definitely dont count cortland out of the mix. judging by their history over the past 4 years alone should tell you that. But if you want more evidence:
Nationals Returners Scoring
(seniors removed, all runners included)
Cortland 124 (2, 13, 32, 35, 42)
North Central 128 (4, 17, 20, 36, 51)
Geneseo 252 (22, 45, 50, 64, 71)
Regionals Returners Scoring
(seniors removed, all runners included)
Cortland 58 (3, 9, 12, 16, 18)
Geneseo 74 (2, 13, 14, 21, 24)
SLU 102 (4, 7, 27, 30, 34)
NYU 132 (6, 15, 17, 23, 71)
Plattsburgh 138 (5, 10, 25, 45, 53)
in both cases cortland wins again. nothing is set in stone but dont be surprised to see cortland on top at sunyacs regionals and nationals again.