She’ll be faster and stronger. A shoe in for the 5k along with other younger runners.
She should have tried for Zola Budd's barefoot U20 records before it was too late.
Zola ran 14.48 5000m (Open WR at the time) as a U20. Slightly built at that age - can see a mature Zola in 1992 Olympics, was also good at XC.
Running 70 miles per week at Altitude, she also ran 2.00.9 for 800m, 3.59.9 1500m, 4.17.5 Mile, 8.28.8 3000m all as U20. She ran 5.30 for 2km the year she turned 20.
I mean, this is kind of a dumb question. How are any of us supposed to know other than just a blind guess. She has a great coach, but so have plenty of other very promising young talents who didn't pan out. There's literally no way of knowing.
This message board is riddled and rife with predictions, assumptions, speculations and hypotheses. Why you would single out this thread is a curiosity.
I'm assuming your handle (Stanford Card) implies you attend Stanford University. That being said, you asking for a prediction 2 plus years away in a sport where there are so many variables and luck involved seems a bit novice. If you know the sport at all (I'm assuming you do since you're on this website), and you simply look at what we've seen so far from Jane, her current training environment, coach, and family support, its safe to say and is obvious, she's on a solid path to be a contender in L.A. Will she make team USA?, seems highly likely. Will she podium?, its too early to say, but her chances are good.
I just want to make sure that the $90,000 yearly tuition (all in) your paying is being well spent.
She will have to improve a lot to even begin to challenge the top runners at 5000m and 10000m. I give her a 50/50 shot of setting the American record by 2028 and low odds to have an impact in an olympic final.
BTW, when I started at the Farm, tuition, room, board was close to $9,000 a year. When I left, it was close to $17,000. I received academic scholarships and loans. When I left, I had student loan debt of about $7000. Don't know how young people do it these days.
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