened. Think much?
How many steps does this make us away from being North Korea?
We are about even with them. Why don't you just move there little guy? You complain every day, just move there. Liberals are the biggest hypocrites on the earth...little cry babies. Cope.
What exactly is trump doing here? Does he think his raw animal attractiveness will want other countries to submit to him? Every time he does this the liberal party in Canada gets more votes and fewer foreign politicians will have anything to do with him. Is this attractive talk in some way to m'aga? Is it playing to the American rubes?
Spanky, today:
Good luck to the Great people of Canada. Elect the man who has the strength and wisdom to cut your taxes in half, increase your military power, for free, to the highest level in the World, have your Car, Steel, Aluminum, Lumber, Energy, and all other businesses, QUADRUPLE in size, WITH ZERO TARIFFS OR TAXES, if Canada becomes the cherished 51st. State of the United States of America. No more artificially drawn line from many years ago. Look how beautiful this land mass would be. Free access with NO BORDER. ALL POSITIVES WITH NO NEGATIVES. IT WAS MEANT TO BE! America can no longer subsidize Canada with the Hundreds of Billions of Dollars a year that we have been spending in the past. It makes no sense unless Canada is a State!
False, dummy. Harris was supposed to win in a landslide, like Hillary, remember? They had her up by 5 points and you claimed she'd win.
Trump trounced on her and the E.C. is what decides the outcome. Think much?
Really, because here’s what the last update from 538 said prior to the election:
More than any other factor, our forecast is so close because the polls are so close. According to our final polling averages, the margin between Trump and Harris is 2.1 percentage points or fewer in all seven swing states. Trump currently leads by 2.1 points in Arizona, 0.9 points in North Carolina, 0.8 points in Georgia and 0.3 points in Nevada. Harris is up by 1.0 point in Wisconsin and in Michigan. And in Pennsylvania (the state that’s most likely to decide the outcome of the election), Harris has a tiny 0.2-point edge.
But it is worth stressing that the polls will not be exactly correct. Polls overestimated Democrats by an average of 3-4 points in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, for example, and overestimated Republicans by an average of 2.5 points in the 2012 presidential election. Our election model expects polls this year to be off by 3.8 points on average, although it could be more or less — and our model thinks this error is equally likely to favor Democrats as Republicans.
And that’s why we’ve been saying the race isn’t necessarily going to be close just because the polls are. Trump and Harris, our model says, are both a normal polling error away from an Electoral College blowout. If we shift the polls by 4 points toward Harris, she would win the election with 319 Electoral College votes:
Meanwhile, Trump would win with 312 electoral votes if the polls underestimate him by the same amount:
And that’s basically exactly what happened. Think much?
False. She was predicted to win going away over Trump. She was supposed to win Michigan, Pennsylvania, Florida, NC, Georgia, etc...if she had, she would have won regardless of her popular vote total.
They are light-years more accurate than the garbage that Nate Silver dumps to the public or the now dead & buried 538.
Looks like Trump’s approval rating is hitting new lows according to Rasmussen (and the percentage who strongly disapprove is hitting new highs). LIGHT YEARS MORE ACCURATE!
He’s been too soft but not sure why a single poll matters unless you believe he will run again?
want to explain your thoughts better, Einstein? You think Nate Silver is a pollster? You think midterms won't happen? Tell us what you think about this subject. I'm interested.
Well, considering Trump could walk on water to save your child and you would still give him a negative poll, then what difference does it really make? You’re really concerned now about what might or might not happen in a couple years at the box? We quit listening to pollsters, aggregates, media or any of you lost souls. As if you all have anyone we should be concerned about anyway. Your big weapon Big Mike can’t get listeners on podcasts for crying out loud. Seems pointless and silly.
How many steps does this make us away from being North Korea?
We are about even with them. Why don't you just move there little guy? You complain every day, just move there. Liberals are the biggest hypocrites on the earth...little cry babies. Cope.
adolt, a part of you perversely likes hate, so why do you spread it out over so many handles?
You need to embrace your sickness and sadness more wholeheartedly and consistently.
I'm sure it's been commented on, but I just realized that Trump called his lie machine the same thing the Soviets called theirs: Pravda.
Trump's twitter clone is called 'Truth'
The Soviet 'news' service was called Pravda which means 'Truth'
both using orwellian speak to cover their lies.
Democrats' official website about "Who We Serve":
Democrats are the party of inclusion. We know that diversity is not our problem—it is our promise. As Democrats, we respect differences of perspective and belief, and pledge to work together to move this country forward, even when we disagree ... we do not merely seek common ground—we strive to reach higher ground. ”
- AFRICAN AMERICANS
- AMERICANS WITH DISABILITIES
- ASIAN AMERICANS AND PACIFIC ISLANDERS
- DEMOCRATS ABROAD
- LATINOS
- FAITH COMMUNITY
- LGBTQ COMMUNITY
- NATIVE AMERICANS
- RURAL AMERICANS
- SENIORS AND RETIREES
- SMALL BUSINESS COMMUNITY
- UNION MEMBERS AND FAMILIES
- VETERANS AND MILITARY FAMILIES
- WOMEN
- YOUNG PEOPLE AND STUDENTS
Notice what categories aren't there? From the party of "inclusion" no less?
False, dummy. Harris was supposed to win in a landslide, like Hillary, remember? They had her up by 5 points and you claimed she'd win.
Trump trounced on her and the E.C. is what decides the outcome. Think much?
Correct!
Baghdad can't spin hard enough
It's okay friend, they give me a laugh every time I check in on this thread. I mean I truly laugh out loud. Trump won, in the end that's all I wanted. I knew that they'd complain day after day after day and they are doing just that.
As was mentioned, Obama deported how many illegals? It's okay, Obama can do what he wants.
If Obama or Biden had said we are cleaning up the waste in government, they'd have applauded both of them and they'd still be clapping. Trump does it and they get all upset and start crying foul.
Trump is cleaning the house of the bad illegals that should never be in this country---and THAT upsets them? Well, it makes me even more happier that he won as that shows just how demented the liberals on this thread actually are.
