said88 wrote:
Bondz wrote:Who wins in a match up between them? How would the race be a different story if it opened up in a 49 or 51 rather than a 53. No pacemakers allowed.
There is just one possible answer to this: nobody knows. Nobody can know this. But to all the people who say something like Coe would be an outsider: the Coe of 1981 by far is the best (complete) middle distance runner we have seen so far. But to beat the pure 800m specialists Kipketer and Rudisha isn't an easy task...
All of the three would win on some occasions.
But it's also true that Coe's championship career isn't so great. For sure he had much more opportunities to win medals or the seasons BIG race.
1976 Olympics: didn't qualify (age 19, so definitely little early)
1977 World Cup: not selected
1978 Europeans: bronce (for sure many of the best not allowed to compete)
1979 World Cup: not selected
1980 Olympics: silver (some of the best not allowed to compete)
1981 World Cup: winner in great style
1982 Commonwealth Games: -
1982 Europeans: silver (for sure many of the best not allowed to compete, weak field)
1983 World Champs: didn't qualify
1984 Olympic: silver
1985 World Indoor Games: -
1985 World Cup: not selected
1986 Commonwealth Games: qualified for the final where he didn't run (for sure many of the best not allowed to compete)
1986 Europeans: gold (for sure many of the best not allowed to compete)
1987 World Indoor Champs: -
1987 World Champs: didn't qualify
1988 Olympics: didn't qualify
1989 World Indoor Champs: -
1989 World Cup: selected for the 1500m
1990 Commonwealth Games: 6th? (for sure many of the best not allowed to compete)
All these races were totally open for him (exception 1989 WCup, when he competet over 1500m). He has won just two of them. And in many occasions some of the best in the world were not even allowed to compete. That he was injured in some occasions is part of the game. Also if he choose not to compete at all (World Indoors - has he had ever the plan to run there?). Some of the Brits know this much better than me).
(even for the 1500m, Coe's championship record is far from perfect)
To list an European Indoor title against all-time greats like Erwin Gohlke or Rolf Gysin in comparison to an World title is a little bit surprising, even for an die-hard Coe fan like deanouk...
But as already said: in a slow race I still would bet for an '81 Coe. In an race like London 2012?I can't see Coe winning this one, instead I think I would opt for the '97 Kipketer here. Maybe surprising, but I think I tend to believe the runner with the fewest wins in a series of several races would be Rudisha.
Strange analysis.
I think it's strange to criticise someone for not winning a race if they did not compete in it due to injury or illness. If that were the case then surely Kipketer can be criticised for not winning the 96 Olympic title because he was not eligible to compete!? Or EL G failed in winning the Olympic 1500 final in 96. This is of course nonsense.
77- He was not selected for World Cup as he was barged into lane 6 in the home straight by Wulbeck with about 60m to go, just as he looked to be winning the race. Wulbeck would have been disqualified had that happened today!
Coe went on to be the 4th fastest in the world that year with 1:44.95, some half a second faster than Wulbeck. To criticise someone for not winning an event in which he did not compete in and which he was prevented from doing so due to a foul is rather trivial.
78- What do you mean "..many of the best not allowed to compete"?
Who were the notable top European runners not allowed to compete?
Moreover, the 3 fastest men in the world that year were there. As were numbers 7, 11 & 12 on the world list that year.
79- World Cup. It wasn't a case that he was "not selected". He was selected but chose not to represent Europe from quite early in the season, just as Ovett chose not to in the 1500m. To be fair, the 79 version of the World Cup did not live up to its 77 predecessor or the subsequent 81 version. As it transpired, Coe got injured training in London just after Zurich, which ended his season early.
80- His one real blip. People seem to forget though, that it was his first global Championships. Ovett, Cruz and Rudisha all disappointed in their first global competitions. People never fault them for their poor under performances. At least Coe got a silver.
82- Commonwealth; wasn't there... Ill.
As for Europeans, he was diagnosed with glandular fever. To get a silver while suffering from mono is a good achievement, especially when he missed 6 weeks training in the summer in preparation.
83- World Champs. "Didn't qualify"??? What are you talking about? He was selected to run but pulled out with toxoplasmosis. That is not the same as not qualifying, surely you can appreciate that?
I can't be bothered to go through the rest of them, because you just repeat things I've already pointed out are a little unfair or not entirely accurate.
You seem to be critical of him even when he does win competitions, if all the world's best aren't there. Well, athletes outside Europe aren't allowed to compete in European Championships. I thought that was obvious. You can't criticise someone winning if athletes not eligible to compete don't compete! In 86 not only did Coe beat the fastest man in the world and World ranked No.2, but he was ranked No.1 in the world for that season, having proved himself the best against the other non-European 2 lap runners over the course of the season.
"To list an European Indoor title against all-time greats like Erwin Gohlke or Rolf Gysin in comparison to an World title is a little bit surprising, even for an die-hard Coe fan like deanouk..."
Coe did not have a world indoor champs to compete in until he was past his peak. All he had available to him in his peak years were European indoors. Whats more, the indoor scene was pretty limited and was seen as a winter tester to see what sort of form an athlete was in. Many of the world's top athletes in all events, didn't even bother to run indoors. It was a different era. Move forward to the late 90's and Kipketer's prime, and there is a much larger more sophisticated and lucrative indoor scene around the world. We wouldn't criticise Snell for not achieving indoor world records would we?
In reality, Coe had a lot of bad luck with competing in major 800m championships. For me, the only races he "failed" in was the Moscow 800 and European 1500 in 86. He was the best runner in both of those races but lost due to nerves and bad tactics. His loss in Prague was not unexpected, in Athens 82 he was ill, and in LA 84 he was up against a 1:41 Cruz, someone who had improved by 2 secs + since the previous year. Against the crop of runners from 83, Coe would have won. It could not be for-seen that Cruz would emerge as such an improved 2 lap runner. And in actual fact, Coe medalled in 9 of the 11 major competitions he took part in over 14 years!
You also have to take into consideration the restriction of racing abroad (even for the likes of Coe) due to the Andy Norman effect, and the fact that for every major meet Coe had to gain selection against the likes of Ovett, Cram, Elliott, McKean, etc. I can't imagine Kipketer had to many world class Danish 800 specialists to worry about and prove himself against.
And unlike Rudisha in 2011 and 2012, Coe remained undefeated over 800m in his best 2 seasons, 79 and 81. Indeed, in the 4 years between the 78 European and 82 European, he lost just twice at any distance, both 800m.
Anyway, we'll agree to differ. I take some of your points but I think it is unfair to be critical of someone for not even being at an event or for winning it when athletes who were not even eligible to be there weren't there!
By the way, where has your Aouita list of races gone from the internet?
I used to have it book marked from your "greatdistancerunners" site, but I can't find a link for Aouita!??
When my hard drive packed up a few months ago I lost all my book marks, so if you could send me a link, now that I've argued with you (oops!), it would be much appreciated.
Thanks.