Why is Teg not in this race? Looks perfect for him
Why is Teg not in this race? Looks perfect for him
I believe that I read somewhere that Teg is running the Brussels 5k.
humidxc wrote:
Despite the merry christmas part I do believe he will be at 12:00 with 1 lap to go; assuming the race allows for such a pace. The question will be whether Dathan can hold on to at least 60 for the last lap.
Considering where the AR is, 12:59 could actually be a bit disappointing...though getting under 13:00 would be a great achievement even if he didn't get the AR.
The AR is in Zurich also, 13 years ago.
Dathan could run a 13:11 in a good race, anything better than that would be a great confidence builder for him.
You beat me to it. I was just gonna say 13:11
humidxc wrote:
Despite the merry christmas part I do believe he will be at 12:00 with 1 lap to go; assuming the race allows for such a pace. The question will be whether Dathan can hold on to at least 60 for the last lap.
Who gives a rat a**. Most of you guys been wrong on your predictions for the past month. Shut up and see what happens.
Don't you think he's in roughly equal shape to when he ran 8:11 or 8:12 at prefontaine? If so, that should correlate to sub 13:10... I think sub-13 is a stretch to say the least
BA wrote:
Don't you think he's in roughly equal shape to when he ran 8:11 or 8:12 at prefontaine? If so, that should correlate to sub 13:10... I think sub-13 is a stretch to say the least
Obviously nothing truly predicts performance and only the actual race will produce the mark but I think a few people are a little conservative on what Ritz can do.
Without going to the lists I believe Ritz is about the 5th-6th fastest mark and 4th fastest Athlete for the US for 10K and also about the 4-5th fastest mark and 4th-5th fastest athlete for the US at 2 miles. He hasn't raced in a lot of fast 5K's (like Europe or Cardinal invite) but think about where he should be worth at 5K based on those marks. And yes I'm just speculating here.
Ritz is on such a confidence high right now and probably has never worked on his speed more than the last few months. He has a 13:16 PR already. If the race is run at 12:00-:12:05 with a quarter to go I think Ritz has a very good shot at getting under 13:10. I really think we are going to see the best Ritz ever now, and obviously even more so next summer. This is a great, great runner who has been sidelined with injuries and obviously (judging from his interviews) held back by his own doubts and lack of belief in his training. Plus he's able to run and hang out with a group of peers with the same kind of goals that he has for the first time really ever.
He certainly believes now and it sounds like he's really having fun running and racing again. Any of you who have been competitive in this sport and gone through those ups and downs know how much that's worth. While you can't translate it directly to times, when you improve all the aspects of what makes a runner great you certainly increase the chances of great performances and great times.
agreed, but speed not endurance is the missing link, even when he has been working on it. In his fittest condition, someone like Teg can still put 3-4 seconds on him in that last lap. As a result, I still don't see him ever getting under 13:10, but I would be very pleased to be proven wrong.
I say his PR's will be 13:10 and 27:15 when it all said and done. Compare that with Rupp: 13:02, and 27:01. Wake me up in 2017 to see how close I came.
Ritz is in a race with 14 East Africans and JESUS.
pert wrote:
agreed, but speed not endurance is the missing link, even when he has been working on it. In his fittest condition, someone like Teg can still put 3-4 seconds on him in that last lap. As a result, I still don't see him ever getting under 13:10, but I would be very pleased to be proven wrong.
I say his PR's will be 13:10 and 27:15 when it all said and done. Compare that with Rupp: 13:02, and 27:01. Wake me up in 2017 to see how close I came.
Haha, pretty fair post. Does anyone know what his last lap was at worlds? All I know is that it seemed like he was running faster than most of the top guys (excluding Bekele) over the last lap but I never saw a split.
To be honest I don't think he has to have a great last lap to run 13:08ish, just has to be on that pace or better with a lap to go and keep it together.
let's not get our panties in a bunch: 13:18
goalocxting wrote:
let's not get our panties in a bunch: 13:18
yeah, he really hasn't indicated that he's in pr shape ;-)
Hold on, let me run this through my algorithm.
231, 555, 777, 3 22:04
44.1, $1.67, 8:11
27:37, 1034, 27:22
13:08 seems most plausible for Ritz. He will be in position to move into the top 5 if all goes perfectly.
I also like Lomong to run 3:32, and Willard to challenge Rowbury and Jamal for the win in 3:58.
Bekele will win by more than 50 meters in something like 12:45.
Go Ritz
This is turning into a thread on what Ritz can do.
The ? was whether KB can win the jackpot!!!:)
Still cant believe KB ran sub 27 10K and then a 53 sec last lap to win the 5K. Plus heats. Damn!!!! thats increadible.
he
pert wrote:
if Bekele is there, he will be tired and the pace will be slow, too slow for Ritz to go 13:10
tired ?
he 26 and the best runner ever
he's a walking hard on
I don't see Bekele breaking 13min Friday, even though he is capable of it. As a result, I don't see Ritz going 13:10.
Lets see, then I can say.....told you so!