jjjjjjjjj wrote:
Williams (D3) got a guy named Neal Holtschulte a few years back. He MAY have run 9:35 in high school, maybe a bit slower, and he won D3 XC nationals as a senior. Brian Sell was something like a 10:10 2 miler in hs and ran 2:10 or 2:11 and made the Olympic team in the marathon. So, there's no way of telling whether you can be a pro. But just know that there are a lot of people already ahead of you, so you have to not only outwork them but also train intelligently and consistently.
Brian Sell was likely much faster than a 10:10 two-miler, but didn't put the training in to know that as a prep. Shawn Found was another example that "didn't break 10:00" in high school but went on to run 28:33/2:18 and was 4th at the 2000 Olympic trials in the 10k. I have it on good authority that he didn't train much in high school. And people always love to bring up Olympian and eight-time national cross-country champ Pat Porter with his 9:50ish in high school. Nevermind that that was at 6000' above sea level and he probably did very little training as a prep.
As to the guy who got a full-ride with a 9:30, man, you kids don't know how lucky you have it with the Internet and all of this dissemination of knowledge. I ran 9:30 at 5,500' above sea level with just a year of running under my belt, and not many miles, and I hardly attracted any attention. Didn't know any better back then, with regard to more volume or getting in contact with coaches. Should've had better guidance from my high school coach in both regards I suppose. Run for enjoyment, run for self-improvement, and run to be part of something bigger than yourself, but, by God, if you can use running as leverage to earn a useful degree (emphasis on useful), you'd be a fool not to take it. Everyone wants to be a professional runner. Probably 1% of 1% actually make it.