Top 10 million, baby!
Top 10 million, baby!
Topped out only at 4:05 1500, 2:30 marathon. Nevertheless as an age grouper my 5K and 10K times this past year would have put me in the top 3-4 at world masters this year, not to mention age grading. i.e., I've age graded much better than my best open times.
My best PR is probably 1:21.8 in the 600m indoors. Given that it is rarely run, I'd like to think it is top 20k all-time.
I have an 800m PR of 1:49.73 PR. This was good for #359 in the world in 1996 (an Olympic year). However in my particular race, won by Johnny Gray in 1:44, it was only good for 8th place (DFL).
4.5 BILLION BC until 1932 AD == #1
1932 until 1996 (64 years) == ???
1996 == #359
1996 until now (17 years) == ???
Using simple extrapolation, every year after 1932 causes my PR to drop approximately 5.61 places (359 / 64). By summing the series over 81 years, I calculated my all-time world ranking to be #18,711 (+/- 10,000).
Top 10,000? One of those previous links had about 1000 men going sub 4 in the mile indoors. About 250 people between 3:58 and 3:59. Another 200 and change between 3:59 and 4:00. So even saying you get maybe as many as 500 per second up to 4:05? You'd be at about 3500. And then lets say 1000 people per second between 4:05 and 4:10. Puts you at maybe 8500. I'm on the high side of 4:10 so let's say another 1000 people. Puts me at maybe 9500?
Wild speculation on my part. I find this line of "Where do I stack up?" questioning pretty amusing, but worth nothing in terms of self-ego. What does matter is being faster than the Women's World Record and THAT'S what counts.
I don't know wrote:
Topped out only at 4:05 1500, 2:30 marathon. Nevertheless as an age grouper my 5K and 10K times this past year would have put me in the top 3-4 at world masters this year, not to mention age grading. i.e., I've age graded much better than my best open times.
Further proof masters runners are gigantic douches.
Most of the time it's because they never achieved what they wanted to or what they think they were capable of 20 years earlier so they think by age grading they can claim athletic brilliance. It is why I am a fan of having one qualification standard for each gender for boston, new york, ect. Why should it get easier with age.
Back on the real question I would say it depends if you are rating yourself against one given year or history of the event.
Now One given year- 20K
Prime one given year- 1K
Prime all time- 10K
Of course these are just estimates might be higher or lower. I did enjoy the exponential as each second would add more people then the second before.
My Marathon PR is 2:23-Mid at NYC over 30 years ago. That probably would not even make the top 12,000 all time. Would probably end up around 20,000th. They should have asked for all time USA history instead of all time World History.
It would have made more sense since us "fans" are not 3:30 1500M/12:55 5K/26:50 10K/58:30 1/2 or 2:05:00 Marathon guys.
1:48.44 in the indoor 800. It was somewhere between 45 and 50 that year.
This is relevant:
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=5109258
My 400m PR is about 58 seconds, so according the chart I'm one in 14 men (top 7%). Since there are ~891 million men in the world between age 20 and 35, this means I'm top 62 million.
Probably top 50 in my age group.
Dick Doobey wrote:
If I was a woman I'd be in the top 100 from the mile through the marathon.
If I was a woman I would never leave the house.
Top 62 Million wrote:
This is relevant:
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=5109258My 400m PR is about 58 seconds, so according the chart I'm one in 14 men (top 7%). Since there are ~891 million men in the world between age 20 and 35, this means I'm top 62 million.
This is BS. 15:30 only puts you at top 2 million
8:53 steeple. Top 25k? 50k?
Hmmm 34:08 10k
200'000 ish?
17:54 5k Top 50 Million Maybe 100 million
I write this respectfully, because you are, and were, twice the runner I ever was. With that said, I would not take the world masters championships as a measure of anything. I ran in that meet bac around 1994 when it was held in Buffalo, my home town. It was a good meet, but I can assure you there were countless very fine masters competitors around the world who saw no need to go to Buffalo to compete for the world title in their age group. champhi
For those whose PRs are not good enough to simply count the number of people ahead of you, this requires knowing baseline fitness levels of the population you are comparing against. I think the US is the only country with reasonably representative data on fitness. The paper can be found here:
http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/171/4/426.full
. The VO2 can be entered into a calculator to obtain equivalent running times.
Happy calculating!
Mjk800 wrote:
1:48.44 in the indoor 800. It was somewhere between 45 and 50 that year.
Found the official list. 36th...which is my age now. And most of my running now is 8:30-9:00 pace. How far we slide...
population of Kenya 43,013,341
population of Ethiopia 86,613,986
So all yall rank behind them.